Port have greatly improved, Swans aren't a high scoring team and don't really put sides away as we learned again, against the Giants.
Think Swans will be just good enough to get home by a 15-20 points, wouldn't be surprised to see Port get an upset SU win here but I'm feeling the Swans 1-39 is the play. I think it's more likely that Swans just cover than Port winning and it shouldn't stretch out to 40+
Swans 1-39 1u @ 2.35 (sportingbet)
Obvious Demons fade, but this is Richmond who lost to the Suns last year, so just a single unit play. Richmond should win by more than 10 goals. But I won't hold my breath.
Tigers -30.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)
It's a nice mild day in Perth, bet365 have the total at 187.5. I like the over on this one with Brown back and I can see the total going over 200. The line is a little high at -43.5, even though the Lions fan side of me thinks we'll get thrashed by lots, if Lions do manage to be competitive both teams should put up 100 each, if not I can see a 120+ to 60 type scoreline.
Dockers vs Lions Over 187.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)
I thought the Suns would fare a little better this year, clearly I was mistaken. Bombers should blow them away by over 100.
Bombers -55.5 1u @ $1.98 (pinnacle)
Port have greatly improved, Swans aren't a high scoring team and don't really put sides away as we learned again, against the Giants.
Think Swans will be just good enough to get home by a 15-20 points, wouldn't be surprised to see Port get an upset SU win here but I'm feeling the Swans 1-39 is the play. I think it's more likely that Swans just cover than Port winning and it shouldn't stretch out to 40+
Swans 1-39 1u @ 2.35 (sportingbet)
Obvious Demons fade, but this is Richmond who lost to the Suns last year, so just a single unit play. Richmond should win by more than 10 goals. But I won't hold my breath.
Tigers -30.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)
It's a nice mild day in Perth, bet365 have the total at 187.5. I like the over on this one with Brown back and I can see the total going over 200. The line is a little high at -43.5, even though the Lions fan side of me thinks we'll get thrashed by lots, if Lions do manage to be competitive both teams should put up 100 each, if not I can see a 120+ to 60 type scoreline.
Dockers vs Lions Over 187.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)
I thought the Suns would fare a little better this year, clearly I was mistaken. Bombers should blow them away by over 100.
Was nearly gonna take the 59.5, that wouldn't have been nice losing by .5. I didn't expect them to cover -99.5 but at 20/1 and Melbournes shitness it was worth a small shot. Shame Tigers couldn't repeat that 3rd quarter in the 4th.
Swans 1-39
10-9-0 | Multi 0-3 +4.22
Tigers -30.5 .99.5
Was nearly gonna take the 59.5, that wouldn't have been nice losing by .5. I didn't expect them to cover -99.5 but at 20/1 and Melbournes shitness it was worth a small shot. Shame Tigers couldn't repeat that 3rd quarter in the 4th.
That Over on Friday nights game...unbelievabl didn't hit..TAB made a lot of money in that game on the over and on people betting on collingwood. I was about to lay some $$$ on the over as well...but the odds was only paying like $1.60 something, hence I didn't play
I got hit by that dodgy Freo vs Brisbane game...I thought over 185.5 was a reasonable bet....but it was lost by the 1st qtr...FUCK
Then on Half time I bet on Freo -37.5, because my thought was Brisbane only had like 5 scoring shot in the whole half... and Freo for sure will kick more goals in 2nd half...but who would have thought that these fuckers kept on scoring behinds..Fuck!!!!
Luckily I made my money back in St Kilda -14.5!!!
That Over on Friday nights game...unbelievabl didn't hit..TAB made a lot of money in that game on the over and on people betting on collingwood. I was about to lay some $$$ on the over as well...but the odds was only paying like $1.60 something, hence I didn't play
I got hit by that dodgy Freo vs Brisbane game...I thought over 185.5 was a reasonable bet....but it was lost by the 1st qtr...FUCK
Then on Half time I bet on Freo -37.5, because my thought was Brisbane only had like 5 scoring shot in the whole half... and Freo for sure will kick more goals in 2nd half...but who would have thought that these fuckers kept on scoring behinds..Fuck!!!!
When I checked the scores on the AFL site I thought it was glitched when the scores were so low in the 3rd Q, alas no.
Fortunately despite going 3-4 for the day, 3-6 including the multis I ended up 1.05u up. Think I'll be playing what would have been the last 3 legs in my 7 teamer. Hawks -39, Cats 27.5 and Weagles -99.5
When I checked the scores on the AFL site I thought it was glitched when the scores were so low in the 3rd Q, alas no.
Fortunately despite going 3-4 for the day, 3-6 including the multis I ended up 1.05u up. Think I'll be playing what would have been the last 3 legs in my 7 teamer. Hawks -39, Cats 27.5 and Weagles -99.5
.99.5 
although crows only -85.5 on sportsbet. must be the weather??
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