Adding:
7) Falcons +125....incredibly, the Panthers have lost 12 straight games as a favorite straight up. Falcons were the better team last week than the Steelers, but threw the ball away, which cost them the win and the cover. They outrushed the Steelers by over 70 yards and outrush attempted them by 10 rushes. I expect a more rush attempts game from the Falcons this week.
Home divisional dogs that lost last week against the spread as away dogs that outrush attempt their opponent win 58% of the time and cover 69% of the time.
If they outrush yard their opponent they win 61% of the time. Teams need a quarterback to win on the road in the NFL, witness what Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen did last week, versus what Cooper Rush did. At home it is the defense and the running game that wins games. Obviously the Falcons will have looked at the tape of how the Panthers got sliced and diced last week by the Bears. The Falcons won't get over 200 yards on the ground like the Bears did, but it won't be from a lack of trying.
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