PLAY: Houston @ Cincinnati (and Write UP)

This is one of the best capping posts I've ever read on this site.  Excellent work.

Texans 24-13.

BOL.

This is one of the best capping posts I've ever read on this site.  Excellent work.

We agree on key variables, but we differ on conclusions :).

I project Houston to hold the ball 31 minutes, and to have the edge in total pressure (ints, sacks, fumbles, sack yards, penalty yards, net punt yards). I wrestled with that argument, but had to take the Dalton experience/texans being even more one dimensional...I understand the case you are making though

Cinci's year to date schedule is interesting in that basically they have played a lot of good defenses but not that many good offenses outside of division but... houston cannot be considered a GOOD offense with Yates in there, not until he proves it.  My take is that they have gotten to the point in their evolution where they can beat lesser teams but might have an inferiority complex against the better teams. NFL historic 2 or less start QBs digress in comparison to 1st starts....that is one of the edges I am playing

I acknowledge that where my "house of cards" could fall apart is in drinking the Yates coolaid.  All week long we've been subjected to a lot of media spin about how he's cool under pressure, can make plays, blah, blah, blah.  It's very reminscent of the media's love affair with Dalton before he started playing division games, lol. therein lies my primary edge in this one

At a high level, I just think Cinci is outmatched, by a small margin, in virtually every category except the deep ball.  Houston's secondary did let the falcons' wrs get past them on several plays where ryan just failed to make the throw, so I could see a scenario where cinci get's up early and yates folds under the pressure, but i'm going to make the key assumption that wade corrects these failures from last week's game.

Texans 24-13.

BOL.