Posted:
#1
i don't watch this sport at all LOL but apparently my system works like a charm here so here it goes
carlton +10.5 - 1 unit
carlton +10.5 - 1 unit
AFL thread 2015
Posted:
#12
Quote Originally Posted by Erich777:
Cool dude, good luck with that. I think that's the right side given that the line has moved a full 7 points (now back down to 14.5 though).
Cool dude, good luck with that. I think that's the right side given that the line has moved a full 7 points (now back down to 14.5 though).
That's too many points for NM to be laying (opened at 8.5)...
Cheers - E
thx! i notice this essendon team covers but just barely...something maybe to keep an eye out for in the future
carlton +12.5 - 2 units
Posted:
#14
Ess 1 A Syd 2 W 22.5 12
2 H Haw 1 W 33.5 -2
3 A Carl 13 L -24.5 -21
4 H Coll 10 L -17.5 20
5 A STK 17 L -33.5 -2
6 A Freo 1 L 26.5 28
7 H NM 7 (blank) 15.5 0
The W/L is ATS, the line is the first number to the right of that, followed by actual margin of game (a '-' means outright win).
I'm taking the GWS Giants this afternoon, so we'll see how we go. 
Posted:
#16
Be careful mate on that play... thanks to Bevo's call on weather, I offset my WCE play. But I saw that as a 70+ pt victory in normal conditions (I wasn't alone)... Gold Coast, in its current form, traveling cross country (like from Atlanta to LA), may keep it closer to the line... but would they be worth betting on? I say no, but completely respect a different play. Just sharing thoughts, that's all.
We're all here to win afterall, right?
Posted:
#17
Quote Originally Posted by Manila_Playa87:
Shitty sport to bet in. Every favourite is winning and smashing spreads. No value at all unlike US sports or even Nrl
Shitty sport to bet in. Every favourite is winning and smashing spreads. No value at all unlike US sports or even Nrl
So by your conclusion you're not smart enough to just bet the favourites at the line, where there is equal value to any other sport. righto
Posted:
#19
Quote Originally Posted by Erich777:
Be careful mate on that play... thanks to Bevo's call on weather, I offset my WCE play. But I saw that as a 70+ pt victory in normal conditions (I wasn't alone)... Gold Coast, in its current form, traveling cross country (like from Atlanta to LA), may keep it closer to the line... but would they be worth betting on? I say no, but completely respect a different play. Just sharing thoughts, that's all.
Be careful mate on that play... thanks to Bevo's call on weather, I offset my WCE play. But I saw that as a 70+ pt victory in normal conditions (I wasn't alone)... Gold Coast, in its current form, traveling cross country (like from Atlanta to LA), may keep it closer to the line... but would they be worth betting on? I say no, but completely respect a different play. Just sharing thoughts, that's all.
We're all here to win afterall, right?
thanks for the heads up! nice calls this weekend! it was purely a system play but maybe i should take other games into account
had western +22.5 but forgot to post so wont count it
port adelaide -31.5 - 2 units
Posted:
#21
Hey mate,
Sorry your Knights' play didn't come through. Their captain, and best player by a mile, took a (literal) knock-out blow last week and wasn't playing today.
Be careful on Freo for the game line. Remember they didn't cover a similar line last week for the first time, and NM is a decent-enough opponent. Additionally, NM is on/off in performance, roughly, and lost ATS last week, so one would expect a big effort tonight. Personally, I see value on the Freo side early, not overall. But hope you win it, as Freo is the best team.
Posted:
#22
Quote Originally Posted by Erich777:
Hey mate,
Hey mate,
Sorry your Knights' play didn't come through. Their captain, and best player by a mile, took a (literal) knock-out blow last week and wasn't playing today.
Be careful on Freo for the game line. Remember they didn't cover a similar line last week for the first time, and NM is a decent-enough opponent. Additionally, NM is on/off in performance, roughly, and lost ATS last week, so one would expect a big effort tonight. Personally, I see value on the Freo side early, not overall. But hope you win it, as Freo is the best team.
thanks !
essendon -30.5 - 2 units
melbourne +17.5 - 2 units
port adelaide -23 - 2 units
Posted:
#25
Quote Originally Posted by Erich777:
Good luck with that one mate. I think I'm going to take Sydney.
Good luck with that one mate. I think I'm going to take Sydney.
Or may simply pass.
Worrying things for Carlton:
- Coach just fired (actually, I think this would lift them, but...)
- 4 key players out for them
Cheers
thanks!i know this is probably the jaguars/titans/bucs of the afl but 72 points? also i really can't imagine anyone would be betting them anyway
https://basketbawful.blogspot.com/2008/11/word-of-day-dead-coach-bounce.html
this works across all sports
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