Posted:
#76
10/19/2014
Nyg +7 -125 (B+1/2), 2u
Chi -3, 2u
Cin +3 Ev, 1u
1H Buf u21.5 -115, 1u
2T 6PTS Teaser, Sea -1/2, Gb -1/2 -105, 1u
Slick100's NFL Thread
Posted:
#79
| User/Phone | GameDate | Sport | Description | Risk/Win | Win/Loss Amount | Result | Date Placed |
| INTERNET / -1 | Ticket #: 33471309 Oct 19 05:28 PM | NFL | STRAIGHT BET [476] DENVER BRONCOS -6½-115 | 115 / 100 | 100 | WIN WIN | 10/19/2014 04:54 PM |
| INTERNET / -1 | Ticket #: 33476766 Oct 19 07:08 PM | NFL | STRAIGHT BET [2476] 2H DENVER BRONCOS -3-105 | 105 / 100 | 100 | WIN WIN | 10/19/2014 06:57 PM |
| INTERNET / -1 | Ticket #: 33476767 Oct 19 07:08 PM | NFL | STRAIGHT BET [2475] 2H SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS o24½-115 | 115 / 100 | 100 | WIN WIN | 10/19/2014 06:57 PM |
Posted:
#80
Sunday Football Recap
Nyg +7 -125 (B+1/2), 2u
Chi -3 -110, 2u
Cin +3 Ev, 1u
1h Buf u21.5 -115, 1u
2t 6pts Teaser, Sea -1/2, Gb -1/2 -105, 1u
Min +7 -130 (B+1/2), 2u
Den -6.5 -115, 2u
2h Den -3 -105, 2u
2h Sf o24.5 -115, 2u
Overall Record
Sides: 28-21-1, 6.85u
Totals: 3-1, 4u
1h: 2-2, 1.35u
2h: 5-2, 4.85
1q: 0-1, 1.05u
Live: 1-3, 1.95u
Parlay: 0-1, .5u
Teaser: 0-1-1, 1.05u
Alt Line: 0-1, .5u
Total Units: 12u
Posted:
#89
11/26/2014
Monday Night Football
Wa +10 -110, 2u
Sunday Football Action Recap
Tb -2.5 -115, 2u
Nyj -3 -105, 2u
Pit +4.5 -110, 2u
No -1.5 -110, 2u
Gb o55 -110, 2u *(not 1u)
2h -7 -110, 1u
2h Nyj -3 Ev, 1u
Overall Record
Sides: 30-23-1, 6.45u
Totals: 5-1, 8u
1h: 2-2, 1.35u
2h: 5-4, 2.75u
1q: 0-1, 1.05u
Live: 1-3, 1.95u
Parlay: 0-1, .5u
Teaser: 0-1-1, 1.05u
Alt Line: 0-2, 1u
Total Units: 13u
Posted:
#97
10/29/2014
Saints Playing Division Game Away
Why go with a team who cannot perform well on the road and w/ a lot of trends leaning the other way?
Stats
- The last time they met, Saints lost in Carolina (13-17) against #3 defense (DVOA). In 2012, Panthers ranked #11, and this year, they rank #28. The Panthers defense resembles nothing of the past couple of years.
- Cam has a 54.5 QBR and ranks 24th in that category.
- Olsen is Cam's #2 receiver. He has six less targets than Benjamin. Saints are #8 (DVOA) in defense against the TE.
- Williams & Stewart together avg. 4.0 ypa, 0.8 difference from Ogbonnaya & Whittake. This is an improvement, but far from vastly for this contest.
- Ingram averages 5.7 y/a. He leads the league
- Panthers rush defense ranks #31.
Red Zone
So, I think it's fair to say the Saints will be seeing the Red Zone in Carolina, lets see those stats...
- Saints rank #12 in away Red Zone Scoring (only TDs). As opposed to #28 in 2013.
- Panthers rank #21 in home Red Zone Scoring (only TDs). As opposed to #22 in 2012.
- Saints rank #27 in NFL Team Opponent Red Zone Scoring Percentage.
- Panthers rank #13 NFL Team Opponent Red Zone Scoring Percentage.
Field goals will not win this game for the Panthers as in recent years show that they are designed to lean on power defense. They will need to get in the end zone, or stop the Saints from reaching the end zone. But, with the Saint's averaging 31.2 points away, that's going to be a very big task for this defense of late.
Opportunity
The Saints have a chance to make another statement, a bigger statement, that they can win on the road against a division rival in a revenge situation. This, in my opinion, is more opportunistic than the Panthers desperation to get back on the winning track since their last win in week 5.
Superbowl Contention
The Saints were highly expected to be a Superbowl contender this year and have let people down. If you don't think they are aware of this, you are misled, because the Saints front office is aware of this. These expectations trickle down.
Finally
With that said, trends do matter, but they also don't have as nearly as much clout in certain spots. And, in my humble opinion, this is one of those spots.
Best of Luck to All
Posted:
#100
Awesome write-up, Slick. There is one point I disagree with - the TE angle. NO haven't face any stud on the TE position all season long despite Jason Witten and he is far from elite so far this year. Anyway, Romo was 5/5 throwing on him for 12.2 yards per attempt. Defending Greg Olse will be a different story.
Good luck this week. May the better team cover tomorrow
Good luck this week. May the better team cover tomorrow
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