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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    The New York Jets 2015

    «First Previous 456 ... 678 Next Last»
    Digitalkarma
    suuma
    ALTABLOCK
    mafioso
    lmb4321
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    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 2:00 AM ET #76

    Yep. I think i will put this bet in now before it gets ridiculous. -4.5 to -5 points seems likely by gametime
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Yep. I think i will put this bet in now before it gets ridiculous. -4.5 to -5 points seems likely by gametime
     
    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 3:50 AM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    You can expect it to climb until September.

    Curious as to why my book gives Browns at -120 and Jets at EVEN. Trying to entice people to take the Jets? Why would they give better value to the better team ?Can't really pass up that sweet deal, more bang for the buck. 

    All the other games have equal -110 juice except this Browns/Jets game hmmmmm
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    You can expect it to climb until September.

    Curious as to why my book gives Browns at -120 and Jets at EVEN. Trying to entice people to take the Jets? Why would they give better value to the better team ?Can't really pass up that sweet deal, more bang for the buck. 

    All the other games have equal -110 juice except this Browns/Jets game hmmmmm
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 4:43 AM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    Curious as to why my book gives Browns at -120 and Jets at EVEN. Trying to entice people to take the Jets? Why would they give better value to the better team ?Can't really pass up that sweet deal, more bang for the buck. 

    All the other games have equal -110 juice except this Browns/Jets game hmmmmm


    It's a key number and the normal reaction of a market to get equal action. The line moved from -2 or -2.5 (???) in favor of the Jets to -3. It's the first "area" of the line 3 and the Browns get value while the Jets lost some by getting to 3. If more money comes in on the Jets at 3, the line will move into the direction of -110.

    You will see this kind of odds almost everytime on certain sites at those key numbers (3, 7, 10 ect.).

    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    Curious as to why my book gives Browns at -120 and Jets at EVEN. Trying to entice people to take the Jets? Why would they give better value to the better team ?Can't really pass up that sweet deal, more bang for the buck. 

    All the other games have equal -110 juice except this Browns/Jets game hmmmmm


    It's a key number and the normal reaction of a market to get equal action. The line moved from -2 or -2.5 (???) in favor of the Jets to -3. It's the first "area" of the line 3 and the Browns get value while the Jets lost some by getting to 3. If more money comes in on the Jets at 3, the line will move into the direction of -110.

    You will see this kind of odds almost everytime on certain sites at those key numbers (3, 7, 10 ect.).

    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.


     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 4:44 AM ET #79

    ^correction: Browns are currently +2.5 +109.
    Reply
    ^correction: Browns are currently +2.5 +109.
     
    ALTABLOCK
    ALTABLOCK
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 2:19 PM ET #80

    i see the jets as a real threat this year. geno smith cant get any worse. he will only get better from this point on. third year is usually your best year.

    picking up revis and cromartie is great for them. their D line is stacked and got better. picking up ridley is a huge bust. i see him as the starter by week 7. he is a true stud, but belichik would never start him because of his past fumbling problems.

    marshall was injured all last season. atleast it felt that way. hopefully he stays healthy.

    a great off season for them. i see a 10-6 or 9-7 season ahead of them.
    Reply
    i see the jets as a real threat this year. geno smith cant get any worse. he will only get better from this point on. third year is usually your best year.

    picking up revis and cromartie is great for them. their D line is stacked and got better. picking up ridley is a huge bust. i see him as the starter by week 7. he is a true stud, but belichik would never start him because of his past fumbling problems.

    marshall was injured all last season. atleast it felt that way. hopefully he stays healthy.

    a great off season for them. i see a 10-6 or 9-7 season ahead of them.
     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 11:44 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    It's a key number and the normal reaction of a market to get equal action. The line moved from -2 or -2.5 (???) in favor of the Jets to -3. It's the first "area" of the line 3 and the Browns get value while the Jets lost some by getting to 3. If more money comes in on the Jets at 3, the line will move into the direction of -110.

    You will see this kind of odds almost everytime on certain sites at those key numbers (3, 7, 10 ect.).

