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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    STEELERS @ BILLS: The ultra-powerful angle@home and getting points too : "CAREER On The Line" angle

    «First Previous 456 ... 111213 Next Last»
    brent0887
    Fballguy
    lakers9
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    «First Previous 456 ... 111213 Next Last»
     
    brent0887
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 9:47 AM ET #76

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    Fballguy
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 9:50 AM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

    Your record in the NFL is 4-2-2. Everything else is irrelevant. 

    1. Giants -1 v. Dallas Week One: Push
    2. Bills +4 v. Patriots, Week Four: Win
    3. Ravens over Giants: Loss
    4. Jets over Ravens: Win
    5. Dolphins -4 v. the Jets: Push
    6. Bills over Bengals: Win
    7. Rams over Jets: Win
    8. Browns +7 over Giants: Loss

    Is this supposed to be an Anti-Scal post?  To me the pushes get tossed as no harm and that leaves a 4-2 record.  I see a 66% win rate.  I'll take that every day of the week and twice on Sunday.


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    Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

    Your record in the NFL is 4-2-2. Everything else is irrelevant. 

    1. Giants -1 v. Dallas Week One: Push
    2. Bills +4 v. Patriots, Week Four: Win
    3. Ravens over Giants: Loss
    4. Jets over Ravens: Win
    5. Dolphins -4 v. the Jets: Push
    6. Bills over Bengals: Win
    7. Rams over Jets: Win
    8. Browns +7 over Giants: Loss

    Is this supposed to be an Anti-Scal post?  To me the pushes get tossed as no harm and that leaves a 4-2 record.  I see a 66% win rate.  I'll take that every day of the week and twice on Sunday.


     
    lakers9
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:01 AM ET #78

    I think the Bills could lose today and Rex still keeps his job if they win out.  They were really bit by the injury bug this year.  The schedule after this game sets up for a 3-0 and a 9-7 season if they dump today.  They wont fire him going 9-7.  I agree with you though, the Bills are going to show up today, Rex has planted in those players heads they aren't done and basically this is a home playoff game. 

    Good luck today!  
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    I think the Bills could lose today and Rex still keeps his job if they win out.  They were really bit by the injury bug this year.  The schedule after this game sets up for a 3-0 and a 9-7 season if they dump today.  They wont fire him going 9-7.  I agree with you though, the Bills are going to show up today, Rex has planted in those players heads they aren't done and basically this is a home playoff game. 

    Good luck today!  
     
    WillyBilliams
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:27 AM ET #79

    Thanks Scal - Good Luck!
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    Thanks Scal - Good Luck!
     
    AvidGuru
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:33 AM ET #80

    scalabrine,

    I first "discovered" you amidst the infamous College Gambler saga, and it was immediately clear that you have a special talent.

    Your joy for writing comes through in your write-ups, and I smiled to myself reading your first paragraph about a "comfortable capper"

    Thank you for taking the time to share your insights once again. I will be tailing this play, as I have with each of your last 40 or so.

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    scalabrine,

    I first "discovered" you amidst the infamous College Gambler saga, and it was immediately clear that you have a special talent.

    Your joy for writing comes through in your write-ups, and I smiled to myself reading your first paragraph about a "comfortable capper"

    Thank you for taking the time to share your insights once again. I will be tailing this play, as I have with each of your last 40 or so.

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:34 AM ET #81

    On them already, My good friend Franz555 is at the game, BOL 



    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    On them already, My good friend Franz555 is at the game, BOL 



     
    bmiller1632
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:37 AM ET #82

    Las Vegas sportsbook managers again taking notes on scals plays as they drop the line back down to 2.5 and off the key number of 3 points .. damn it .. i hate buying a half point 
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    Las Vegas sportsbook managers again taking notes on scals plays as they drop the line back down to 2.5 and off the key number of 3 points .. damn it .. i hate buying a half point 
     
    FlytheW
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:40 AM ET #83

    My book wants -150 for 3 points. 
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    My book wants -150 for 3 points. 
     
    Crailtap34
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:49 AM ET #84

    Silly a** trolls! Leave these types of plays to the big boys. Kiddie game is down the block ya ding dongs! Bunch of fart-bats. Ya goofy gooch-sniffs
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    Silly a** trolls! Leave these types of plays to the big boys. Kiddie game is down the block ya ding dongs! Bunch of fart-bats. Ya goofy gooch-sniffs
     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:53 AM ET #85

    Capped this game hard yesterday Scal , and my conclusion is the Bills should be favored by 1. I love this game today. Power run game at home in the the snow, in a desperation game for Buff. I put a dime on it yesterday . I paid 1,150 to win 1,000. Bills + 3 is an excellent wager. Been doing this for a long time. 
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    Capped this game hard yesterday Scal , and my conclusion is the Bills should be favored by 1. I love this game today. Power run game at home in the the snow, in a desperation game for Buff. I put a dime on it yesterday . I paid 1,150 to win 1,000. Bills + 3 is an excellent wager. Been doing this for a long time. 
     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 10:56 AM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    the Steelers 2nd favorite in the Westgate contest this week selected 558 times as a contest -1 1/2 and current Westgate (Saturday) -3 even fav. NOT a good sign for their chances in Buffalo


    Bingo!
    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    the Steelers 2nd favorite in the Westgate contest this week selected 558 times as a contest -1 1/2 and current Westgate (Saturday) -3 even fav. NOT a good sign for their chances in Buffalo


    Bingo!
     
    kegguy58
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:01 AM ET #87

    Any consideration on the Under? Suppose to snow like crazy..
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    Any consideration on the Under? Suppose to snow like crazy..
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:19 AM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by Ganda:


    Scal, you posted 34-16 before yesterday's Army win, you should be 35-16 today. Doing you a favour because trolls would use this.

