All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Sunday, i tried to warn you about Tony Romo. Monday, i'm warning you: don't burn your money on...

...

Participants:

Search

Posts: 89

LTE23

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 2954

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:17 PM ET #51

AT THE HILTON as of RIGHT NOW its at -3.5 at -110...now how do you feel if you have that -130 ticket at -3???

0

sulfurboy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2006

Posts: 1707

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:17 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

The point is, it was not supposed to be a "beneficial" day for Tony Romo.

We all know that the Steelers defense is great. Every pundit on ESPN and the networks speaks of this day in and day out. Its a well known fact.

We also know that Tony Romo could be a total genius or a real fuck-up. I told you guys that it was going to be "one of those days" for Romo.

The result was a win on Steelers -3 and Steelers -2 for 2nd Half.

You can call it lucky or whatever. I'll take the results anytime.

Again, the point was, Tony Romo burned your money. I"m sure Cowboys bettors had their tickets locked up ready to cash in the final minutes of the 4th quarter, yeah?

You didn't warn people about Tony Romo until the 2nd half, after had already turned the ball over three times. It's quite a John Madden observation to say "Oh I predict this will not be one of Romo's days when he's already blown it the 1st half"

Secondly, you did get lucky, the interception is a combination of bad play call. Romo did not cause the interception, Witten completely missing his route did. Secondly, this also goes on Jason Garrett who was calling pass plays on 1st and 2nd when they were up by 7. I hardly put this game on Romo. You sir got lucky. Either way I'm not to cranky as the whole game was a no play. However, tonight is and I think the factor in the game will not be Jake Delhomme as much as Tampa Bay clawing for the playoffs. GL.

0

HappyKane

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 34973

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:34 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by sulfurboy:

You didn't warn people about Tony Romo until the 2nd half, after had already turned the ball over three times. It's quite a John Madden observation to say "Oh I predict this will not be one of Romo's days when he's already blown it the 1st half"

Secondly, you did get lucky, the interception is a combination of bad play call. Romo did not cause the interception, Witten completely missing his route did. Secondly, this also goes on Jason Garrett who was calling pass plays on 1st and 2nd when they were up by 7. I hardly put this game on Romo. You sir got lucky. Either way I'm not to cranky as the whole game was a no play. However, tonight is and I think the factor in the game will not be Jake Delhomme as much as Tampa Bay clawing for the playoffs. GL.

Fine, next time i'll just say "Don't burn you money on Tony Romo because its his "UNLUCKY" day on the football field.

For MNF, December 8, 2008:

Do not burn your money on Jake Delhomme because its his "UNLUCKY" day.

Sometimes, QB's INT's are not entirely their fault. A safety could tip the pass and the cornerback over the top comes in and makes a catch for the interception. This equates to the QB having an "UNLUCKY" day, no? Yes? No?

0

sulfurboy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2006

Posts: 1707

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:38 PM ET #54

Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

Fine, next time i'll just say "Don't burn you money on Tony Romo because its his "UNLUCKY" day on the football field.

For MNF, December 8, 2008:

Do not burn your money on Jake Delhomme because its his "UNLUCKY" day.

Sometimes, QB's INT's are not entirely their fault. A safety could tip the pass and the cornerback over the top comes in and makes a catch for the interception. This equates to the QB having an "UNLUCKY" day, no? Yes? No?

GL tonight buddy. I'm riding TB +10 and o32 on a teaser.

0

HappyKane

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 34973

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:43 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by LTE23:

AT THE HILTON as of RIGHT NOW its at -3.5 at -110...now how do you feel if you have that -130 ticket at -3???

The general public will always buy the hook to make their wager "safer".

From an experienced sportsbettor point of view:

50% of the lines are way off and the spread does not matter

25% of the lines are right on

I forgot what i wanted to say about the other 25%.

sulfurboy - In the end, my warning about Jake Delhomme's doing or undoing might not even be the result of Carolina losing to Tampa Bay. There are many other factors involved that i don't know about. This is why we still look at trends and study stats and matchups.

My wager stands and so will those that already took Carolina.

0

BigWinner888

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 1711

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 7:53 PM ET #56

bucs

0

HappyKane

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 34973

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 8:20 PM ET #57

Quote Originally Posted by LTE23:

AT THE HILTON as of RIGHT NOW its at -3.5 at -110...now how do you feel if you have that -130 ticket at -3???

Just got done talking w/ my bookie/runner.

Yes, his line is Carolina -3.5 because he operates only at a -110 rake.

I see that some could've saved .5 cents when late money comes in on Tampa Bay. Carolina -3 -130 is ridiculous and that is robbery.

0

SonicBlue

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 661

Posted: Dec. 8, 2008 - 8:27 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

...Jake Delhomme!

Last warning. Carolina bettors, i'd really reconsider reducing your units or altogether buying off the wager. Oh my. Did i really said that? Yes, this is confidence doing the talking, fellas. Otherwise, i would not have started yesterday's thread about the value on the Steelers for 2nd Half based on the Halftime score. I had a very good feeling about the end result and just wanted you guys to make more money or hedge your Cowboys wagers on the Halftime line.

Even when the Steelers were down 13-3 to the Cowboys, i was still confident that Steelers would come back and win the game. Seriously, i had no doubt.

I'm not going to claim myself a prophet or whatever, but... i am rarely wrong in my divination of key players [or teams] that are "destined" to lose.

Believe me. This has nothing to do with handicapping the game according to trends, stats, situations and personnel matchups. I know those trends, i've read every game notes, and i study depth charts and stats like coaches and players study game film. Rather, its based on things that are... just... meant... to be. Example, the NY Giants in the Super Bowl just 11 months ago. Throw the Phillies MLB team into the mix, while we're at it.

The point is, for certain marquee events, you need to be on the right side of god's or nature's "FIX". Or destiny or whatever you want to call it.

All you need to know today is, Tampa Bay will win SU over Carolina.

And what you've known all along is that this season, Carolina have played well on the road and not so well at home. Even though the Panthers have been splendid ATS at home, that have been the overall notion.

Then, what you need to do is, heed my heresy or... go ahead with 100% faith in Jake Delhomme and the Panthers and we'll ridicule each other for chit'n'giggles after the game.

My local's limits are $100-$5000. Unfortunately, they do not offer Moneylines and other exotic lines. I've locked in the online wagers already. I've lost my GOY's and hundreds and thousands on what seem to be sure bets before. So, i am not going all in, but i am going big today.

Shake on it for a few nickels and dimes.

Go Buccs!

Not that Jeff Garcia will be featured on the Christmas edition of the Wheaties box, but Jake Delhomme is undoubtedly a certified 'snake in the hole.'

Need a faded team's QB to make a critical error at the moment of truth? I give you Jake Delhomme.

Sure, good Carolina might show up and smoke Tampa Bay in a big home game... but I wouldn't put money on it.

Tampa 2 Parlay:
163 Tampa Bay +3.5 (-120)
163 U Car/Tam Under 40

*Today's parlay sponsored by 'Snake of the Week' Tony Romo, who
made my AZ -15, Mia +1.5, Pitt ML 3 teamer a reality!

* Look for Tony's pic on the Snake Trailer next Sunday night!

Let's GO!!!