AFL rnd 15

some games look good this week ..just what i like small lines n pick ems

 

CARLTON v ST KILDA
Carlton
B: Andrew Carrazzo, Michael Jamison, Bret Thornton
HB: Bryce Gibbs, Jarrad Waite, Steven Browne
C: Kade Simpson, Nick Stevens, Heath Scotland
HF: Marc Murphy, Brad Fisher, Simon Wiggins
F: Eddie Betts, Brendan Fevola, Matthew Kreuzer
Foll: Cameron Cloke, Adam Bentick, Chris Judd
I/C: Joe Anderson, Jake Edwards, Shaun Grigg, Jordan Russell
EMG: Setanta O’hAilpin, Darren Pfeiffer, Andrew Walker

St Kilda are ML favourites and also + favourites at Sportstab

PORT ADELAIDE v NORTH MELBOURNE

Port Adelaide
B: Michael Pettigrew, Alipate Carlile, Nick Lower
HB: Jacob Surjan, Troy Chaplin, Nathan Lonie
C: Domenic Cassisi, Adam Thomson, Kane Cornes
HF: David Rodan, Warren Tredrea, Brett Ebert
F: Justin Westhoff, Daniel Motlop, Chad Cornes
Foll: Dean Brogan, Shaun Burgoyne, Danyle Pearce
I/C: Greg Bentley, Fabian Deluca, Tom Logan, Damon White
EMG: Paul Stewart, Mitch Farmer, Adam Cockshell

In: Chad Cornes, Surjan
Out: Robbie Gray (ankle), Paul Stewart

North Melbourne
B: Josh Gibson, Michael Firrito, Gavin Urquhart
HB: Leigh Harding, Lachlan Hansen, Daniel Pratt
C: Brent Harvey, Adam Simpson, Daniel Harris
HF: Matt Campbell, David Hale, Daniel Wells
F: Lindsay Thomas, Nathan Thompson, Drew Petrie
Foll: Todd Goldstein, Brady Rawlings, Ben Ross
I/C: Sam Power, Blake Grima, Shannon Watt, Scott McMahon
EMG: Ed Lower, Corey Jones, Alan Obst

In: Ross, Grima, Goldstein, McMahon
Out: Shannon Grant, Corey Jones, Matt Riggio, Alan Obst

tomorrow the only game i like is port to beat the roos..port gets back chad cornes while the roos lose a couple of key players grant and corey jones i know that its said they arent in the best of form but when teams lose experienced players when they are light on key experienced players already ill fade em. port are at home and are only missing burgoyne and thurststons. they gave up on the finals a few weeks ago but had a hard training session this week and said in a article at the afl site that theyre wanting this one..so ill take em unlike 2 weeks ago when i faded em after choco said theyre gone when they where only 2 games out of the 8.

 

280 port ml

150 1st half

70 1234 at 4.10

HAWTHORN v SYDNEY SWANS

Hawthorn
B: Brent Guerra, Stephen Gilham, Campbell Brown
HB: Grant Birchall, Trent Croad, Rick Ladson
C: Clinton Young, Sam Mitchell, Jarryd Morton
HF: Michael Osborne, Jarryd Roughead, Shane Crawford
F: Cyril Rioli, Lance Franklin, Mark Williams
Foll: Robert Campbell, Luke Hodge, Brad Sewell
I/C: Chance Bateman, Xavier Ellis Josh Kennedy, Simon Taylor
EMG: Tim Boyle, Tim Clarke, Travis Tuck

In: Bateman, Sewell, Taylor
Out: Jordan Lewis (quad), Brent Renouf (suspended), Clarke

Sydney Swans
B: Paul Bevan, Leo Barry, Martin Mattner
HB: Craig Bolton, Ted Richards, Tadhg Kennelly
C: Kieren Jack, Jarrad McVeigh, Craig Bird
HF: Ryan O’Keefe, Adam Goodes, Luke Ablett
F: Henry Playfair, Michael O’Loughlin, Jarrad Moore
Foll: Darren Jolly, Brett Kirk, Jude Bolton
I/C: Amon Buchanan, Peter Everitt, Nick Malceski, Lewis Roberts-Thomson
EMG: Nick Smith, Heath Grundy, Tim Schmidt

In: Goodes
Out: Barry Hall (suspended)

 

swans are only missing barry hall while the hawks have a near full strength squad missing just dew.

swans didnt put up much of a fight v the magies at telstra stadium..goodes was a massive out..but so is hall for the swans this week especially when theyll have to have a forward line strong enough to keep pace with the hawks..which i dont see them having this week..if the swans flood well good luck to them because the hawks will just bomb it long to buddy roughead williams and rioli and then when they go up the other end theres not much to fear for the hawks. if the swans dont flood theyre goners anyway...people who think the line is juicy at 15 because the swans have kept games close for years will just throw there money down the drain..3 goals is nothing in footy and all signs pt to hawks covering it.

