Posted:
#176
R23
MEL/GWS - u178.5 ($1.91 Topbetta)
capperchris AFL Totals 2018
Posted:
#188
Absolutely shocking.
Richmoind total opened at 89.5. Which in itself is shocking. Now down to 87.5.
How in hell is a team favored to win by DD totaled at 87.5? And against this year's Collingwood, no doubt?
Either the books are taking a big piss take or this is the banker of the decade?
I'd stay off the line and pound the garbage out of the total OVER and Richmond TT OVER.
Anybody looking for a BAIL OUT, this is it! Stop thinking and lay it on this, whether you follow Aussie Rules or not.
If this doesn't hit, then gambling is dead.
Richmond 90+ for sure.
Total 170+ for sure.
What do they know that we don't?
We know the books don't give away free money but this is the softest line I've seen in years in AFL. Let alone any sport.
Posted:
#189
Lots of talk in the running of the Pies midfield. I think that is causing the line to be soft. I'm sorry. Yes, on paper, they are better than Richmond's mids, but this is not going to change the fact that dynamically Richmond plows through the centre and destroys you in their forward 50.
Collingwood failed to show dominance against the other final teams and there's no way they all of a sudden turn it on against this reckless;y good Tigers side.
Posted:
#190
If I didn't have children, I'd reverse mortgage the house and bet the Over 87.5 TT of Richmond.
This is gambling, but the closest thing I've ever seen in any comp to free money.
19 points a quarter? 3 goals and a behind a quarter?
PISS TAKE.
What the hell do the books know that we don't?
This is a free money giveaway!!!!!
Posted:
#192
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
Please explain to me why the Richmond/Collingwood Total is only 161.5?
Please explain to me why the Richmond/Collingwood Total is only 161.5?
Last five matches between these two flew over this. 170’s in both matches this year. Richmond TT is only 89.5. Huh?
How can you not unload the house on this over?
Explain this.
As you know this is is the winner take all, a must win by either team.
Both can play defense, their strategy almost similar with keeping the score close and late run.
Posted:
#193
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
If I didn't have children, I'd reverse mortgage the house and bet the Over 87.5 TT of Richmond.
If I didn't have children, I'd reverse mortgage the house and bet the Over 87.5 TT of Richmond.
I have kids and didn't reverse mortgage.
I think the only over for the finals is today. Melbourne's defence is the biggest reason. It should be a higher scoring game but I think the best "free money" bet has to be WCE at home with a short line. Melbourne are in good form and as we saw from last night, form matters now... but with JK and Darling, they'll just have the edge in scoring opportunities.
If Melbourne had Hogan, the line might be accurate but it should be at least 2 goals, not 4 points.
Posted:
#194
we have to learn lesson..
when it comes to this kind of finals games always diffrent.. these games are do or die..so both teams must play hard..
dont follow history please..
im not big AFL fans as a new zealander.. but i backed pies +29.5..
tonite WC @1.80 win i feel free money.. as well as under 171.5 hi again its gambling..
Posted:
#195
Quote Originally Posted by Target2million:
we have to learn lesson.. when it comes to this kind of finals games always diffrent.. these games are do or die..so both teams must play hard.. dont follow history please.. im not big AFL fans as a new zealander.. but i backed pies +29.5.. tonite WC @1.80 win i feel free money.. as well as under 171.5 hi again its gambling..
we have to learn lesson.. when it comes to this kind of finals games always diffrent.. these games are do or die..so both teams must play hard.. dont follow history please.. im not big AFL fans as a new zealander.. but i backed pies +29.5.. tonite WC @1.80 win i feel free money.. as well as under 171.5 hi again its gambling..
Lucky on that total... well done on the WC decision.
Posted:
#196
Well, Richmond showed us why the total was so low. And why the money was coming in on the Pies late knocking them down to just 15-point dogs from an opening high of 18.5.
I don't think Richmond had more than two players in between either 50 for three-quarters of the game. Their catch-and-blast strategy obviously failed them on the night, but it also looked mores o like they were spent from a long season, attached to a draining last season, with many expectations. Similar to when Sydney was blown out in the Finals the last couple seasons.
I rode the train until the tracks derailed, so no regrets for this ride. Hahaha.
All-in-all, very poor Prelims in the run-up to the GF. Usually, the Prelims are as exciting as the big game itself.
Should be a good GF with two teams with similar strengths.
Posted:
#197
And don't take my hyperbolic posts on AFL matches too seriously. This is my favorite sport and comes on around the midnight hour where I live, a perfect time for getting into some (or a lot of) drinks and throwing money down on the games. I have my guilty fun and like to make ridiculous statements before the games. Hahaha.
If you can't have some fun, then what's the point? 
Posted:
#198
Quote Originally Posted by Target2million:
we have to learn lesson..
when it comes to this kind of finals games always diffrent.. these games are do or die..so both teams must play hard..
dont follow history please..
im not big AFL fans as a new zealander.. but i backed pies +29.5..
tonite WC @1.80 win i feel free money.. as well as under 171.5 hi again its gambling..
Very good advice that usually works.
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