*** Pound the Lions this Week and Call it a Day! POTY ***

I like your angles but Detroit in there last six games are

0-6 SU

1-5 ATS

They find every way to lose and not cover they cant get out of there own way. Not sure why that will change on saturday.

 

Agreed on the Lions

I learned in the NFL if it's look too EZ, stay away.  ATL beat the def champ easily and Lions loss to the lowly Cards, yet, ATL only favor by 4 and now 3.5?  It's a dome game too so ATL should have no problem right with field condition.  It seemed like a no-brainer to take ATL.  I will stay away from this game.  Better ones on the board.  

not telling you anything...just showing how much has been bet on the game.  No need to get angry my man.  Just very lopsided.

Good luck

GOOD STUFF!!,,GOOD LUCK!

It's funny how many people say this is a terrible bet. Throw out the records and these two teams are almost identical. Both have strong pass offenses, no run game, and a below average defense. Falcons commit less penalty's and turnovers but that's where the +4 at home comes in.

Take a look at the Lions in the last month.

1) Lost to the Packers by 4 and by 7, both games they had a comfortable lead.

2) Lost to the Texans in overtime by 3, had a comfortable lead

3) Lost to the Colts by 2, had a comfortable lead.

Falcons when playing below average teams,

1) needed a miracle to comeback and beat the panthers
2) barely held on to beating the raiders in a dome
3) got crushed by the panthers
4) barely survived the Cardinals

Yeah, such a terrible bet

Post #10

plus atl is off a blowout win....facing a team ( at home).....off a blowout loss....

LC you are not getting my point. The Lions could cover or even win. Afterall no one has blown them off the field at home. The problem I have is justifying it as a POY. This is nowhere near a POY. How can it be? Based on what trends/systems/situations? U have a team an expert in losing tight games and a team that wins tight games. A team with a terrible turn over ratio and a team with a great turnover ratio. A team that flat out quit last weekend and a another team that made a BIG  statement.

sounds like you will be lumping on the falcons then mack off of what you just said ?

ATL just shutout the defending superbowl champions. No game this whole season would take as much emotions and energy away from a team. ATL will come out flat, i promise you.

Did you watch the game? They were up 14-0 in the 1st quarter. They cruised comfortably to the finish line from about halfway through the 3rd quarter. They were on the Giants 1yd line numerous times and in fact could have put up a 40-burger quite easily. If the Giants on the hand had given them a game, I would understand your logic. Regardless, anything can happen, I wish you BOL this weekend

LC fair enough. I hope u win to be honest. For me it's a no play. neither team is trustworthy for me..

    Not sure that having the #4 scoring defense, allowing only 18.5 pts./gm , qualifies the Falcons as a below average defense.  There's only 3 teams ahead of them in pts. allowed per game, and that's SF, Sea, and Chi. and that's by a fg or less per game. On the other hand, the Lions allow almost 28 pts./game.  I think that it's not only the less T.O.'s and less penalties that make them a 4 pt. favorite, as obviously the difference in points allowed per game was a factored in, when setting this line. They also dominated the Giants on the ground and t.o.p. last week, so to say they can't run the ball is also not totally correct. Granted they haven't ran that effectively all season, but that's more of a scheming, and game plan factor, rather than the inability to do so.  I expect to see quite a bit of running, early and often, unless they find themselves behind out of the gate. I'd be very surprised to not see the Falcons score at least the 28 point average or more, that the Lions give up per game, and not sure if Detroit can do that much better than Eli did last week, at least not the 24 points I think they'll need to come close to covering.  I'm not knocking your play, just happen to be on the other side.

Rule #1 of sportsbetting - teams are never as good as their best game and never as bad as their worst game... thought we learned that lesson already after watching the giants and cardinals the last two weeks....

... lions will bounce back for sure and play well infront of their home fans.... i like the lions + the points, but not quite enough to call it a poty.... will be tailing you on it for a regular play....

yes I'm betting on the Lions because their egoes were hurt last week?? Maybe for the whole wasted season ,,,I can't bet on them with your money

Michigan > Lions.......

To lose to the Hapless Cardinals by 28 was a disgrace.....

   What makes you think that a team that's 2-4 at home on the season, and 4-10 overall will all of a sudden play well, just because they're in front of their home fans.  They had an opportunity to do that Thanksgiving and didn't, and at 4-10, if you throw out Seattle's 9-5 record, the other three teams they've beaten have an overall record of 13-28-1. Atlanta would have to come in flat as a pancake for them to cover, let alone win outright. I just don't see the logic behind backing them be it a regular play, GOW, GOM, or GOY.  Call me a fool, but it's the Falcons or no bet in my book.  BOL

222222222222's.....U got it....

As already mentioned its been a trend all year for both teams.

Atlanta finds ways to win

Detroit finds ways to lose.  Keep in mind 3 of 4 Lions victories they where losing and came from behind in the 4th. 

Also keep in mind as already mentioned.  We are missing I think its 9 starters. NINE!!! of 22 YIKES!!!

We are undisciplined.  Heck even our coach has cost us a game literally by himself!

Altanta NEEDS this game to get momentum going.  They will use this as practice.  I honestly do not see any way in hell Detroit wins.  Will they get a back door possible.  But dont count on it.  Atlanta rolls.  31-17

Speaking of getting it, I think we've got all three of your plays this week Shrimp, and with a little luck the Purple Birdies also. Just because the G-Men need to win doesn't mean they will, does it?