Week 5

Lines are starting to be adjusted by oddsmakers, first week where lines are actually sharp. If you're going to take a favorite, you're going to have to think twice about doing so. I don't see any gimmees this week. We are going to have to study to find the edge in these lines. I looked at the Tampa game that you mentioned and they'res not a friggin thing that I like about Tampa and the points. As much as I've been down on the Saints this season, I'm probably going to add them this week.

I appreciate your posts, buddy. I can understand the logic behind playing the Bengals this week but I still like New England's defense. They just happened to run into a buzz saw regarding the Chiefs perfect gameplan. We don't ever see Belicheck get out coached so when we do, it's hard to find answers. The Chiefs have the speed in the backfield to be successful with misdirection plays especially when they are efficient in the passing game. Cinci, however has a completely different style than the Chiefs, a style that the Patriots defense matches up well with. Cinci doesn't have a lot of misdirection as their rushing and passing attack are north and south. New England's defense plays well when the play comes to them as was the case against Miami, Minnesota and Oakland. All three of those offenses run downhill as Cincinnati does. I'll finish my thoughts regarding  this game along with some stats in a moment.

Thanks for the post buddy. I disagree with the weather dictating Green Bay's gameplan. They have always thrown the ball in wind, rain, sleet and snow. Rodgers is used to it and it is actually an advantage to the offense to chuck the ball around in slippery conditions when the defense has no fukking clue as to where the ball is going. I hope it downpours. And, if Ponder starts tonught, I'll be adding more to the spread. 

San Francisco -6  -115   6.9/6

New England +1   4.4/4

Green Bay -9    4.4/4

Buffalo +7 -105   4.2/4