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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    NY/SF line and sharps

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    LakeCommish
    dawizard2011
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    LakeCommish
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2012 - 12:03 PM ET #76

    seriously truth be told i think we have to throw all the stats out the window as soon as the foot hits the side of the tee and its on ! really a bettor has an advantage doing props because the props are set up with the main factor being PAST PERFORMANCE . and we are literally not in the past anymore . WE ARE IN THE HERE AND NOW .. i predict 24 - 20   is always a stretch to say a guy will score .. when in reality it could be no tds .. or hrs in mlb .. but i can tell you who will score , patriot tight ends .

    so if the gmen did not pull off that improbable 07 run winning the sb would the giants have less value in how they are percieved today ? i dont know , but i know for a fact it is nothing but a positive that the giants have already been there and done that compared to the comp which is simply a big surprise and have not been in a game this big before , these guy on sf have not .. how much does that weigh ? it weighs something i know that ..

    lets say brees and stafford got hurt , who would be the NFL PASSING LEADER FOR 2011 SEASON ? YES , IT WOULD BE MANNING . so in effect would he be looked at like a brady then ? here we have a team with a qb that lead the leauge in passing ? well i know that is the scenario but it put things in perspective of how we jude and value this and that .. when in reality we just dont get it ... many times ..

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    seriously truth be told i think we have to throw all the stats out the window as soon as the foot hits the side of the tee and its on ! really a bettor has an advantage doing props because the props are set up with the main factor being PAST PERFORMANCE . and we are literally not in the past anymore . WE ARE IN THE HERE AND NOW .. i predict 24 - 20   is always a stretch to say a guy will score .. when in reality it could be no tds .. or hrs in mlb .. but i can tell you who will score , patriot tight ends .

    so if the gmen did not pull off that improbable 07 run winning the sb would the giants have less value in how they are percieved today ? i dont know , but i know for a fact it is nothing but a positive that the giants have already been there and done that compared to the comp which is simply a big surprise and have not been in a game this big before , these guy on sf have not .. how much does that weigh ? it weighs something i know that ..

    lets say brees and stafford got hurt , who would be the NFL PASSING LEADER FOR 2011 SEASON ? YES , IT WOULD BE MANNING . so in effect would he be looked at like a brady then ? here we have a team with a qb that lead the leauge in passing ? well i know that is the scenario but it put things in perspective of how we jude and value this and that .. when in reality we just dont get it ... many times ..

     
    dawizard2011
    dawizard2011
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2012 - 12:11 PM ET #77

    BILLSNEED SAYS....

    SF opened at -1 has been bet by sharps to -2.5 


    sf opened -2.5 at wynn,,,,wynn always posts first line and than others follow suit...this line was never -1 anywhere...dont know where u get this stuff from people
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    BILLSNEED SAYS....

    SF opened at -1 has been bet by sharps to -2.5 


    sf opened -2.5 at wynn,,,,wynn always posts first line and than others follow suit...this line was never -1 anywhere...dont know where u get this stuff from people
     
    LakeCommish
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2012 - 12:24 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:

    Lakecommish come on man and sub consciuosly the public is thinking how are the Giants getting pts and jumoing on them.Are u new to this.always 2ways to look at this

    the come on man is from espn , is joking man , come on man !

    no doubt always 2 ways , all i have said is just my take .. how do i really feel about this game say , how much would i bet on it ? ooh my , i am scared to death of it .. simply because of the east coast west coast factor .. and that it is SF's turn to go to a bowl if it was ever anybodys turn to break through on the scene again .. so why did i type all i did in ny favor , that is simply my take as a tracker living and breathing it day after day and year after year .. is the nfl like the nba come playoff time ? well , lets hope it is not like the reg season .. really though , nfl is more predictable come crucnh time in the playoffs .. but the east coast to west coast scenario always screams red flag no matter what sport .. who gets a better nights rest .. too many unknowns to ever honestly say you knew what was going to happen .. just when it does happen like you thought you get the evidence to act like you knew when you got it right .. but , in true perspective there are too many factors in a nfl game to feel sooo good .. you can get em right left and right but you can fall flat on your face just the same , just when you thought you had it pegged .

    a tracker take to me would be take ny .. being really into all of it deep .. but is no guarantee .  

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    Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:

    Lakecommish come on man and sub consciuosly the public is thinking how are the Giants getting pts and jumoing on them.Are u new to this.always 2ways to look at this

    the come on man is from espn , is joking man , come on man !

    no doubt always 2 ways , all i have said is just my take .. how do i really feel about this game say , how much would i bet on it ? ooh my , i am scared to death of it .. simply because of the east coast west coast factor .. and that it is SF's turn to go to a bowl if it was ever anybodys turn to break through on the scene again .. so why did i type all i did in ny favor , that is simply my take as a tracker living and breathing it day after day and year after year .. is the nfl like the nba come playoff time ? well , lets hope it is not like the reg season .. really though , nfl is more predictable come crucnh time in the playoffs .. but the east coast to west coast scenario always screams red flag no matter what sport .. who gets a better nights rest .. too many unknowns to ever honestly say you knew what was going to happen .. just when it does happen like you thought you get the evidence to act like you knew when you got it right .. but , in true perspective there are too many factors in a nfl game to feel sooo good .. you can get em right left and right but you can fall flat on your face just the same , just when you thought you had it pegged .

    a tracker take to me would be take ny .. being really into all of it deep .. but is no guarantee .  

     
     
    LakeCommish
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2012 - 3:34 AM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by Niners13:



    eli or alex...here's a prop for you,

    Will Manning throw int.......... -215

    Will Alex smith throw int ...... +105

    yes to both , one way or another both throw picks , better to be lucky than good , one of them might be a meaningless hm at the end of the half or end of the game thats picked ..

    bradshaw under rushing yards , makes some big plays/1st down plays recieving though .. under rushing is pretty strong , take the under .

    if you listed every prop I would go about 70 + % with them .. all it takes is the $ to back it .. that is always the key , the $ , knowing is the ez part . knowing and actually doing ? 2 different worlds my man . and no it would not be 70+ because I would be taking - 200 and up seems to ez on the surface props ..

    manning will pass for sooo many yrds you will not even be able to find a prop on o/u passing yards .. marinate on that 1  that should tell you something more than something prop wise .. giants baby ! think peyton is coaching his bro and fliing him with positive energy ? his family ? you bet he is !

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    Quote Originally Posted by Niners13:



    eli or alex...here's a prop for you,

    Will Manning throw int.......... -215

    Will Alex smith throw int ...... +105

    yes to both , one way or another both throw picks , better to be lucky than good , one of them might be a meaningless hm at the end of the half or end of the game thats picked ..

    bradshaw under rushing yards , makes some big plays/1st down plays recieving though .. under rushing is pretty strong , take the under .

    if you listed every prop I would go about 70 + % with them .. all it takes is the $ to back it .. that is always the key , the $ , knowing is the ez part . knowing and actually doing ? 2 different worlds my man . and no it would not be 70+ because I would be taking - 200 and up seems to ez on the surface props ..

    manning will pass for sooo many yrds you will not even be able to find a prop on o/u passing yards .. marinate on that 1  that should tell you something more than something prop wise .. giants baby ! think peyton is coaching his bro and fliing him with positive energy ? his family ? you bet he is !

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