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    Django's AFL 2012 thread

    «First Previous 123 ... 131415 Next Last»
    yysmer
    HeadOverHeart
    Django
    Luckylunchbox
    bevoaustintx
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    Views: 30815
    Posts: 366
    «First Previous 123 ... 131415 Next Last»
     
    yysmer
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2012 - 10:11 PM ET #301

    I'm on Cats -7.5. Good luck guys.
    Reply
    I'm on Cats -7.5. Good luck guys.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 1:41 AM ET #302

    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

    Why change your play? Isn't that line movement significant? Odds makers always know 10 times more than us average bettors.


    Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?

    Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.

    Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.

    Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.

    No they don't.  They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter.  "Educated" being the key word.

    The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

    Why change your play? Isn't that line movement significant? Odds makers always know 10 times more than us average bettors.


    Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?

    Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.

    Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.

    Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.

    No they don't.  They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter.  "Educated" being the key word.

    The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.
     
    yysmer
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 2:24 AM ET #303

    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?

    Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.

    Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.

    Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.

    No they don't.  They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter.  "Educated" being the key word.

    The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.


    They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    Like when they set Gold Coast getting 38.5 against Richmond?

    Or Sydney getting 18.5 against Hawthorn.

    Or Sydney getting 8.5 against Essendon.

    Or Sydney getting 9.5 against West Coast.

    No they don't.  They know just as much as the regular educated Joe Punter.  "Educated" being the key word.

    The only advantages they have is in the player personnel game and the inside behind closed doors info that leaks out and their office spies ear in on.


    They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 4:01 AM ET #304

    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:



    They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.


    They are highly educated in what they do and that is the key.  Besides the closed-door info they get leaked, what they know is attainable to anyone else if they get learned up.  Most punters don't bother with this fact though.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:



    They can't be 100% accurate that's for sure, but if you think they know only as much as we do, then we have nothing to discuss here.


    They are highly educated in what they do and that is the key.  Besides the closed-door info they get leaked, what they know is attainable to anyone else if they get learned up.  Most punters don't bother with this fact though.
     
    Django
    Django
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 4:39 AM ET #305

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    Crows +8.5 1u @ 1.92


    53-69-0 | Multi 0-5
    -1.23

    Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91

    Who were you referring to changing their play? I picked Crows earlier in the week in the opening lines thread.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    Crows +8.5 1u @ 1.92


    53-69-0 | Multi 0-5
    -1.23

    Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91

    Who were you referring to changing their play? I picked Crows earlier in the week in the opening lines thread.


     
    Django
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 5:34 AM ET #306

    Weather is fine on the Gold Coast, Swans win big

    Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04
    Reply
    Weather is fine on the Gold Coast, Swans win big

    Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04
     
    Django
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 8:26 AM ET #307

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04

    Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91

    Tinass goal by Carlton in dying minutes puts the total on 186, which I could have taken 186.5 on titanbet for 1.83



    54-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    -1.19

    Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    Swans -50.5 1u @ 2.04

    Richmond vs Carlton Under 185.5 1u @ 1.91

    Tinass goal by Carlton in dying minutes puts the total on 186, which I could have taken 186.5 on titanbet for 1.83



    54-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    -1.19

    Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91

     
    Django
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2012 - 7:15 PM ET #308

    Eagles -35.5 1u @ 1.95
    (Lions will screw me and lose by 35)

    Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91

    Reply
    Eagles -35.5 1u @ 1.95
    (Lions will screw me and lose by 35)

    Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91

     
    Django
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 9:16 AM ET #309

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:



    Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91

    Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91

    Eagles -35.5 1u @ 1.95



    57-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +1.58
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:



    Fremantle 1u -8.5 @ 1.91

    Saints -34.5 1u @ 1.91

    Eagles -35.5 1u @ 1.95



    57-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +1.58
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2012 - 2:16 PM ET #310

    Nice call on the Weagles.  I got fancy smasnsy.  Haha.





    Hahaha....
    Reply
    Nice call on the Weagles.  I got fancy smasnsy.  Haha.





    Hahaha....
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 2, 2012 - 8:07 PM ET #311

    Hawks have been shit hot but Cats are their bogey side. Scarlett and Pods back, no Buddy for the Hawks. Cats can win this su.

    Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92
    Reply
    Hawks have been shit hot but Cats are their bogey side. Scarlett and Pods back, no Buddy for the Hawks. Cats can win this su.

    Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92
     
    Luckylunchbox
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    Posted: Aug. 2, 2012 - 8:13 PM ET #312

    Reply
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2012 - 2:08 PM ET #313

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:


    Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92


    58-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +2.50
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:


    Cats +25.5 1u @ 1.92


    58-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +2.50
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2012 - 9:00 PM ET #314

    North -50.5 1u @ 1.98

    Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3

    Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32

    Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25

    Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96
    Reply
    North -50.5 1u @ 1.98

    Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3

    Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32

    Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25

    Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 12:01 AM ET #315

    Ugh I have a feeling North are going to struggle to win this let alone cover and wouldn't ya know it, Petrie is playing with a virus. Aids.
    Reply
    Ugh I have a feeling North are going to struggle to win this let alone cover and wouldn't ya know it, Petrie is playing with a virus. Aids.
     
    bevoaustintx
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 2:24 AM ET #316

    Easy cover :-)
    Reply
    Easy cover :-)
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 2:38 AM ET #317

    I'd written it off given my recent luck when Dogs got down to 48 with a few mins to go.

    It wasn't looking good, thankfully Petrie's illness didn't hinder him and he topped most goals with 5 too
    Reply
    I'd written it off given my recent luck when Dogs got down to 48 with a few mins to go.

    It wasn't looking good, thankfully Petrie's illness didn't hinder him and he topped most goals with 5 too
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 2:51 AM ET #318

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    North -50.5 1u @ 1.98

    Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3



    60-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +5.48


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:

    North -50.5 1u @ 1.98

    Roos vs Dogs > Drew Petrie: Most Goals 1u @ $3



    60-70-0 | Multi 0-5
    +5.48


     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 2:31 PM ET #319

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:


    Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32

    Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25

    Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96


    61-72-0 | Multi 0-5
    +4.73


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:


    Eagles 1-39 1u @ 2.32

    Collingwood 1-39 1u @ 2.25

    Brisbane Lions +8.5 1u @ 1.96


    61-72-0 | Multi 0-5
    +4.73


     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 3:01 PM ET #320

    Swans -16.5 2u @ 1.91
    Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80
    Reply
    Swans -16.5 2u @ 1.91
    Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 4:46 PM ET #321

    Crows -39.5 1u @ 2.50
    Reply
    Crows -39.5 1u @ 2.50
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 11:09 PM ET #322

    Suns ML 1u @ 3.20
    G Ablett Most Goals 1u @ 7.50

    Suns ML 3.20
    Crows -39.5 2.50
    Swans -39.5 3.50
    x3 .2 @ 28
    Reply
    Suns ML 1u @ 3.20
    G Ablett Most Goals 1u @ 7.50

    Suns ML 3.20
    Crows -39.5 2.50
    Swans -39.5 3.50
    x3 .2 @ 28
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2012 - 11:56 PM ET #323

    That's supposed to only be .5 on the Ablett Most Goals prop
    Reply
    That's supposed to only be .5 on the Ablett Most Goals prop
     
    bevoaustintx
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2012 - 12:54 AM ET #324

    On Sydney just not.posting tonight
    Reply
    On Sydney just not.posting tonight
     
     
    Django
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2012 - 3:49 AM ET #325

    Quote Originally Posted by Django:



    Swans -16.5 2u @ 1.91
    Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80

    Suns ML 1u @ 3.20
    G Ablett Most Goals .5u @ 7.50

    Suns ML 3.20
    Crows -39.5 2.50
    Swans -39.5 3.50
    x3 .2 @ 28


    62-75-0 | Multi 0-6
    +4.35

    Crows aren't gonna cover either

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Django:



    Swans -16.5 2u @ 1.91
    Swans -39.5 .5u @ 3.80

    Suns ML 1u @ 3.20
    G Ablett Most Goals .5u @ 7.50

    Suns ML 3.20
    Crows -39.5 2.50
    Swans -39.5 3.50
    x3 .2 @ 28


    62-75-0 | Multi 0-6
    +4.35

    Crows aren't gonna cover either

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