LAX SEMIS

I realized my previous thread heading was out of date, and didn't want to confuse any of the three people actually reading this.

 

Anyway, it's the NCAA LAX Final Four this weekend in Foxboro (sometimes more pretentiously spelled "Foxborough"), Mass.  Weather is supposed to be great, so it's really just a matter of matching up the teams.

 

Let's take a hard look at Game #2. - Duke will kill Johns Hopkins.

Lay the 3.5 at -110.  I like Dook to win this 14-7 or so.  They beat them 17-6 earlier in Durham.  This is really an awful sopt for the Blue Jays, as Hopkins has beaten them twice in national title games (Dook has never won one), and both times Duke had the better team.  Here the have the REALLY better team and should look to pay back JHU in a big way.

 

As for for Game #1, I think the more talented team has been cast as the underdog.  Virginia is the only team in the country that can match up, even a little, talent wise with Duke.  I think they have three guys who all would be the best player on Syracuse.  With that said, SU is tougher, and UVa has a nasty habit of starting very slowly.  They also should get dominated in the face-off circle.  Virginia won the first meeting in OT, in a game UVa had pretty much in hand until late.  SU is better now than they were then.  I can't really tell what Virginia's doing.  They look great in spurts, and have been amazing in close games late, but I worry about the Orange building a big lead and essentially playing keep-away.  Still getting the better team at +2 -110 is good value.  SU will need to win by 3 to beat you, and while I could see that happening, I think a 12-11 game is far more likely.  Also like Virginia to win outright at +175. 

I’m so sorry, Mike.  You joined me on the only game of the tourney that I didn’t get right.  Hell, I predicted the exact score in the other Semi!  Hopkins really has Duke’s numbers when it matters.  They’ve had the better team for the past several years, but it never seems to matter.  You could see in the first five minutes that JHU was going to control tempo and that they were in big trouble.  We, however, were in worse shape than that, because a four-goal Duke win would have been a miracle. 

 

Anyway, I had no clue about the final, which went up as a pick’em, and rightly so.  I might have leaned Syracuse a little, because you had to think Hopkins left a lot on the field on Saturday.  Looks like the Orange are going to win this, as Hopkins can keep possession of the ball.  I hit the women’s final by a ½ point yesterday.  Thought Northwestern would win 17-10, but it wound up 10-6.  Oh well, a cash is a cash. 

I notived that 5Dimes had mis-scored the bet, as they had it Penn 10-6.  What’s funny is that I didn’t catch the mistake until about 3:00 today, and I was apparently the first one to bring it to their attention – translation:  I was the only person with a 5Dimes account sick enough to bet the woman’s final .

Went 4-1 in my first weekend betting the AFL.    Cashed on Sydney, Richmond, Brisbane and Melbourne.  Losing on the Bulldogs.