    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.



    yep i get that its landing on a key number, but i mean at -3 with better juice that line is screaming to take the Jets!! would you take Jets -3 at EVEN juice? unless the books are not worried about it and can see the game likely push or maybe even a Browns upset?  
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    It's a key number and the normal reaction of a market to get equal action. The line moved from -2 or -2.5 (???) in favor of the Jets to -3. It's the first "area" of the line 3 and the Browns get value while the Jets lost some by getting to 3. If more money comes in on the Jets at 3, the line will move into the direction of -110.

    You will see this kind of odds almost everytime on certain sites at those key numbers (3, 7, 10 ect.).

    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.



    yep i get that its landing on a key number, but i mean at -3 with better juice that line is screaming to take the Jets!! would you take Jets -3 at EVEN juice? unless the books are not worried about it and can see the game likely push or maybe even a Browns upset?  
     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 22, 2015 - 11:50 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:




    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.



    Oh i see now. books try to test Browns action baiting with the EVEN juice to get people on the Browns. the line for this game at my book jumped a full 1 point from -2 to -3 which alarmed me a bit. Was wondering if there was any kind of news that warranted a full point swing other than that Jets are obviously the better team here.
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:




    At Pinnacle, the Jets are currently sitting at -2.5 -120 while the Browns are at +2.5 EVEN. If the money split in favor of the Jets reaches Pinnacle, the line will go to 3 with more juice on the Browns like at your bookie.



    Oh i see now. books try to test Browns action baiting with the EVEN juice to get people on the Browns. the line for this game at my book jumped a full 1 point from -2 to -3 which alarmed me a bit. Was wondering if there was any kind of news that warranted a full point swing other than that Jets are obviously the better team here.
     
    mafioso
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    Posted: May. 23, 2015 - 6:36 AM ET #83

    Defensively on paper anyway they look great.
    ON PAPER I do not give that any credence until i see them play.

    the biggest issue offensively isnt Geno Smith
    Its CHAN FRIGGING GAILY as offensive Coordinator WTF 
    Reply
    Defensively on paper anyway they look great.
    ON PAPER I do not give that any credence until i see them play.

    the biggest issue offensively isnt Geno Smith
    Its CHAN FRIGGING GAILY as offensive Coordinator WTF 
     
    lmb4321
    lmb4321
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    Posted: May. 24, 2015 - 2:30 AM ET #84

    Just a gut feeling Suuma but I think Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting QB at some point during the season.......and do very well....not believing Geno...I believe that Fitz played with Gailey before??.....am I wrong?....
    Reply
    Just a gut feeling Suuma but I think Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting QB at some point during the season.......and do very well....not believing Geno...I believe that Fitz played with Gailey before??.....am I wrong?....
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 5:56 AM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by ALTABLOCK:

    i see the jets as a real threat this year. geno smith cant get any worse. he will only get better from this point on. third year is usually your best year.

    picking up revis and cromartie is great for them. their D line is stacked and got better. picking up ridley is a huge bust. i see him as the starter by week 7. he is a true stud, but belichik would never start him because of his past fumbling problems.

    marshall was injured all last season. atleast it felt that way. hopefully he stays healthy.

    a great off season for them. i see a 10-6 or 9-7 season ahead of them.


    Hey, ALTA. How is your offseason going on?

    I like your thoughts. I am excited about the running game. The most important thing is to take off pressure of Geno Smith. Rex Ryan never really openend the playbook for him. Gonna be exciting what Chan Gailey will have in his playbook.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ALTABLOCK:

    i see the jets as a real threat this year. geno smith cant get any worse. he will only get better from this point on. third year is usually your best year.

    picking up revis and cromartie is great for them. their D line is stacked and got better. picking up ridley is a huge bust. i see him as the starter by week 7. he is a true stud, but belichik would never start him because of his past fumbling problems.

    marshall was injured all last season. atleast it felt that way. hopefully he stays healthy.

    a great off season for them. i see a 10-6 or 9-7 season ahead of them.


    Hey, ALTA. How is your offseason going on?

    I like your thoughts. I am excited about the running game. The most important thing is to take off pressure of Geno Smith. Rex Ryan never really openend the playbook for him. Gonna be exciting what Chan Gailey will have in his playbook.


     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 6:02 AM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    yep i get that its landing on a key number, but i mean at -3 with better juice that line is screaming to take the Jets!! would you take Jets -3 at EVEN juice? unless the books are not worried about it and can see the game likely push or maybe even a Browns upset?  


