will add this one...
Chicago Bears -3
The Buffalo Bills call Toronto their second home and it's been like that for quite some time now but the only problem there is that Buffalo has never won a regular season game in Toronto and their only success in their adoptive City has been in the pre-season. It doesn't get much worse for the 0-7 SU Buffalo Bills who have come so close to winning football games the last month but have come up short in crucial moments of the game against Baltimore, New England and now Kansas City, to whom they lost to on the very last play of overtime in a devastating three point loss. They are by no means the worst team in the NFL because they could easily beat Carolina if you ask me but this is not exactly a home game for Buffalo having to go from outdoors to indoors. QB Rory Fitzpatrick doesn't have great career numbers in indoor games. I know it's tough to back the Bears because of the fact that they failed to cover the spread in all four of their games played in November in 2009 and they are only 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite but the Bills are due for yet another letdown following their outstanding defensive performance last weekend against a very good Kansas City offense and I did some research only to find that Buffalo is actually 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off a game where they allow 15 or less points in the previous game and they are also 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points. They seem to really get up for games that are out of reach but have a lot more problems competing in games they should be winning and that's probably because of the letdown factor. The Bills and Bears are two teams that have actually played their best football this season when playing away from their home fields so we are probably in for quite the game with quite the few big plays but I have to say the -3 is very enticing on Chicago coming off the BYE WEEK and after two straight overtime losses the last two weekends, Buffalo has to be devastated and I imagine it would be hard to win a game like this. Buffalo has one of the worst run defenses in the NFL and it has shown the last three games as they have allowed 5.5 yards per carry and I think Chicago is going to make them pay big time as they average 4.8 yards per carry in their last three games. Give me the Bears to play a lot better than they have been playing coming off the week of rest. Winless in Toronto is the theme for the Bills and winless on the season will continue to be reality.
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