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***NFL WEEK 6 PLAYS WITH TRENDS, ANGLES & SYSTEMS***

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Posted: #1
I was having 2nd thoughts about the Lions yesterday afternoon but just couldnt get out of my mind that they hadnt played on prime time tv since 1999 & decided to just keep my bets alone.....well, us Lions backers got very lucky to cover, Bears fell short about 2 inches from crossing the line to the end zone & it would have been disastrous, but a win is a win..............

Total profits so far at +$16,105..................




On to week 6:

Here are some trends, angles & systems:

Play ON a non-division road team off a bye week that has a road game the following week. 19-6 ATS since 2000  (Take Rams +15)

Play ON a home favorite of 6.5 or more before its bye week. 35-13 ATS since 2000 (Take Patriots -7, Bengals -7)


49ers are 2-11 ATS as a road dog after winning by 14 or more points

49ers are 9-15 ATS after allowing 10 or less points

Ravens are 13-3 ATS after winning by 14 or more points

Bills are 16-8 ATS as a dog after scoring 30 or more points

Jaguars are 3-11 ATS after allowing 30 or more points past 6 years

Panthers are 9-3 ATS on the road after losing by 3 points or less

Panthers are 25-12 ATS after allowing 30 or more points (2-0 ATS this season)



I may have more if I find any.........









 
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Posted: #2
Here are some 3 team 10 point teasers I jumped on:


Rams +24.5, Ravens +2.5, Patriots +3, $1,200 to win $1,000

Raiders +4.5, Lions +5, Rams +24.5, $1,200 to win $1,000

2 team 6 point teaser: Raiders +1/2, Lions +1, $600 to win $500
 
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Posted: #3
Favorites after a bye week are around 72% since 2006 and road favorite off a bye is higher not sure of the exact numbers!!Wheres Roberto Flory when you need him.

Wash
Balty
 
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Posted: #4
Here it is Primetime,


Going into the 2011-2012 NFL season :

Favorites coming off a bye are 
54-27-3 ATS since the 2006-2007 season and
66-31-3 ATS since the 2005-2006 season began...

 Road Favorites ( coming off a bye ) go into the
2011-2012 regular season on a 11-0-1 ATS streak 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:

Here it is Primetime,


Going into the 2011-2012 NFL season :

Favorites coming off a bye are 
54-27-3 ATS since the 2006-2007 season and
66-31-3 ATS since the 2005-2006 season began...

 Road Favorites ( coming off a bye ) go into the
2011-2012 regular season on a 11-0-1 ATS streak 


Good stuff MJ...................


Ravens looking good.............
 
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Posted: #6
Adding:


Ravens -7.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000



I dont think this line will come down & was thinking of buying the 1/2 point but I think the Ravens blow the Texans out.............. 
 
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Posted: #7

good info

thanks

 
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Posted: #8
Adding:


Rams +14.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000


Damn line came down at bookmaker.


As of right now, the only side plays I like are the Ravens & Rams.................
 
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Posted: #9
BAL looks like a good play... got it at -7.

Hopefully the Rams wake-up after their bye.


 
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Posted: #10
More trends:


Ravens are 8-1 ATS after their bye past 9 years

Texans are 1-12 ATS in games 5 & 6 combined in October vs non-division opponents

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Packers are 1-8 ATS when favored 11 points or more off a SU win vs opponent off a SU & ATS loss

Packers are 7-1 ATS before playing Vikings

Packers are 2-9 ATS in October off non-division vs opponent off back to back SU & ATS losses

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Be back with more..................



 
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Posted: #11
Aloha, I've been a long time creeper on this forum and since I've finally created an account, I'd like to thank you for all your write-ups.

If you don't mind, I'm trying to do a 13 point teaser for a very large amount and I'm pretty sure there are better choices but would it be better to take the Patriots at +6 or Cowboys at +20? I think Dez and Miles are playing in this upcoming game?
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

I was having 2nd thoughts about the Lions yesterday afternoon but just couldnt get out of my mind that they hadnt played on prime time tv since 1999 & decided to just keep my bets alone.....well, us Lions backers got very lucky to cover, Bears fell short about 2 inches from crossing the line to the end zone & it would have been disastrous, but a win is a win..............

