Posted:
#26
Sens @ Panthers Panthers -1 Game -137 W
Oilers @ Stars over 5.5 +106 L
Ave's @ Blues under 6 -134 L
Ave's @ Blues Blues ML -125 W
New Record: 48-27-2 (+29.799u)
Poopandfarting Year Thread
Posted:
#31
The more I look the more and more I like the under in this Ducks @ Devils game. 5.5 is already low but I'm going to put a half unit on under 5 as I can't see either team scoring more than 2 goals. All I can think is Ducks will want to beat a shitty NJ team after losing to philly and the devils will play hard after finally winning a game against Taylor Hall team. Neither team is good at scoring in the first place so smash the 2 together and you get a 2-1 type ordeal. Everytime I type out my reasoning it seems way stupider than it does in my head lol but this kind of thinking has done me well so far maybe its luck who knows I'm not complaining. Lets see what happens.
Ducks @ Devils Under 5.5 -109 .5 unit
Ducks @ Devils Under 5 game +170 .5 unit
Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by PoopAndFarting:
I can't see either team scoring more than 2 goals.
I can't see either team scoring more than 2 goals.
Exactly my thinking - expecting a 2-2 reg draw or 3-2 devils reg.
They are the two of worst scoring teams, especially lately (both with 11 GS in last 5 H/A), but both Miller and Blackwood are sporting a .908sv% this season. If each team plays an "average" game (each right at 30 SF/G in splits), it's a pretty even match landing right on 5.5 goals. That said, their "average" game would be an improvement on recent play, with Under hitting in 8 of last 10 combined, so leaning under here too. I don't think your reasoning sounded stupid. Hope you're right.
Posted:
#33
Quote Originally Posted by Epitaph:
Fair enough. The way I pick games is by watching and I'm a big believer of how teams have played recently as opposed to how they have played earlier in the year. There is so much parity in the nhl and I try to put myself in a teams shoes coming into a game and how they will react. While roster plays a role I think alot of it is in the mindset of the team. That's kinda how it was when I played. I think it looks stupid when I type because I don't have alot of stats to back stuff up. But the stats you provided are a good representation of what I have seen. Capping like this doesn't work well in other sports though lol. I try to do NFL similarly and I get killed often. Good Luck tonight man.
Quote Originally Posted by PoopAndFarting:
I can't see either team scoring more than 2 goals.
Exactly my thinking - expecting a 2-2 reg draw or 3-2 devils reg. They are the two of worst scoring teams, especially lately (both with 11 GS in last 5 H/A), but both Miller and Blackwood are sporting a .908sv% this season. If each team plays an "average" game (each right at 30 SF/G in splits), it's a pretty even match landing right on 5.5 goals. That said, their "average" game would be an improvement on recent play, with Under hitting in 8 of last 10 combined, so leaning under here too. I don't think your reasoning sounded stupid. Hope you're right.I can't see either team scoring more than 2 goals.
Posted:
#40
I was at work but I watched the highlight pack and there were some CLOSE CALLS lol and up 3-1 1 min into the 3rd good thing there was no empty netter lol. hope everyone had a good night.
Ducks @ Devils Under 5.5 -109 .5 unit .5W
Ducks @ Devils Under 5 game +170 .5 unit .5W
New Record: 51-28-2 (+32.059u)
Posted:
#41
Looking at the board tmo I'm leaning:
Wild @ Yotes over 5.5
LA Kings ML. Other than home advantage is their any other reason Blue Jacks are favorites here?
Kings @ Blue Jacks over 5.5
Sabres @ Flyers Sabres ML
Wild @ Yotes Wild ML. I wonder how this line would have looked pre-Hall. I think the wild might be hungrier for a win.
Any thoughts on these? Will look into more tmo I work in the morn.
Posted:
#49
Wild @ Yotes over 5.5 game +112 1 unit W
Wild @ Yotes over 5 60mins -125 1 unit W
Habs @ Flames under 6 game -118 1 unit L
Kings @ Blue Jacks King ML +128 1 unit L
The 2 unit play ended up saving my night as opposed to burning it. They might hit the over in this 3rd period alone!
New Record: 53-30-2 (+31.979u)
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