Posted:
#76
Sorry that should read
20 units Mark Cavendish @ $1.75
10 units Mark Cavendish @ $2
Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia
Posted:
#77
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:
Sorry that should read
20 units Mark Cavendish @ $1.75
10 units Mark Cavendish @ $2
AMAZING CAV HOW SWEET THE SOUND.
Cav should have his own card on the monopoly board.
Get out of jail free card. He has done it to me two times.
My overall of 10 units on Cav @ $1.85 for over 2.5 stage wins will win too. But I will count that at the end with the other overalls.
Posted:
#78
1.+2.5 units
2. +3.78 units
3. -10
4. -12.1
5. -0.5 units
6. +5.7 units
7. -3.2 units
8. -4.1 units
9. +29 units
10. -1.5 units
11. -3 units
12. -18.66 units
13. +25 units
2. +3.78 units
3. -10
4. -12.1
5. -0.5 units
6. +5.7 units
7. -3.2 units
8. -4.1 units
9. +29 units
10. -1.5 units
11. -3 units
12. -18.66 units
13. +25 units
Overall: +12.92
Overalls that are won but can’t count yet.
Cavendish over 2.5 stages
Astana over Serramenti
Columbia over Barloworld
Leipheimer over Basso
Leipheimer top 3
Astana over Serramenti
Columbia over Barloworld
Leipheimer over Basso
Leipheimer top 3
Question marks
Leipheimer win?
Valjavec over Arroyo?
Valjavec over Arroyo?
Known losers
Cunego win
Cunego place
Cunego place
If I don’t place anymore bets, this can be a nice 40+ unit profitable Giro.
------
Posted:
#82
Same deal tonight!
As I probably won't be around till after the stage starts, when I can get prices for these riders, these are who I am backing. I will update their prices when I get back from my girlfriend. Some riders I may not be able to get on. Just looked at the market with another agency and should get similar prices. So I'll quote their prices and then change their prices if neccessary. Betfair do live betting so I may do that aswell.
Anyway
1.5 unit Garzelli @ $9
.5 unit Cunego @ $15
.4 unit Visconti @ $31
.3 unit Scarponi @ $21
.2 unit Voeckler @ $51
Other riders.
Marco Pinotti
Jose Serpa
Andriy Grivko
Dario Cioni
Simon Gerrans
Felix Cardennas
David Garcia Lopez
Alessandro Bertolini (BIG)
Luca Mazzanti (BIG) - hometown boy.
That will be all of them! All again will be .2 -.5 unit plays. Mazzanti will be around 50/1, Cardenas 40/1, Gerrans 40/1, Cioni 60/1,
Really there are only 3 riders I like. Mazzanti for the hometown factor, Bertolini and Garzelli. They are the more important ones for me.
Posted:
#83
Final plays!
1 unit Garzelli @ $9
.5 unit Cunego @ $15
.4 unit Visconti @ $31
.3 unit Scarponi @ $21
.2 unit Voeckler @ $51
.1 unit Mori @ $151
.1 unit Fothen @ $126
.15 units Pinotti @ $101
.6 units Bertolini @ $71
.15 units Cardenas @ $67
.15 units Grivko @ $67
.15 units Garcia @ $67
.2 units Gerrans @ $41
.5 units Mazzani @ $34
.2 units Voigt @ $31
4.7 units Staked
Good luck!
Let's hope the break survives and one of these riders get in there.
I'm very confident in Bertolini to add a second Giro stage to his record.
1 unit Garzelli @ $9
.5 unit Cunego @ $15
.4 unit Visconti @ $31
.3 unit Scarponi @ $21
.2 unit Voeckler @ $51
.1 unit Mori @ $151
.1 unit Fothen @ $126
.15 units Pinotti @ $101
.6 units Bertolini @ $71
.15 units Cardenas @ $67
.15 units Grivko @ $67
.15 units Garcia @ $67
.2 units Gerrans @ $41
.5 units Mazzani @ $34
.2 units Voigt @ $31
4.7 units Staked
Good luck!
Let's hope the break survives and one of these riders get in there.
I'm very confident in Bertolini to add a second Giro stage to his record.
Posted:
#84
The big contenders will fight for some positions in the GC, Leiphemer will be at the front to stay near near the top and possibly try to pick up the pink jersey.
