SEATTLE @ COWBOYS: Every Penny Seattle took from me for the season win total comes back right here!!

So one point is 1 penny compared to the spread??? That is sloppy line setting if I've ever seen it.

All the squares are enamored with Seattle and their late season playoff run but the reality is they had to beat the worst team in the league, the Cards, by not one but two at the gun the field goals, both games with something on the line (the first, their season on the line at 0-2 and possibly falling to 0-3 and the second their playoff position, even though Minnesota faded late).

This is a revenge spot for Dallas having lost earlier in the season to them when they were just putting things together.

The reality, as the squares fall continue their never ending love affair with Wilson and pom-pom waving Carroll, is this:

When Seattle plays a stout run defense against a good team? They lose.

And that is the PERFECT formula for a loss by Seattle here on the road against an excellent run defense with rested players (and coming off an exhilarating, momentum building win over the Giants, which cost me dearly by the way).

Played the Bears #1 Rush D? Lost 24-17 going away

Played the Chargers #9 Rush D? Lost 25-17 at home

Even the next best run defense was a loser, and not even to a good team.

Played the Niners #14 Rush D (only slightly above average?): Lost 26-23 on the road.

While the running game was not completely shut down in all three, it certainly causes Seattle to have an alternative game plan, which rests simply on the improvisation of Wilson and his arm. There is nothing else Seattle has in store. We've seen this time and time again. Wilson is great but you can only put so many throws on a dime in perfect spots for wins late. And in the playoffs on the road, the difficulty level is extreme.

And that is not enough in this revenge spot, with a desperate Cowboys team looking to prove something, anything, to a long-starved fan base at home AGAIN in the playoffs looking to avoid another Tony Romo botched snap (and believe me, there are squares betting Seattle because of that).

Give me the FanDuel ML, at the best price (a penny for a full point), at home, with revenge, with momentum, with long-starved playoff success aspirations, with rest, against a Seattle team that over performed and are priced at a premium.

EVERYTHING I lost ($3,000) on the RSW Under 7.5 comes back right here...for me and the guys I cost money here tailing that one.

It’s not a “revenge bet”. It’s a bet based on Dallas top 5 run D doing enough to come out with a win where I get the absolute best possible line after shopping (and waiting for it to come down from 2.5 in 24 hours).

And this doesn’t even speak to the other reasons I have which you ignored because you think it is appropriate for you to take Seattle because I want my money back for the RSW 7.5. Which I do want and I will get back.

This game would be nothing to me at Dallas -4 -116

Dallas -116 ML is gold to me.

I was leaning that way as well, Far too many people towing the line of 'Of course, Garrett will mess things up' or 'Wilson is a big game player' etc etc. The Cowboys defense is legit this year and with Cooper the Cowboys are the better side on offense.

One other huge factor that people are ignoring, The expectancy, The pressure on the Cowboys to win this year is not there, Fans have been let down so much in the past that they are just enjoying the ride, Remember there was a time during this season where both Dak and Garrett's jobs were on the line, There's a determination about this Dallas side.

BOL Scal 

So let me get this straight, after 36,000+ posts you believe a “revenge post” (which I even explained was not a revenge post given the write up)  has an impact on your side, as though there is some cosmological force that will now change the outcome of the game because one bettor somewhere you don’t even know bet the game???

Jesus Christ.....

You should NOT be betting if you think for a millisecond that matters...

Calm down, buddy, i know what i'm doing, have been doing these postseason stuffs since 1986 AFC Championship game at Caesar's Palace. Hope we win. 

I'm changing my opinion on this game from Seattle to Dallas

Thoughts on indy/Houston and chargers/Balt?

I have big superbowl futures on both and am wondering if I should hedge or wait another week. the line is so short on both... one in my favor and the other is not.

Thanks 

Ninja

Europa I’ve been at it for quite some time as well. And other people’s bets have no impact on mine. 

Thank you Canada. BIG game coming up for you! Leonard’s revenge game @ Spurs on 1/3! Ya gotta get in on that one!

Good Luck Scal 

In the Colts/Texans game, I'm leaning Colts as of now, The Texans play has dipped a level these past weeks and the Colts have the confidence knowing they have been there and done that winning in that stadium. However they are both so equal and know each other well, It's a game of fine margins and you never know Watt could win them the game on his own. 

Regarding the Chargers/Ravens, How the Ravens are favored here is beyond me, The Chargers are a 12 win team and have an elite, veteran QB. Yes the Ravens beat them a few weeks ago but the Chargers had an opportunity to win that late despite how well the Ravens d played, Go back and watch it, It was one play that decided that game. The Ravens D as Mayfield showed is not the Ray Lewis Raven's D, It's good but a smart, veteran QB will get the better of it, I will be on the Chargers and if LJ proves me wrong, I will tip my cap to the rookie but he won't.