Posted:
#1401
Line started at smb-14.5 and pf-2.5 last night at bet365 (9pm).
This is the ATS record for all teams:
SMB 5-4
BWE 2-6
PF 1-7
TNT 3-6
KIA 6-2
GBP 6-4
GSM 2-6
MER 5-3
ALA 6-3
BAR 7-2
ROS 5-4
NLEX 5-4
One might like the odds of SMB winning the spread for today's game but take note, BWE has a new import and they were 1-6 ATS last game, and they won ATS.
Line movement is in favor of BWE, but I just can't convince myself to trust them. They were up 9 at half last game against a struggling TNT team and still managed to lose the game.
Today theyre facing the hottest team, actually the favorites to win it all this conference.
Taking SMB-13.5
For the second game, despite having a 1-7 record, I'm taking PF. TNT has one huge problem: They're a very small team and have no interior D, which Blakely can take full advantage of. Line movement in favor of PF too.
PF -3.5
PS: Whenever I justify my posts here in covers, I usually lose. I'm 0-2 or 0-3 if I'm not mistaken. Correct play is to fade me. Heck, I think I'm gonna fade myself! BOL to all.
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