    We don't even know who the starting QB for the Browns will be, do we? Right now, IMO the Jets offense is key to win that game as I can't see Johnny Manziel having a field day.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    yep i get that its landing on a key number, but i mean at -3 with better juice that line is screaming to take the Jets!! would you take Jets -3 at EVEN juice? unless the books are not worried about it and can see the game likely push or maybe even a Browns upset?  


    We don't even know who the starting QB for the Browns will be, do we? Right now, IMO the Jets offense is key to win that game as I can't see Johnny Manziel having a field day.
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 7:50 AM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:

    Defensively on paper anyway they look great.
    ON PAPER I do not give that any credence until i see them play.

    the biggest issue offensively isnt Geno Smith
    Its CHAN FRIGGING GAILY as offensive Coordinator WTF 


    What exactly is your problem with Chan Gailey? I think it can only get better from now on.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:

    Defensively on paper anyway they look great.
    ON PAPER I do not give that any credence until i see them play.

    the biggest issue offensively isnt Geno Smith
    Its CHAN FRIGGING GAILY as offensive Coordinator WTF 


    What exactly is your problem with Chan Gailey? I think it can only get better from now on.
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 7:54 AM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    Just a gut feeling Suuma but I think Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting QB at some point during the season.......and do very well....not believing Geno...I believe that Fitz played with Gailey before??.....am I wrong?....


    Impossible is nothing. Fitz played unter Gailey at Buffalo, yes. I think both QBs will look better than most people expect. As I said in the OP, Geno played under very tough circumstances in his first two years. He didn't fit Rex Ryans' conception of an offense.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    Just a gut feeling Suuma but I think Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting QB at some point during the season.......and do very well....not believing Geno...I believe that Fitz played with Gailey before??.....am I wrong?....


    Impossible is nothing. Fitz played unter Gailey at Buffalo, yes. I think both QBs will look better than most people expect. As I said in the OP, Geno played under very tough circumstances in his first two years. He didn't fit Rex Ryans' conception of an offense.


     
    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 10:50 AM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    We don't even know who the starting QB for the Browns will be, do we? Right now, IMO the Jets offense is key to win that game as I can't see Johnny Manziel having a field day.

    I don't think so either. Who do the Browns have on offense that is worth mentioning? My guess would be Josh McCown, or Connor Shaw as starter
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    We don't even know who the starting QB for the Browns will be, do we? Right now, IMO the Jets offense is key to win that game as I can't see Johnny Manziel having a field day.

    I don't think so either. Who do the Browns have on offense that is worth mentioning? My guess would be Josh McCown, or Connor Shaw as starter
     
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 26, 2015 - 4:40 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    I don't think so either. Who do the Browns have on offense that is worth mentioning? My guess would be Josh McCown, or Connor Shaw as starter


    "Johnny Manziel took all the snaps with the second team at the Browns' first offseason practice on Tuesday. Manziel clearly is ahead of Thad Lewis and Connor Shaw but behind Josh McCown." - via ESPN.

    The only thing I like about the Browns without going deep into analysis is their o-line when it comes to bass blocking, which was the 6th-best line in pass blocking efficiency in 2014.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


    I don't think so either. Who do the Browns have on offense that is worth mentioning? My guess would be Josh McCown, or Connor Shaw as starter


    "Johnny Manziel took all the snaps with the second team at the Browns' first offseason practice on Tuesday. Manziel clearly is ahead of Thad Lewis and Connor Shaw but behind Josh McCown." - via ESPN.

    The only thing I like about the Browns without going deep into analysis is their o-line when it comes to bass blocking, which was the 6th-best line in pass blocking efficiency in 2014.
     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: May. 27, 2015 - 2:14 AM ET #91

    Suuma....Can the Jets win the AFC next year??.....Best Defense in the NFL......I really think Ryan Fitz is gonna be the starting QB this year at some point and play decent........Pats are down, don't believe in the Colts or Broncos....really like this team this year and most importantly the Defense and win the AFC......
    Reply
    Suuma....Can the Jets win the AFC next year??.....Best Defense in the NFL......I really think Ryan Fitz is gonna be the starting QB this year at some point and play decent........Pats are down, don't believe in the Colts or Broncos....really like this team this year and most importantly the Defense and win the AFC......
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 27, 2015 - 5:28 AM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    Suuma....Can the Jets win the AFC next year??.....Best Defense in the NFL......I really think Ryan Fitz is gonna be the starting QB this year at some point and play decent........Pats are down, don't believe in the Colts or Broncos....really like this team this year and most importantly the Defense and win the AFC......