    Thank you Ganda. Thank is correct. I wrote this at 2am-ish. Plus it's clear I wouldn't put >68% since 37-16 would be basically 70%. And I encourage anyone who sees that to ALWAYS tell me.

    I'm more interested in pushing out the write-up as Swish said. He doesn't even care what my record is, because if I stop capping today it's imaginary and means nothing to no one if I don't keep capping.

    I'll get back to some of the other posters if I can. Got to run some errands. I read all the posts. Appreciate it!

    Yes, Porcelain does have low self-worth (to that poster). That is the ONLY reason you'd push your Supercontest picks (and he STILL, amazingly thinks I don't know what that contest is even though I have threads with LERinkrate about them) over others. He has to be a senior in high school and nothing more. Which is fine. But there's a whole lot more to life than trolling cappers who provide free write-ups on gambling threads.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ganda:


    Scal, you posted 34-16 before yesterday's Army win, you should be 35-16 today. Doing you a favour because trolls would use this.

    Thank you Ganda. Thank is correct. I wrote this at 2am-ish. Plus it's clear I wouldn't put >68% since 37-16 would be basically 70%. And I encourage anyone who sees that to ALWAYS tell me.

    I'm more interested in pushing out the write-up as Swish said. He doesn't even care what my record is, because if I stop capping today it's imaginary and means nothing to no one if I don't keep capping.

    I'll get back to some of the other posters if I can. Got to run some errands. I read all the posts. Appreciate it!

    Yes, Porcelain does have low self-worth (to that poster). That is the ONLY reason you'd push your Supercontest picks (and he STILL, amazingly thinks I don't know what that contest is even though I have threads with LERinkrate about them) over others. He has to be a senior in high school and nothing more. Which is fine. But there's a whole lot more to life than trolling cappers who provide free write-ups on gambling threads.

     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:20 AM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by TheFootball77:

    Your pick seems very logical scalabrin

    but you're missing the psychological variable here;


    I would wonder how that might effect your opinion?

    Football, the COTL angle is entirely psychological for coach and this reverberates through the team.

    As is Tyrod's contract situation and career as a starter.

    Lots of psychological angles in the Op.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheFootball77:

    Your pick seems very logical scalabrin

    but you're missing the psychological variable here;


    I would wonder how that might effect your opinion?

    Football, the COTL angle is entirely psychological for coach and this reverberates through the team.

    As is Tyrod's contract situation and career as a starter.

    Lots of psychological angles in the Op.

     
    rollonotes
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:24 AM ET #90

    Thanks Scal!!!

    Will be on the Bills also!!!

    And a bit on the ML.

    It ain't over til it's over
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    Thanks Scal!!!

    Will be on the Bills also!!!

    And a bit on the ML.

     
    mbialowas
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:25 AM ET #91

    Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

    Your record in the NFL is 4-2-2. Everything else is irrelevant. 

    1. Giants -1 v. Dallas Week One: Push
    2. Bills +4 v. Patriots, Week Four: Win
    3. Ravens over Giants: Loss
    4. Jets over Ravens: Win
    5. Dolphins -4 v. the Jets: Push
    6. Bills over Bengals: Win
    7. Rams over Jets: Win
    8. Browns +7 over Giants: Loss
    +1

    I don't give a fuckk about your NBA picks, they are irrelevant when it comes to capping a NFL game.

    Sorry Scal I'm on Pittsburgh,  Rex is a fuckking bozo 
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    Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

    Your record in the NFL is 4-2-2. Everything else is irrelevant. 

    1. Giants -1 v. Dallas Week One: Push
    2. Bills +4 v. Patriots, Week Four: Win
    3. Ravens over Giants: Loss
    4. Jets over Ravens: Win
    5. Dolphins -4 v. the Jets: Push
    6. Bills over Bengals: Win
    7. Rams over Jets: Win
    8. Browns +7 over Giants: Loss
    +1

    I don't give a fuckk about your NBA picks, they are irrelevant when it comes to capping a NFL game.

    Sorry Scal I'm on Pittsburgh,  Rex is a fuckking bozo 
     
    glyde69
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:25 AM ET #92

    Hey Scal, on the Bills as well. Great write-up and points!!
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    Hey Scal, on the Bills as well. Great write-up and points!!
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:27 AM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by AvidGuru:

    scalabrine,

    I first "discovered" you amidst the infamous College Gambler saga, and it was immediately clear that you have a special talent.