Leipheimer over Sastre @1.709 ( 4 units)
There's no way Armstrong will stay with the contender, he's warming up. Simoni has won this stage in the past.
Simoni over Armstrong @ 1.746 ( 4 units)
Simoni over Sastre @ 2.39 ( 2,75 units ), Why not !
Posted:
#85
Quote Originally Posted by n1ck:
The big contenders will fight for some positions in the GC, Leiphemer will be at the front to stay near near the top and possibly try to pick up the pink jersey.
Leipheimer over Sastre @1.709 ( 4 units)
There's no way Armstrong will stay with the contender, he's warming up. Simoni has won this stage in the past.
Simoni over Armstrong @ 1.746 ( 4 units)
Simoni over Sastre @ 2.39 ( 2,75 units ), Why not !
Good luck. I have 3 riders in the break. Let's hope one of them wins! If not, lets hope for a Pinotti or Bertolini counter attack.
Posted:
#86
Gerrans brings home the bacon.
+3.5 units
Stage 1.+2.5 units
Stage 2. +3.78 units
Stage 3. -10
Stage 4. -12.1
Stage 5. -0.5 units
Stage 6. +5.7 units
Stage 7. -3.2 units
Stage 8. -4.1 units
Stage 9. +29 units
Stage 10. -1.5 units
Stage 11. -3 units
Stage 12. -18.66 units
Stage 13. +25 units
Stage 14. +3.5 units
Overall: +16.42
Now things are starting to get back on track!
-------
Bertolini will have to be my tip for tomorrow. Tomorrow's stage looks more to his liking - similar to stage 11 last year it looks like. A break will win tomorrow's stage again so look for me to have another 10 - 15 riders in my mix.
On Monday a GC battle
On Wednesday a GC battle
On Thursday a sprint/break
On Friday a GC battle
Soler is targetting Monday/Wednesday/Friday. I'll be playing him on one of those days. Try and see if he has a blog anywhere and get an insight on how his knee is feeling.
Posted:
#87
The stage Bertolini won last year.
[url]https://www.cyclingnews.com/road/2008/giro08/?id=stages/giro0811[/url]
The stage on Sunday
[url]https://www.cyclingnews.com/road/2009/giro09/?id=stages/giro0915[/url]
I don't see the GC men battling it out tomorrow! They will let a break go and concentrate on Monday's monster.
Serramenti will be there. Bertolini or Serpa
Another ISD man will try. Cioni or Scarselli
David Millar?
Lampre - Cunego/Gasparotto/Mori
I'm surprised BBox didn't try today. Voeckler tomorrow?
Katusha - Brut/Ignatiev/Mazzanti
Milram - Fothen
Saxo Bank - Voigt?
Xacobeo - Isaichev?
Barloworld - Augustyn/Cardenas?
AG2R - Efimkin?
Columbia - Pinotti/Possoni? Time for Columbia to try for another stage win. Maybe Boassen-Hagen again? There is like 30km of flat after the last climb.
Caisse - David Garcia Lopez?
Will Silence Lotto try? Gilbert?
Posted:
#90
Bad luck Cobber
Regarding the break!
.7 units Gilbert @ $12
.5 units Voigt @ $26
.5 units Voeckler @ $23
.3 units Cioni @ $34
.3 units Grivko @ $34
.4 units Millar @ $51
.2 units Mazzanti @ $51
.3 units Pinotti @ $51
.3 units Brutt @ $67
1 unit Bertolini @ $29
.5 units Voigt @ $26
.5 units Voeckler @ $23
.3 units Cioni @ $34
.3 units Grivko @ $34
.4 units Millar @ $51
.2 units Mazzanti @ $51
.3 units Pinotti @ $51
.3 units Brutt @ $67
1 unit Bertolini @ $29
Other riders who I don't have a price on for and will play if I can (going to footy today so I'll update this when I get home)
Moris Possoni, Vladimir Isaichev, Leonardo Scarselli, Charles Wegelius, David Lopez Garcia, Manuel Mori
Don't know if I'm playing Boasson-Hagen next. That will be an afternoon decision.
Total units staked = 4.5
Posted:
#91
Final plays!
