a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game.
1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans
2) If our team has one win on the season it has gone 4-2 ATS (+3.58) ....ON Jets
b) Play VERSUS a team in the months of September/October that in a sequence of home dog win, away loss, and now home favorites have gone 14-33 ATS (-5.0)....VERSUS Giants
query text....pp:HDW and p:AL and HF and 1 < month < 11
c) Since 2015, a team after playing the Ravens has gone 13-26 ATS in the first 5 games of the season.....VERSUS Saints
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
5-10 STD....not a good week last week.
We'll try one more week.
Here's an angle that has been 22-2 ATS....
a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game.
1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans
2) If our team has one win on the season it has gone 4-2 ATS (+3.58) ....ON Jets
b) Play VERSUS a team in the months of September/October that in a sequence of home dog win, away loss, and now home favorites have gone 14-33 ATS (-5.0)....VERSUS Giants
query text....pp:HDW and p:AL and HF and 1 < month < 11
c) Since 2015, a team after playing the Ravens has gone 13-26 ATS in the first 5 games of the season.....VERSUS Saints
Here is an angle I have gone over in past years....our calculated odds are derived by taking the average scoring margin between the two teams and giving 2.5 points to the home team....if the calculated line is greater than the Vegas odds, this is a qualifying play.
For example team A after two games has scored an average of 20 points and has allowed an average of 24 points...their scoring margin is -4 points/game.
If their current opponent, team B has scored 23 points per game and allowed 21 points their scoring margin is +2/game.
If Team A played Team B on a neutral field Team B would be a 6 point favorite, WE SUBTRACT DIFFERENTIALS, we don't average.
If Team A played on Team B on Team B's home field the calculated line would be Team A +8.5, when giving 2.5 points for home field. If the actual line is Team A +4, we would have a qualifying play as the calculated line is higher than the Vegas line. This has worked well up to about week 8, since 2015. We use lines between -8 and +8.
The query text is this....line < oA(margin)+2.5-tA(margin) and season > 2015 and -8 < line < 8 and A and F, D
165-98-10 (+1.8), 62.7%....
Qualifying plays.....ON Chargers, Texans, Cardinals, Titans, Patriots, Eagles
Here is an angle I have gone over in past years....our calculated odds are derived by taking the average scoring margin between the two teams and giving 2.5 points to the home team....if the calculated line is greater than the Vegas odds, this is a qualifying play.
For example team A after two games has scored an average of 20 points and has allowed an average of 24 points...their scoring margin is -4 points/game.
If their current opponent, team B has scored 23 points per game and allowed 21 points their scoring margin is +2/game.
If Team A played Team B on a neutral field Team B would be a 6 point favorite, WE SUBTRACT DIFFERENTIALS, we don't average.
If Team A played on Team B on Team B's home field the calculated line would be Team A +8.5, when giving 2.5 points for home field. If the actual line is Team A +4, we would have a qualifying play as the calculated line is higher than the Vegas line. This has worked well up to about week 8, since 2015. We use lines between -8 and +8.
The query text is this....line < oA(margin)+2.5-tA(margin) and season > 2015 and -8 < line < 8 and A and F, D
165-98-10 (+1.8), 62.7%....
Qualifying plays.....ON Chargers, Texans, Cardinals, Titans, Patriots, Eagles
Here's an angle that has been 22-2 ATS.... a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game. 1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans
Do you have the query text for this?
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Here's an angle that has been 22-2 ATS.... a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game. 1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans
So, if play is against Saints, then you play on Raiders ? I don`t see a Raiders pick . I`m already on Raiders so. GL! Those perfect trends that someone finds always bite you in the ass.
I have some very good angles favoring the Saints, so I am not playing the game.
True about those perfect angles...I had a 27-0 against the spread angle once that lost two consecutive weeks.....
Quote Originally Posted by MadSkillz70:
So, if play is against Saints, then you play on Raiders ? I don`t see a Raiders pick . I`m already on Raiders so. GL! Those perfect trends that someone finds always bite you in the ass.
I have some very good angles favoring the Saints, so I am not playing the game.
True about those perfect angles...I had a 27-0 against the spread angle once that lost two consecutive weeks.....
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Here's an angle that has been 22-2 ATS.... a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game. 1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans Do you have the query text for this?
p:HDL and AD and op:AL and line < 14 and week < 5 and not DIV and op:RY < opo:RY and t:wins < 2 and t:wins
Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Here's an angle that has been 22-2 ATS.... a) Play an away non-divisional dog of less than 14 points before week 5 that lost as a home dog last week, playing a team that lost on the road. We stipulate that their current opponent was outrushed in their previous game. 1) If our team has zero wins, this has gone 18-0 ATS (+9.83).....ON Titans Do you have the query text for this?
p:HDL and AD and op:AL and line < 14 and week < 5 and not DIV and op:RY < opo:RY and t:wins < 2 and t:wins
CANCELLING Vikings on the basis of a 13-2 ATS angle on the Bucs, basically using the angle for thread #4 and using it for the home team and subtracting, rather than adding 2.5 points in the equation.
season > 2015 and line < oA(margin) -2.5 - tA(margin) and H and t:wins
Adding:
3) Chargers +7'
4) Texans -1'
5) Cardinals +7'
Plays:
1) Titans +2'
2) Jets +6'
CANCELLING Vikings on the basis of a 13-2 ATS angle on the Bucs, basically using the angle for thread #4 and using it for the home team and subtracting, rather than adding 2.5 points in the equation.
season > 2015 and line < oA(margin) -2.5 - tA(margin) and H and t:wins
always a interesting read @Indigo999
Hot Forum Topics
