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Posted: #1

ESSENDON v ST KILDA
Friday, February 29, Telstra Dome

ESSENDON
1 - Jay Neagle
4 - Jobe Watson
5 - Brent Stanton
6 - Angus Monfries
9 - Adam Ramanauskas
10 - Mark McVeigh
11 - Damien Peverill
12 - Andrew Welsh
14 - Jason Johnson
15 - Courtenay Dempsey
17 - Jay Nash
19 - David Hille
20 - Henry Slattery
21 - Courtney Johns
22 - Mal Michael
25 - Scott Lucas
26 - Cale Hooker
27 - Jason Laycock
29 - Alwyn Davey
30 - Patrick Ryder
34 - Rhys Magin
36 - Sam Lonergan
37 - Kyle Reimers
38 - Jarrod Atkinson
39 - Heath Hocking
40 - Dean Dick
41 - Danny Chartres
43 - Bachar Houli
44 - Tom Bellchambers

ST KILDA
1 - Jason Gram
2 - Steven King
3 - Xavier Clarke
6 - Leigh Fisher
7 - Lenny Hayes
10 - Steven Baker
11 - Leigh Montagna
12 - Nick Riewoldt
13 - Adam Schneider
14 - Luke Ball
15 - Michael Gardiner
16 - Raphael Clarke
17 - Aaron Fiora
19 - Sam Gilbert
20 - David Armitage
22 - Shane Birss
25 - Sam Fisher
26 - Nick Dal Santo
27 - Jason Blake
28 - Charlie Gardiner
29 - Michael Rix
32 - Andrew McQualter
34 - Jack Steven
35 - Robert Harvey
36 - Jarryd Allen
38 - Clint Jones
39 - Luke Van Rheenen
40 - Robert Eddy
42 - Jarryn Geary
44 - Stephen Milne

 
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4 - Jobe Watson
5 - Brent Stanton
10 - Mark McVeigh
11 - Damien Peverill
12 - Andrew Welsh
14 - Jason Johnson
19 - David Hille
22 - Mal Michael
25 - Scott Lucas
27 - Jason Laycock
29 - Alwyn Davey
30 - Patrick Ryder
12

2 - Steven King
3 - Xavier Clarke
7 - Lenny Hayes
11 - Leigh Montagna
12 - Nick Riewoldt
13 - Adam Schneider
14 - Luke Ball
15 - Michael Gardiner
16 - Raphael Clarke
17 - Aaron Fiora
26 - Nick Dal Santo
35 - Robert Harvey
44 - Stephen Milne
13
 
ess missing lloyd fletcher lovett lovett murray
saints missing gehrig koziztkie hudgton maguire
 
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Posted: #3
games a pick...before the teams where announced i was leaning to ess due to there form in the first 2 games...but the saints have bought back riewoldt ball harvey hayes gardiner king and schneider a handy group of players..so leaning to saints now since its at telstra as theyve named a strong team.
 
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Posted: #4
Saints are definantly the pick here ..... Essendon may have looked good playing a bulldogs team who are going to finish in the bottom 4 this year ...... but they will be taking on the big boys here and will find to the Saints to be to much pressure for them ..... take the HT/FT StKilda
 
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Posted: #5
 i took saints -6.5...and a lil on 1st qtr($70) etc at sportsbook
 
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Posted: #6
its not easy in the pre season is it?
 
I would normally take the dog in the pre season but with the Crows/Hawks I'll be taking the crows 1-39 (+125). I think it'll be a relatively close, hard fought match throughout.
 
Showme are you taking anybody or have any thoughts on this match?
 
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Posted: #7
Ive tipped the hawks to be in the top 4 this year ..... so obviously id be leaning the Hawks ..... But the crows have been laying the beatdown this preseason ..... The home team will win .... i dont know who it is ill have to look ....but i would take the home team
 
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Posted: #8
that match is to hard to call..both have near full strength teams if one was missing a few id take the other team..staying away ..if its hawks v saints im staying away from the final but if its saints v crows in melb im taking the saints
 

ADELAIDE v HAWTHORN
Saturday, March 1, AAMI Stadium, Adelaide

ADELAIDE
2 - Brad Moran
3 - Kris Massie
4 - Kurt Tippett
5 - Scott Thompson
6 - Jonathon Griffin
7 - Nathan Van Berlo
8 - Nathan Bassett
9 - Tyson Edwards
11 - Michael Doughty
12 - Robert Shirley
14 - David Mackay
15 - Brad Symes
16 - Ken McGregor
17 - Bernie Vince
18 - Graham Johncock
20 - Ivan Maric
21 - Chris Knights
23 - Andrew McLeod
24 - Brett Burton
25 - Ben Rutten
26 - Richard Douglas
27 - Scott Stevens
29 - James Sellar
31 - Bryce Campbell
33 - Brent Reilly
36 - Simon Goodwin
40 - Jason Porplyzia
44 - Nathan Bock
 
HAWTHORN
2 - Jarryd Roughead
3 - Jordan Lewis
4 - Rick Ladson
5 - Sam Mitchell
6 - Mark Williams
7 - Michael Osborne
11 - Clinton Young
12 - Brad Sewell
13 - Simon Taylor
14 - Grant Birchall
15 - Luke Hodge
17 - Beau Muston
18 - Brent Guerra
20 - Tim Boyle
22 - Travis Tuck
23 - Lance Franklin
24 - Trent Croad
25 - Tim Clarke
26 - Zac Dawson
27 - Stephen Gilham
28 - Gary Moss
29 - Tom Murphy
31 - Stuart Dew
32 - Xavier Ellis
33 - Cyril Rioli
35 - Jarryd Morton
36 - Josh Kennedy
39 - Robert Campbell
44 - Cam Stokes