    They can, but that would be too much of a gamble. On paper, the Jets have everything you need to make a deep run, EXCEPT a banker on the QB position:

    Best CB depth in the league, top-5 pass rush, good receiving corps, solid/average o-line & a solid schedule.

    Let's admit that Geno Smith or Ryan Fitzpatrick or even Bryce Petty come out as a solid QB for the Jets during the season, the Jets definitely have value. But you can't put serious money on a team with that QB situation.




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    Suuma....Can the Jets win the AFC next year??.....Best Defense in the NFL......I really think Ryan Fitz is gonna be the starting QB this year at some point and play decent........Pats are down, don't believe in the Colts or Broncos....really like this team this year and most importantly the Defense and win the AFC......


    They can, but that would be too much of a gamble. On paper, the Jets have everything you need to make a deep run, EXCEPT a banker on the QB position:

    Best CB depth in the league, top-5 pass rush, good receiving corps, solid/average o-line & a solid schedule.

    Let's admit that Geno Smith or Ryan Fitzpatrick or even Bryce Petty come out as a solid QB for the Jets during the season, the Jets definitely have value. But you can't put serious money on a team with that QB situation.




     
    mafioso
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    Posted: May. 27, 2015 - 5:57 AM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    What exactly is your problem with Chan Gailey? I think it can only get better from now on.

    His Offenses are stale and the other teams know where the ball is going most of the time when he does have his QB throw the ball.

    look it up
    Chan Gaily coached teams are INT machines 
    doesnt bode well for Geno Smith who has already demonstrated how he cracks under pressure,
    the only hope for this team at QB is if the Bryce Petty out of Baylor can really be an NFL QB
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    What exactly is your problem with Chan Gailey? I think it can only get better from now on.

    His Offenses are stale and the other teams know where the ball is going most of the time when he does have his QB throw the ball.

    look it up
    Chan Gaily coached teams are INT machines 
    doesnt bode well for Geno Smith who has already demonstrated how he cracks under pressure,
    the only hope for this team at QB is if the Bryce Petty out of Baylor can really be an NFL QB
     
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 28, 2015 - 6:19 AM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:


    His Offenses are stale and the other teams know where the ball is going most of the time when he does have his QB throw the ball.

    look it up
    Chan Gaily coached teams are INT machines 
    doesnt bode well for Geno Smith who has already demonstrated how he cracks under pressure,
    the only hope for this team at QB is if the Bryce Petty out of Baylor can really be an NFL QB


    His teams were INT machines, no doubt about that. But I like the combination of Chan Gailey and Geno Smith or maybe Bryce Petty along with that receiving corps. Read the following article:

    https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2473245-how-chan-gailey-can-help-geno-smith-reach-potential-in-new-york
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:


    His Offenses are stale and the other teams know where the ball is going most of the time when he does have his QB throw the ball.

    look it up
    Chan Gaily coached teams are INT machines 
    doesnt bode well for Geno Smith who has already demonstrated how he cracks under pressure,
    the only hope for this team at QB is if the Bryce Petty out of Baylor can really be an NFL QB


    His teams were INT machines, no doubt about that. But I like the combination of Chan Gailey and Geno Smith or maybe Bryce Petty along with that receiving corps. Read the following article:

    https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2473245-how-chan-gailey-can-help-geno-smith-reach-potential-in-new-york
     
    mafioso
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    Posted: May. 28, 2015 - 6:36 AM ET #95

    The Jets had better hope the O-line can pass block if they are gonna run shot gun formations most of the time.

    As with anything else when it comes to the NFL 
    We just have to wait and see.

    Every Year there is that fraud that keeps winning
    Last year it was the Arizona Cardinals

    Can it be the Jets this year?