.7 units Gilbert @ $12
.5 units Voigt @ $26
.5 units Voeckler @ $23
.3 units Cioni @ $34
.3 units Grivko @ $34
.4 units Millar @ $51
.2 units Mazzanti @ $51
.3 units Pinotti @ $51
.3 units Brutt @ $67
1 unit Bertolini @ $29
.1 unit Ignatiev @ $151
.1 unit Scarselli @ $151
.2 units Possoni @ $67
.2 units Garcia Lopez @ $67
.3 units Isaichev @ $67
.2 units Mori @ $51
.2 units Wegelius @ $51
Total units staked = 5.8
Good luck!
Posted:
#93
Adding
Serramenti will be on a mission today. Time is running out for Simoni so they will send someone in the break. They need to.
I already have Bertolini.
I'm adding
.3 units Serpa @ $23
.25 units Ochoa @ $41
.25 units Rodriguez @ $23
.2 units Bertagnolli @ $67
.25 units Ochoa @ $41
.25 units Rodriguez @ $23
.2 units Bertagnolli @ $67
I'm leaving out Simoni, Bertogliati who attacked yesterday,
Scarponi who isn't greedy and De Bonis. If one of those riders I left out do a break, I will look stupid.
I'm also adding
.2 units John Lee Augustyn @ $67
.2 units Felix Cardenas @ $67
.2 units Felix Cardenas @ $67
I'm adding another .3 on Gilbert @ $14 to make it a 1 unit play on him.
Finally to make it an even 8, I'm putting another .5 on Voeckler @
$23 to make it a 1 unit play on him.
8 units staked on this stage.
Posted:
#94
In the break are Pinotti, Serpa, Grivko and Bertagnolli - so I have 4 bets of the 16 men. I had 3 bets of the 13 men yesterday and still came out on top.
Naturally, Pinotti will give me a huge profit today of around 8 units if he gets up! So let's go Pinotti. Grivko and Bertanolli will give me a profit but if Serpa wins, I will be down a little. But that will be better than being down 8.
Anyone else and I lose 8 unless the bunch is caught and someone counter attacks (more than likely with no Rabobank in the break)
Posted:
#96
Another day, another win. Thankyou Bertognolli! Pinotti was third and Grivko came in 5th.
+5.4 units
Stage 1.+2.5 units
Stage 2. +3.78 units
Stage 3. -10
Stage 4. -12.1
Stage 5. -0.5 units
Stage 6. +5.7 units
Stage 7. -3.2 units
Stage 8. -4.1 units
Stage 9. +29 units
Stage 10. -1.5 units
Stage 11. -3 units
Stage 12. -18.66 units
Stage 13. +25 units
Stage 14. +3.5 units
Stage 15. +5.4 units
Stage 2. +3.78 units
Stage 3. -10
Stage 4. -12.1
Stage 5. -0.5 units
Stage 6. +5.7 units
Stage 7. -3.2 units
Stage 8. -4.1 units
Stage 9. +29 units
Stage 10. -1.5 units
Stage 11. -3 units
Stage 12. -18.66 units
Stage 13. +25 units
Stage 14. +3.5 units
Stage 15. +5.4 units
Overall: +21.82
Posted:
#97
Quote Originally Posted by n1ck:
Congrat, nice added up @ 67 ( .2 units ) Still 5,4 units up
Thanks. I would have looked stupid if another serramenti rider took it. Had the right team today. Thought they would have been motivated.
It pays to be persistant in this game, especially in cycling on a 3 week GT. It wasn't looking good at the start, then Cavendish made up for his mistakes and then I seem to be getting the right guys in the break.
Tomorrow, GC battle. Leipheimer!
Posted:
#98
If you wish to brink cash to the bank :
Leipheimer over Sastre @ 2.60 ( Something sounds strange here. Astana has a much better team to support their leader for the Tour, Leipheimer also need to stay close to Di Luca and Menchov to take Maglia Rosa on the last day )
Armstrong over Popovych @ 2.35 ( Better rider and he'll probably back Leipheimer on the final climb )
Parlay Simoni over Scarponi AND Soler over Cardenas @ 2.15 ( Two favorites and it looks good to me )
At least 2 out the 3 picks are winner, take them
Serpa to win @ 34
Di Luca @ 5.50
Leipheimer @ 21
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