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Wild Wild Wildcard Weekend....

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DefenseWinsSB

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Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:17 PM ET #151

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

As promised, I am trying to get these up early. I will update Friday evening with final spreads and units, including weather and injuries - but it will be very close to this. Included a column for line moves, and units accordingly. Final NFL Regular Season Record +64.25 units * Bucs +3 (4 units) 3.5 (4.5), 2.5 (3)* Texans +2.75 (3.5 units) 3 (4), 2.5 (3), 2 (2.5)* Steelers +9.75 (2.5 units) 10.5 (3), 8 (2)* Cowboys -7.5 (2 units) -8 (1.5), -7 (2.5)* Dolphins +4.5 (2 units) 5 (2.5), 3.5 (1.5)* Rams +3.25 (1 unit) 3.5 (1.5), 2.5 (no bet) I will be around to write-up / discuss all. Just wanted to get them up early.

thanks for an amazing first pick

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:19 PM ET #152

Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week.

What is that line?

an_popcorn

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DefenseWinsSB

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Joined: Jan, 2023

Posts: 2769

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:19 PM ET #153

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by guyhopestowin: You posted line and corresponding unit sizes, I get that, thanks but I need to verify if can please comment, currently for texans game: line/odds are 2 / -108 2.5 / -115 3 / -140 which line would you bet on? all 3 of them or only at +2 (since it is most close to -110)? Some of these decisions you have to make yourself. Right now, I can get the Texans +2.5 -105, and +2 -101, I suggest you expand your book choices. But honestly - I give these picks as a guide realizing that everyone has different options and choices. I bring you 90% of the way there - you have to do the remaining 10%.

I got Texans +2 at even money it was a no brainer sweet deal lol

MRxKrazz

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Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 11486

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:20 PM ET #154

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week. What is that line?

HOU +9.5

DefenseWinsSB

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Joined: Jan, 2023

Posts: 2769

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:20 PM ET #155

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week. What is that line?

Ravens -4.5

BigEv617

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Posts: 6851

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:21 PM ET #156

Texans.. LFG, Sir! an_horse

vanzack

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Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:21 PM ET #157

Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week. What is that line? HOU +9.5

I hope you are right. Gotta run the numbers, but I think I would lay that in a monster.

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MudPhud3

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Joined: Nov, 2016

Posts: 2756

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:27 PM ET #158

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week. What is that line? HOU +9.5 I hope you are right. Gotta run the numbers, but I think I would lay that in a monster.

You'd lay -9.5 with the Ravens? I think opening right at 10 and seeing where the market goes is would be pretty likely.

vanzack

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Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:29 PM ET #159

Quote Originally Posted by MudPhud3:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Lets say the Texans go to Baltimore next week. What is that line? HOU +9.5 I hope you are right. Gotta run the numbers, but I think I would lay that in a monster. You'd lay -9.5 with the Ravens? I think opening right at 10 and seeing where the market goes is would be pretty likely.

Yes. I would lay 10 for a big bet. Gotta run numbers - but gut says numbers will back me up.

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wolfeman3

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Posts: 6283

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:31 PM ET #160

Bmore -6.5 cool

The impossible only takes longer….

Philly0

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Posts: 3298

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:33 PM ET #161

G8RB8

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Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 30086

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 7:59 PM ET #162

Quote Originally Posted by wolfeman3:

Bmore -6.5

that's my guess

Nice first W win

Bagel Sandwiches Suck

Jay4Prez

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Posts: 1301

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:00 PM ET #163

@vanzack

Bal -11

brn2loslive2win

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Posts: 2615

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:01 PM ET #164

Ravens-8

MudPhud3

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Posts: 2756

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:06 PM ET #165

For all those saying Baltimore ~7 - it's not going to happen. Houston was +3 for a good portion of this week at home against the Browns. The Ravens were -6 hosting the Browns in week 10 (I understand this was with Watson, but the Cleveland offensive output improved with Flacco).

This game would open above a TD. The only question is by how much.

Skipster

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Posts: 6422

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:10 PM ET #166

at least it was close

vanzack

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Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:11 PM ET #167

Lots of empty seats at Arrowhead

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garbagetime

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Posts: 2161

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 8:45 PM ET #168

Ravens ever cover a 10-point line?

robtri

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2015

Posts: 352

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 9:54 PM ET #169

looks like Miami cannot run against the questionable KC defense. Tua not good in the cold. KC running all over Miami. Have enjoyed the TV series covering the Dolphins this season. Coach is getting exposed in this one. KC has to make mistakes for Miami to get back in the game. Fingers crossed but doubting Miami’s resolve.

iceman67

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Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 3253

Posted: Jan. 13, 2024 - 9:54 PM ET #170

I went to a Pro Bowl in Arrowhead a lifetime ago. Almost froze my 3rd grade nuts off, it was brutal. There were more people there for that game than this one though. triva... that game was the last game played w/ the goalposts on the goal line.