    Reply
    The Jets had better hope the O-line can pass block if they are gonna run shot gun formations most of the time.

    As with anything else when it comes to the NFL 
    We just have to wait and see.

    Every Year there is that fraud that keeps winning
    Last year it was the Arizona Cardinals

    Can it be the Jets this year?

     
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 28, 2015 - 6:41 AM ET #96

    Regarding the post above: even Ryan Fitzpatrick will look much better if he gets the job. Look at his receiving staff at Buffalo under Gailey. In addition, he didn't have a good defense to get some shorter fields to gain confidence. That's a thing that counts for any starting QB this season.
    Reply
    Regarding the post above: even Ryan Fitzpatrick will look much better if he gets the job. Look at his receiving staff at Buffalo under Gailey. In addition, he didn't have a good defense to get some shorter fields to gain confidence. That's a thing that counts for any starting QB this season.
     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: May. 29, 2015 - 1:55 AM ET #97

    If the Offensive line can dominate this year......this team will be very Scary for the Pats, Bills and the Dolphins......
    Reply
    If the Offensive line can dominate this year......this team will be very Scary for the Pats, Bills and the Dolphins......
     
    suuma
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    Posted: May. 29, 2015 - 10:14 AM ET #98

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    If the Offensive line can dominate this year......this team will be very Scary for the Pats, Bills and the Dolphins......


    I think the Jets have a good chance of winning both games against the Bills, as long as Rex Ryan doesn't change his attitude towards the QB significantly. Here is a passage from the FO's latest "Best Cornerback Stats 2014" :

    On top of having the highest adjusted success rate, Revis was also the least targeted of the No. 1 corners. Revis was targeted on just 17 percent of opponents' pass plays, and he gave up a successful play on 38 percent of his targets. Multiplying those together, we see that Revis gave up a successful play on only 6.5 percent of opponents' throws when he was a possible target. This number may do a pretty good job of identifying the consensus top corners in football.

    What will any of those Buffalo QBs do, if one side is closed and they have to make quick decisions while facing one hell of a pass rush? I cannot see them having any success with their o-line. Their o-line was a mess last season and their offseason moves do not let expect some major improvements. DoubleUp may correct me if I'm wrong.




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    If the Offensive line can dominate this year......this team will be very Scary for the Pats, Bills and the Dolphins......


    I think the Jets have a good chance of winning both games against the Bills, as long as Rex Ryan doesn't change his attitude towards the QB significantly. Here is a passage from the FO's latest "Best Cornerback Stats 2014" :

    On top of having the highest adjusted success rate, Revis was also the least targeted of the No. 1 corners. Revis was targeted on just 17 percent of opponents' pass plays, and he gave up a successful play on 38 percent of his targets. Multiplying those together, we see that Revis gave up a successful play on only 6.5 percent of opponents' throws when he was a possible target. This number may do a pretty good job of identifying the consensus top corners in football.

    What will any of those Buffalo QBs do, if one side is closed and they have to make quick decisions while facing one hell of a pass rush? I cannot see them having any success with their o-line. Their o-line was a mess last season and their offseason moves do not let expect some major improvements. DoubleUp may correct me if I'm wrong.




     
    ALTABLOCK
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    Posted: May. 31, 2015 - 2:44 AM ET #99

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    Hey, ALTA. How is your offseason going on?

    I like your thoughts. I am excited about the running game. The most important thing is to take off pressure of Geno Smith. Rex Ryan never really openend the playbook for him. Gonna be exciting what Chan Gailey will have in his playbook.



    yeah i cant wait to see how the jets unfold this season. off season doing okay. always better during nfl season lol. how about your off season?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:



    Hey, ALTA. How is your offseason going on?

    I like your thoughts. I am excited about the running game. The most important thing is to take off pressure of Geno Smith. Rex Ryan never really openend the playbook for him. Gonna be exciting what Chan Gailey will have in his playbook.



    yeah i cant wait to see how the jets unfold this season. off season doing okay. always better during nfl season lol. how about your off season?
     
     
    lmb4321
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2015 - 2:14 AM ET #100

    Suuma...I'll take Fitz or Geno over an old Cassel...
    Reply
    Suuma...I'll take Fitz or Geno over an old Cassel...
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