 

300 hawks -15.5

150 hawks -7.5 1st half

 

Craig Bolton, Ted Richards, Tadhg Kennelly *

WEST COAST EAGLES v RICHMOND

West Coast Eagles
B: Mark Nicoski, Darren Glass, Ryan Davis
HB: Brett Jones, Beau Wilkes, Andrew Embley
C: Michael Braun, Daniel Kerr, Quinten Lynch
HF: David Wirrpanda, Ashley Hansen, Brad Ebert
F: Mark LeCras, Adam Hunter, Josh Kennedy
Foll: Dean Cox, Matt Priddis, Steven Armstrong
I/C: Tim Houlihan, Ben McKinley, Adam Selwood, Tyson Stenglein
EMG: Eric Mackenzie, Jamie McNamara, Will Schofield

In: Braun, B. Jones, Kennedy, Wirrpanda
Out: Jaymie Graham, Jamie McNamara, Will Schofield, Brent Staker

Richmond
B: Chris Newman, Kelvin Moore, Jay Schulz
HB: Matt White, Luke McGuane, Jordan McMahon
C: Joel Bowden, Shane Tuck, Mitch Morton
HF: Brett Deledio, Jack Riewoldt, Richard Tambling
F: Nathan Brown, Cleve Hughes, Trent Cotchin
Foll: Troy Simmonds, Kane Johnson, Nathan Foley
I/C: Jake King, Daniel Connors, Dean Polo, Adam Pattison
EMG: Shane Edwards, Andrew Collins, Greg Tivendale

In: McGuane, Schulz, Connors
Out: Matthew Richardson (hamstring), Graham Polak (head injury), Chris Hyde 

 

wc at home..n have a near full strength squad..are wanting to avoid the wooden spoon..and richo is worth about 4 goals so richmond should be getting atleast 2 goals in this game without him. so ill gladly take wc at pick.

280 wc ml

150 wc 1st half ml

70 wc 1234 at 4.10

hawks -12.5 at 2.01 swans +12.5 1.90..line started out at 17.5..the public is pounding the swans..for what reason i wouldnt have a clue( previous matches mean nothing in this case as hawks arrived this year n got things going last year but played like shit in years gone by)

There were more than a few sore bodies to emerge from Port Adelaide's main training session as the Power pushed hard to be ready for a desperate North Melbourne on Saturday night.

Youngsters Robbie Gray and Matt Thomas both appeared to pull up with leg injuries of varying seriousness, while few escaped the deafening roar of coach Mark Williams.

 

 

"Every player is feeling the heat. That's what comes with a few losses," Port forward Brett Ebert said.

300 magies crows under 189.5

recent meetings between magies n crows 8-1 under 189.5

these are 2 of the best 4 defensive teams in the comp

magies are top 2 defense this year.

crows have been top 4 in defense for the last 5 years or so.

last weeks magies swans game 129 scored between em.

crows last 3 games 180 v rampaging cats, 153 v lions 148 v hawks now 189.5 total set for the best or 2nd best defensive side in the comp this year.

200 cats freo 1st half total over 92.5

200 magies crows under 94 1st half

240 cats -42.5 at half time up 33

170 magies crows under 95.5 2nd half

Fuckn Crows can't score for shit.  I got em first leg of an if win bet plus 14.5

Now down 16

180 brissy over 100.5 1st half

2 high scoring teams at telstra dome bradshaw brown n lloyd lucas at either end..no need for any of them to flood none are known for defense more offense..full game total is 215.5..yet the 1st half total is 100.5.

250 ess brissy over 209.5...everything pts to this going over. the teams defence games at telstra dome the highest scoring ground in the comp. 160-123 meeting a couple of meetings ago at telstra dome.

250 port roos 1st half over 82.5

7-1 over 172.5 in previous meetings with eachother... a stament from the link above for the roos port game "We've had our mid-year break and had a look at a few things. We're going to be out there playing fast, exciting footy and those guys (playing for their careers) are going to be part of it."

 

port have no need to flood they cant make the 8..port have nmerous dangers who can kick quick goals

added 60 on port 1st half over so 310 over 82.5

100 over 174.5