    Your joy for writing comes through in your write-ups, and I smiled to myself reading your first paragraph about a "comfortable capper"

    Thank you for taking the time to share your insights once again. I will be tailing this play, as I have with each of your last 40 or so.

    Appreciate that.


    Glyde Rollo

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    Quote Originally Posted by AvidGuru:

    scalabrine,

    I first "discovered" you amidst the infamous College Gambler saga, and it was immediately clear that you have a special talent.

    Your joy for writing comes through in your write-ups, and I smiled to myself reading your first paragraph about a "comfortable capper"

    Thank you for taking the time to share your insights once again. I will be tailing this play, as I have with each of your last 40 or so.

    Appreciate that.


    Glyde Rollo

     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:29 AM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas:

    +1

    I don't give a fuckk about your NBA picks, they are irrelevant when it comes to capping a NFL game.

    Sorry Scal I'm on Pittsburgh,  Rex is a fuckking bozo 

    And no one gives a fu** about the fact you don't give a fu** about my NBA picks.

    And, even at that, you DO give an F about them. You know why? Because when I hit games like PSU and Army, you are the FIRST one there to tell me if I had a misstep elsewhere, like in the NBA, which I haven't. But you are only concerned with them After the game and ONLY if they lose.

    If they win, "I don't give an F about your NBA picks!"

    Total hypocrite.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas:

    +1

    I don't give a fuckk about your NBA picks, they are irrelevant when it comes to capping a NFL game.

    Sorry Scal I'm on Pittsburgh,  Rex is a fuckking bozo 

    And no one gives a fu** about the fact you don't give a fu** about my NBA picks.

    And, even at that, you DO give an F about them. You know why? Because when I hit games like PSU and Army, you are the FIRST one there to tell me if I had a misstep elsewhere, like in the NBA, which I haven't. But you are only concerned with them After the game and ONLY if they lose.

    If they win, "I don't give an F about your NBA picks!"

    Total hypocrite.

     
    ff99l1
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:30 AM ET #95

    On the other side, good luck anyway, ff.
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    On the other side, good luck anyway, ff.
     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posts: 28221
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:30 AM ET #96

    Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

    Wow, If i'm in marketing or advertising and i have a covers account, I'd pm Scal right now because he sure as hell knows how to sell you something.  From leaning 65 % to the Steelers to leaning 75 % to the Bills now, Arguably one of the best write ups I've ever seen on covers and to be quite frank his overall record is meaningless, Even if he was 2-9, It's what he is bringing to the table today that matters for me.


    Thanks Swish. Just trying to have the best sell possible to get everyone behind me to take out the one and only:

    Steve "Wax my floors....on all fours" Wynn.


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    Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

    Wow, If i'm in marketing or advertising and i have a covers account, I'd pm Scal right now because he sure as hell knows how to sell you something.  From leaning 65 % to the Steelers to leaning 75 % to the Bills now, Arguably one of the best write ups I've ever seen on covers and to be quite frank his overall record is meaningless, Even if he was 2-9, It's what he is bringing to the table today that matters for me.


    Thanks Swish. Just trying to have the best sell possible to get everyone behind me to take out the one and only:

    Steve "Wax my floors....on all fours" Wynn.


     
    swanbomb
    swanbomb
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    Posts: 1855
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:32 AM ET #97

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    mbialowas
    mbialowas
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    Posts: 4681
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:38 AM ET #98

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    And no one gives a fu** about the fact you don't give a fu** about my NBA picks.

    And, even at that, you DO give an F about them. You know why? Because when I hit games like PSU and Army, you are the FIRST one there to tell me if I had a misstep elsewhere, like in the NBA, which I haven't. But you are only concerned with them After the game and ONLY if they lose.

    If they win, "I don't give an F about your NBA picks!"

    Total hypocrite.


    Cool down bro, and take a valium. I don't bet basketball, that's why Im not interested in your NBA picks.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    And no one gives a fu** about the fact you don't give a fu** about my NBA picks.

    And, even at that, you DO give an F about them. You know why? Because when I hit games like PSU and Army, you are the FIRST one there to tell me if I had a misstep elsewhere, like in the NBA, which I haven't. But you are only concerned with them After the game and ONLY if they lose.

    If they win, "I don't give an F about your NBA picks!"

    Total hypocrite.


    Cool down bro, and take a valium. I don't bet basketball, that's why Im not interested in your NBA picks.  
     
    jcd1134
    jcd1134
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    Joined: Nov, 2016
    Posts: 131
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:41 AM ET #99

    Anyone else besides me like the Under for this game?
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    Anyone else besides me like the Under for this game?
     
     
    FlytheW
    FlytheW
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    Joined: Oct, 2016
    Posts: 251
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2016 - 11:44 AM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by Crailtap34:

    Silly a** trolls! Leave these types of plays to the big boys. Kiddie game is down the block ya ding dongs! Bunch of fart-bats. Ya goofy gooch-sniffs
    Do you even know what you said? 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crailtap34:

    Silly a** trolls! Leave these types of plays to the big boys. Kiddie game is down the block ya ding dongs! Bunch of fart-bats. Ya goofy gooch-sniffs
    Do you even know what you said? 
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