The Lippsman Split

Caps and Stars are a yes but Preds is a question mark. Don't have the man around to clarify the "no 1st liners out". I mean, your freaking starting goalie is out, would that qualify as a 1st liner? I would say anytime you lose your starting goalie, the system would not fit. 

That is how I am playing it.  Is Ovi playing?

Caps and Stars it is!

Pains me to say it being a NYR guy wishing and hoping for a deep run, but NYRs are approaching the danger zone...my local has PIT Penguins at +115 and pregame has Pens at +123 now, so..........

I will take the sage advice of those who came before me and take PIT (if my local gets to +120), or else I'm taking a pasadena on the game and rooting for my guys!!!

Cheers  

Sounds good to me also VT !!!

Cheers Doc...THANK YOU Lipps !!!

So game 2 we take oilers -1?

"you win the first one,  you walk away". Don't chase.  That's what the man went by. 

@VTDon

 its an option, the main play is to hit the dog win

Got it, let’s go guys! Dallas and caps tonight 

@DB51daBEARS

 Pens now at +125, so I would think they qualify for the split.

@Wufpack

 This is a good question and by that I mean, according to the system, cannot have a first liner out. To me, if your starting goalie is out, that would be a no play for me. I know DeSmith has been playing but it is still not your starting goalie. And for me, that makes them a no play. 

And FYI...DeSmith numbers vs Rangers are horrible. A 3.54 GA vs Rangers. 

@GASportsDoc

 yes that qualifies as a 1st liner..  no play on preds

@VTDon

 yes

If you don’t believe it now you never will.. Quick in 2012 and rises again.. especially against these regular season offensive glory boys! No one cares if ya beat Arizona 7-2 in December, get ready to go golfing, Oil!

I recall following Lipps as far back as the Ducks and JS Jiguerre taking the Wings down at plus 200 in 2003! Believe I. This!

RIP Lipps!

Just wanna post to be legit lol...laying off the game...GOTTA root for my guys...laying off all the games actually, so GL Guys and Jules  

Trying not to m _ _ _ anything...sorry...(rhymes with crush)

2-0 to date. Only one left tonight is Stars. Pens and Preds were no plays

I’m doing the great man a bit of a disservice here by playing the principle whilst ignoring some of the parameters. I went 2-0 yesterday playing the Kings and the Blues; the other two games never reached the threshold. Today I went 2-2 as the Pens just qualified. Both days a fine profit

Obviously the books offer larger prices for a reason. But the principle of the LS is that when you get to the playoffs there is an edge to be had on very similar caliber teams by this stage, so I feel a larger price might still offer value eg the Caps today

Would love to hear other views 

TB is up to +110 at one of my books.  So, if the first game the dog was not qualified (i.e. never hit threshold of +120), but they get to +120 in the back end of the L Split, does that count?  I would argue "Yes", as the theory is that the trend is for the a split in first 2 and if you get the price above +120, you are in the profitable range of the system.

Thoughts?

@dyamarik

 Since they lost game 1, the +120 does not apply.  You play them at any price as a dog. So the +110 is play.

Only team that qualifies today are the Dallas Stars. 

Let's go! Will be on them again. 

@GASportsDoc

 Dallas Stars...I'm gonna hold my nose and take 'em!

Laughed out loud, Wufpack...good stuff