AFL rnd 4

ESSENDON v WESTERN BULLDOGS

ESSENDON
B: Adam Ramanauskas, Mal Michael, Dustin Fletcher
HB: Jay Nash, Patrick Ryder, Kyle Reimers
C: Bachar Houli, Jobe Watson, Ricky Dyson
HF: Alwyn Davey, Adam McPhee, Andrew Lovett
F: Mark McVeigh, Jason Laycock, Nathan Lovett-Murray
Foll: David Hille, Sam Lonergan, Brent Stanton
I/C: Angus Monfries, Damien Peverill, Henry Slattery, Jason Winderlich
EMG: Courtney Johns, Jason Johnson, Tayte Pears

In: Lovett-Murray, Slattery
Out: Leroy Jetta (hamstring), Matthew Lloyd (calf)

WESTERN BULLDOGS
B: Tim Callan, Brian Lake , Dale Morris
HB: Lindsay Gilbee, Cameron Wight, Ryan Hargrave
C: Josh Hill, Matthew Boyd, Daniel Cross
HF: Daniel Giansiracusa, Mitch Hahn, Robert Murphy
F: Jason Akermanis, Brad Johnson, Scott Welsh
Foll: Ben Hudson, Adam Cooney, Ryan Griffen
I/C: Nathan Eagleton, Dylan Addison, Jarrod Harbow, Will Minson
EMG: Peter Street, Callan Ward, Wayde Skipper

In: Eagleton
Out: Scott West (knee)

ess missing lloyd lucas j johnson

dogs missing west

 

if you count whos missing and added from the last meeting:

ess missing lloyd lucas j johnson m johnson hird camporeale

dogs get welsh lose west

 

essendons main advantage in the last 5 years against the dogs have been lloyd and lucas in attack without them dogs have most of the reasons they should win n cover. dogs are in good early season form towling up the saints last week was impressive.

400 dogs -8.5

200 dogs 1st half -4.5

50 blues 1234 at 11.50(525 payout) value

nice 42-2 last qtr from the dogs..got doggies ingame -3.5 3.25 etc so made about a grand on the game tonight and the 500 on the doggies to make the 8 is more certain..so happy the dogs went sick.

only 2 bets pending so far:

Date

Event	Selection	Bet	Status
3437100	10/04/2008 17:37	Go to Whoa - Carlton v Collingwood (13/04/2008)	Carlton to lead at the end of each quarter	$50.00 @ 11.50	Accepted
3442751	11/04/2008 22:29	Go to Whoa - St Kilda v Geelong (12/04/2008)	St Kilda to lead at the end of each quarter	$50.00 @ 11.00	Accepted

3.25 in-game on the Bulldogs?  When they were never more than 10 or 11 out of it?  WOWOWOWOWOW!  What book would be silly enough to do that? 

at 3 qtr time centrebet had doggies 1.85

global doggies 1.70

bet365 doggies -3.5 3.25 (-3.5 is close enough to moneyline) so there was value only put 80 on it for 180 payout

 

I am sure they wanted to tempt the inexperienced punters into playing the Dons. You should have heard them on the radio and doing commentary on TV "Dons have the ascendancy and the Bulldogs just look slow and tired. I don't think there is anyway they come". That is twice I heard that or something similar.

320 melb +20.5 2nd half

260 melb +65.5 before the 4th

220 lions +32.5

yeh sportsbook has the value yesterday dogs where -17.5 before the game ..up 17 at the half and where -18.5 2nd half.(ess covered the 18.5 pts).if that was an american bookie the 2nd half line would be dogs -5 or something...in half the games ive followed they give the full game line in the 2nd half to the underdog.

100 aukland blues -4.5 1st half.

SYDNEY SWANS v WEST COAST

SYDNEY SWANS
B: Tadhg Kennelly, Leo Barry, Martin Mattner
HB: Craig Bolton, Ted Richards, Kieren Jack
C: Jarrad McVeigh, Brett Kirk, Amon Buchanan
HF: Ryan O’Keefe, Michael O’Loughlin, Jude Bolton
F: Luke Ablett, Barry Hall, Heath Grundy
Foll: Darren Jolly, Adam Goodes, Jarred Moore
I/C: Ed Barlow, Paul Bevan, Craig Bird, Lewis Roberts-Thomson
EMG: Luke Brennan, Ben Mathews, Nick Smith

No changes

WEST COAST
B: Brent Staker, Adam Hunter, Shannon Hurn
HB: Brett Jones, Darren Glass, Adam Selwood
C: Mark Nikoski,Daniel Kerr, Michael Braun
HF: Steven Armstrong, Ashley Hansen, Jamie McNamara
F: Ben McKinley, Quinten Lynch, Mark Seaby
Foll: Dean Cox, Tyson Stenglein, Beau Waters
I/C: Chris Masten, Matt Rosa, Scott Selwood. Matt Spangher
EMG: Brad Ebert, Josh Kennedy

In: Armstrong, McNamara, Spangher, Rosa, Masten
Out: Matt Priddis (knee), David Wirrpanda (hamstring), Brad Ebert, Chad Fletcher, Mark Nicoski, Andrew Embley

PORT ADELAIDE v BRISBANE LIONS

PORT ADELAIDE
B: Michael Pettigrew, Alipate Carlile, Jacob Surjan
HB: Peter Burgoyne, Toby Thurstans, Domenic Cassisi
C: Travis Boak, Chad Cornes, Kane Cornes
HF: David Rodan, Warren Tredrea, Brett Ebert
F: Daniel Motlop, Justin Westhoff, Danyle Pearce
Foll: Brendon Lade, Steven Salopek, Shaun Burgoyne
I/C: Paul Stewart, Dean Brogan, Troy Chaplin, Matthew Thomas
EMG: Tom Logan, Nick Lower, Damon White

No changes

BRISBANE LIONS
B: Troy Selwood, Daniel Merrett, Joel Macdonald
HB: Anthony Corrie, Joel Patfull, Colm Begley
C: Tim Notting, Jed Adcock, Travis Johnstone
HF: Luke Power, Jonathan Brown, Nigel Lappin
F: Daniel Bradshaw, Jared Brennan, Rhan Hooper
Foll: Jamie Charman, Simon Black, Michael Rischitelli
I/C: Cheynee Stiller, Matthew Leuenberger, Lachlan Henderson, Justin Sherman
EMG: Wayde Mills, James Polkinghorne, Albert Proud

In: Selwood, Cheynee Stiller
Out: Robert Copeland, Albert Proud

70 blues 1st to 10 pts 1.55

150 sydney 1st half (100 -15.5)1st qtr(50)

150 port 1st half 1st qtr

1st half qtr things both win

80 force waratahs 1st half under 22.5..80 under 44.5

90 roosters -2.5 2nd half