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Sunday, i tried to warn you about Tony Romo. Monday, i'm warning you: don't burn your money on...

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by KasperNV:

Panthers will win this game.

hopefully for you not by 1
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

 
 
I'm not going to claim myself a prophet or whatever, but... i am rarely wrong in my divination of key players [or teams] that are "destined" to lose.
 
 
The point is, for certain marquee events, you need to be on the right side of god's or nature's "FIX". Or destiny or whatever you want to call it.
 
All you need to know today is, Tampa Bay will win SU over Carolina.
 
 
 
 
 
Really? You go Madam Chloe!
 
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Posted: #28
"And what you've known all along is that this season, Carolina have played well on the road and not so well at home. Even though the Panthers have been splendid ATS at home, that have been the overall notion."

Not sure how you justify not playing well at home, Kane, when they are 6-0 at home this year.
 
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Posted: #29
Agreed that  Jake Delhomme isnt the  cats  meow but  have  you  seen  Jeff Garcia lately?   Yes,  he  can  run  from  time  to  time  but last  week  agaisnt  NO ,   he  looked  horrible.
 
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Posted: #30
 
Legend
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Posted: #31
 
Legend
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Posted: #32
Thanks for your opinion
 
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Posted: #33
 
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Posted: #34
This has nothing to do with handicapping the game according to trends, stats, situations and personnel matchups. I know those trends, i've read every game notes, and i study depth charts and stats like coaches and players study game film. Rather, its based on things that are... just... meant... to be. Example, the NY Giants in the Super Bowl just 11 months ago. Throw the Phillies MLB team into the mix, while we're at it.
 
The point is, for certain marquee events, you need to be on the right side of god's or nature's "FIX". Or destiny or whatever you want to call it.
 
 
 
This is exactly what i had in mind, but i just can't put it together like Kane did. Thanks for pointing this out bud. 
 
Can't believe those of you have been gamblings for years and you just still don't get the picture do you? All i'm hearing is Panthers this Panthers that. Look at what most services are offering out there...it's the Panthers and that is what they want people to lay their money on, but their KEY PLAY is on TAMPA. GLuck ya
 
Rolling w/u on Tampa Kane. Best luck to the both of us dude.
 
 
 
 
  
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
 
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Posted: #37
 
Legend
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Posted: #38

I'll be on TB and the points.  I just think they are better.  The home team win thing takes abreak this week in this conference.

Go Neers!!!!

Good luck Kane

 
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Posted: #39
also never doubt Jeff Garcia......he'll shoot the ball out of his a$ss if he has too to try and complete a pass.....
 
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Posted: #40
The team who blocks jullius peppers or d. brooks better 2night will win...right?  I mean this game is all about the D-line and LBers vs. the O-line tonight, who ever has more time to throw will win...but im still up in the air about who blocks who better tonight.  I need an "expert" opinion please........
 
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Posted: #41
Its a toss up game guys - tease tampa and the over.  good luck all.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Jersey973:

You tried to warn about Tony Romo? Please. That was a bad play and you deserved to lose that bet. You got lucky as hell so i dont wanna hear how you tried to warn people. Cowboys had that game closed and then Jason Witten forgot how to run a route and the Boys lost. Romo played pretty bad, but it had nothing to do with his bio or whatever you base your plays off of. The Steelers defense is just that good. Who actually follows the "bio" for a player? That just makes no sense at all to me. 

The point is, it was not supposed to be a "beneficial" day for Tony Romo.

We all know that the Steelers defense is great. Every pundit on ESPN and the networks speaks of this day in and day out. Its a well known fact.

We also know that Tony Romo could be a total genius or a real fuck-up. I told you guys that it was going to be "one of those days" for Romo.

The result was a win on Steelers -3 and Steelers -2 for 2nd Half.

You can call it lucky or whatever. I'll take the results anytime.

Again, the point was, Tony Romo burned your money. I"m sure Cowboys bettors had their tickets locked up ready to cash in the final minutes of the 4th quarter, yeah?

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by matt99:

"And what you've known all along is that this season, Carolina have played well on the road and not so well at home. Even though the Panthers have been splendid ATS at home, that have been the overall notion."



Panthers are 6-0 at home....yeah, terrible. That completely sold me to fade this writeup and take the Panthers

Dude. Thats a stone cold fact on paper.

I guess i'm wrong then. They did put up good numbers on the road in some games though. And almost lost to the Bears at home.

Fine. Take Carolina.

 
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Posted: #44
Happy Let me ask you this. When you say your not liking Car bc of the MONEY line on the side? BC thats Very important to me Right now on my site its at -125 Car. at the Hilton its at -130 and on Bodogs its at -135. So much juice when they can at least push the lines up to 3.5 4 but when it stays on a Solid # Does that make you feel that you rather have a beter value on an underdog? Bc I feel you on your write up. I lean towards Car but I know I have tracking records with -125 at MGM MIrage. The only time it cleared was last Monday -3 Texans But thats the Only time I ran with it, other then that I feel its a Great way to Get the Money....Tell me what you think.
 
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Posted: #45
 
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Posted: #46
This division is having an aberration from the rest of the league at home, they start tonite to catch up. I'm with you on the better team Tampa + the points. BOL!
 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by michaelpaul1:

same here...

You of all people should understand what i mean when i say that certain players are "destined" to lose or win.

So, here is one example for ya!

I had $1K on Rafael Nadal over "golden boy" Federer in the Wimbledon match.

I'll say it again: Nadal was "destined" to win Wimbledon even though the clay/hard court stats and odds were against him big time.

 

 

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by LTE23:

Happy Let me ask you this. When you say your not liking Car bc of the MONEY line on the side? BC thats Very important to me Right now on my site its at -125 Car. at the Hilton its at -130 and on Bodogs its at -135. So much juice when they can at least push the lines up to 3.5 4 but when it stays on a Solid # Does that make you feel that you rather have a beter value on an underdog? Bc I feel you on your write up. I lean towards Car but I know I have tracking records with -125 at MGM MIrage. The only time it cleared was last Monday -3 Texans But thats the Only time I ran with it, other then that I feel its a Great way to Get the Money....Tell me what you think.

When the money moves like this there is no way we're getting "true odds" for the side wagers.

From a sportsbook manager's point of view, you don't move a 3-point (field-goal spread for football), unless there are players involved, such as injuries or inactives.

When money and limits are involved, the books will adjust the Moneylines and keep the side spread as it was.

Right now the books are maxing their limits on Carolina -3. But they've been "advised" not to shift the line to offset the limits but to shift the Moneylines and/or alternative Runlines (Tampa Bay lines).

My local does not offer Moneyline wagers. I've no doubt his line will be Carolina -3.5 because he will get lots of action on the Panthers tonight.

 
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Posted: #49
I was on the same exact play yet I had him at +105 bc I took it early.
 
 
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Posted: #50
parlay the over and carolina.....easiest bet all week

make that paper man
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