 
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5 - Scott Thompson
8 - Nathan Bassett
9 - Tyson Edwards
16 - Ken McGregor
18 - Graham Johncock
23 - Andrew McLeod
24 - Brett Burton
25 - Ben Rutten
36 - Simon Goodwin
44 - Nathan Bock
10
 
5 - Sam Mitchell
6 - Mark Williams
15 - Luke Hodge
18 - Brent Guerra
23 - Lance Franklin
24 - Trent Croad
31 - Stuart Dew
39 - Robert Campbell
8
 
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Posted: #10
anyone whos with sportsacumen or global sportsbet take rogers +.5 v smith player performance handicap..smith is playing but hes not 100% if this was the regular season he wouldnt play..he might not take many shots or get much court time..even if he was 100% fit its still a slight edge to rogers...
 
from nbl.com.au
 you're us in the Kings camp and you go to game three with a 1-1 split, we've definitely got (Mark) Worthington back, we're hopeful to get Jason (Smith) back for some minutes and we're on our home court," he said
 
 
back for some minutes? and they still offer this bet...well ill take that any day of the week.
 
 
 
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Posted: #11

https://www.nbl.com.au/default.aspx?s=newsdisplay&id=74503

 

Speaking from Kings headquarters on Friday, Smith revealed his shoulder had improved considerably but remained 'a little sore'.

But with a grand final showdown against the Tigers on offer for the victor, the 33-year-old said he would not be confined to the bench on Saturday night.

"Even if it (the shoulder) was like it was like it was on Wednesday I'd play - it's do-or-die now," Smith said.

 

from the last bit he says i gather it is the same as on wednesday as hes saying hed play if it was do or die on wednesday except its a few days later and he is playing...once again odds are in the punters favour if u take rogers.

 
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Posted: #12
game 1 in sydney
smith
4/11 2 pt...3/7 3 pt...1/2 free throws..4 rebounds
12 pts 4 boards 0 assists..16
 
rogers
6/10 2pt...2/5 free throws...6 rebounds ..2 assists
14 pts 6 boards 2 assists...22
 
things in yur favour are smiths shoulder might not see him take many shots..game should see alot of boards which is good for rogers and not good for smith as hes a guard..smiths courttime might be llimited..you even get a +.5 on the pick so if its a draw rogers wins.
 
360 on rogers +.5..not a huge amount( 600 is a megalock) as smith might play 100% and normal minutes as he wont give a shit about his arm and have a good game while rogers can have shockers in the scoring column sometimes.
 
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Posted: #13
added 60 ..400 on rogers nothing else on the game line or half time or ingame as anything can happen in this ball game
 
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Posted: #14
last 4 reg season away games
P.Rogers  18 17 2 
P.Rogers  9 5 2 
P.Rogers  5 8 2 
P.Rogers  21 9 3
 
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Posted: #15
150 brown more pts than smith
 
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Posted: #16
rogers and brown wins 550 for 500 against smiths sore shoulder..if i was a bookie theres no way id offer a head to head with smith having a messed up shoulder..
won a shit load ingame on kings =20.5-24.5 when up 37 which was a bizarre line.
+$1400
+$3400 on the day including NBA
 
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Posted: #17

NAB Cup Final
Adelaide v St Kilda
Saturday March 8, 7.20pm ACDT at AAMI Stadium, Adelaide

B: Johncock, Rutten, Stevens
HB: Symes, Bock, van Berlo
C: McLeod, Thompson, Mackay
HF: Porplyzia, Tippett, Goodwin
F: Vince, McGregor, Burton
Foll: Maric, Reilly, Knights
I/C: Moran, Griffin, Bassett, Edwards, Doughty, Shirley, Douglas, Campbell
EMG: Massie, Sellar, Jericho

ST KILDA
B: Gilbert, Hudghton, Baker
HB: Gram, S Fisher, L Fisher
C: Fiora, Hayes, Montagna
HF: Harvey, Riewoldt, Clarke
F: Schneider, Koschitzke, Gardiner
Foll: King, Dal Santo, Ball
I/C (from): Gardiner, Clarke, Rix, Geary, Milne, Jones, Birss, Armitage, Eddy, McQualter, Blake, Allen
 
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Posted: #18
Johncock Rutten Bock McLeod Thompson Goodwin
McGregor Burton Bassett Edwards

Hudghton Fiora Hayes Montagna Harvey Riewoldt Clarke

Schneider Koschitzke Gardiner King Dal Santo Ball Milne

 
 
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Posted: #19
Crows
 
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qtr time scores...ad saints 3.25 none to get 25 pts in the 1st..qtrs are shorter than in the regular season so might take it
magies 3.2(20)
adelaide 3.3(21)
 
saints 2.4(16)
geelong 2.2.6(36)
 
 
 
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$75 none to get 25 pts in the 1st..at 3.25 because of the value as i think it is 50 50 or a 1.90 chance that none get to 25
 
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Posted: #22
These are basically their season sides aren't they.
 
What is the reduced time showmethemoney, 15 minutes a quarter ?
 
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Posted: #23
17 or 18 i think
 
10-4 score at qtr time so none to get 25 wins easily..75 for 160 payout
 
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Posted: #24
the winner will be who kicks the most behinds
 
 
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Posted: #25
good call on under 25. hot in adelaide atm so good pick
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