Total profits so far at +$16,105..................




On to week 6:

Here are some trends, angles & systems:

Play ON a non-division road team off a bye week that has a road game the following week. 19-6 ATS since 2000  (Take Rams +15)

Play ON a home favorite of 6.5 or more before its bye week. 35-13 ATS since 2000 (Take Patriots -7, Bengals -7)


49ers are 2-11 ATS as a road dog after winning by 14 or more points

49ers are 9-15 ATS after allowing 10 or less points

Ravens are 13-3 ATS after winning by 14 or more points

Bills are 16-8 ATS as a dog after scoring 30 or more points

Jaguars are 3-11 ATS after allowing 30 or more points past 6 years

Panthers are 9-3 ATS on the road after losing by 3 points or less

Panthers are 25-12 ATS after allowing 30 or more points (2-0 ATS this season)



I may have more if I find any.........









PTB what the hell was that at the end of the game.  Played great basically the whole game and fell asleep with no time left on the clock.  Thank the lucky stars they woke up like you said just in time.  I was trying to make the tackle myself through the TV screen.

 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by alohawaii:

Aloha, I've been a long time creeper on this forum and since I've finally created an account, I'd like to thank you for all your write-ups.

If you don't mind, I'm trying to do a 13 point teaser for a very large amount and I'm pretty sure there are better choices but would it be better to take the Patriots at +6 or Cowboys at +20? I think Dez and Miles are playing in this upcoming game?

This is kind of a must win for the Boys but so was the Eagles last week so..........

As for a 3 team 13 point teaser goes, here is what I like:

Lions +8, Ravens +6.5, Raiders +7.5 (do you really think the Raiders will lose their home game after their owner died?) or if you dont like the Raiders, I dont see the Packers losing, Packers -1.5
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by lookingtowin:

PTB what the hell was that at the end of the game.  Played great basically the whole game and fell asleep with no time left on the clock.  Thank the lucky stars they woke up like you said just in time.  I was trying to make the tackle myself through the TV screen.



...........me to buddy. Usually teams let their opponent get that garbage td & imo, the clock ran out I thought before Cutler snapped the ball...........

Like you said, they had me at the edge of my seat & yelling, tackle the bastard..............tackled they did & pushed him forward at the 2 inch line............ absolutely crazy!
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Adding:


Ravens -7.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000



I dont think this line will come down & was thinking of buying the 1/2 point but I think the Ravens blow the Texans out.............. 
5Dimes has it at -7 -125
 
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Posted: #16
Good luck this week.  I am on the Ravens myself.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

More trends:


Ravens are 8-1 ATS after their bye past 9 years

Texans are 1-12 ATS in games 5 & 6 combined in October vs non-division opponents

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Packers are 1-8 ATS when favored 11 points or more off a SU win vs opponent off a SU & ATS loss

Packers are 7-1 ATS before playing Vikings

Packers are 2-9 ATS in October off non-division vs opponent off back to back SU & ATS losses

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Be back with more..................




THANK YOU PTB....
I think Houston is not the same team anymore after - Andre Johnson--got injured (Hamstring) ...Baltimore route this game....Good spot for Ravens to blow out this team....

I LIKE Carolina and NY Giants this week...Do you have any trends to support these two teams?.

 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore:

5Dimes has it at -7 -125


I could have bought down but I really dont think the hook will come into play in this game, good luck this week...................
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by WinsNow999:



THANK YOU PTB....
I think Houston is not the same team anymore after - Andre Johnson--got injured (Hamstring) ...Baltimore route this game....Good spot for Ravens to blow out this team....

I LIKE Carolina and NY Giants this week...Do you have any trends to support these two teams?.



I will try & get to the rest of the trends tonight................
 
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Posted: #20
More trends:


Skins are 1-7 ATS as a division home dog vs opponent off a SU loss

Skins are 3-9 ATS as a dog of 3 points or less

Skins are 0-6 ATS at home vs opponent off of SU favorite loss

Skins are 1-10 ATS at home off a SU win vs division opponent that less than .500

Couldnt find anything on the Eagles, positive or negative but im sure theres something out there......
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Tampa is 4-13 ATS at home & 1-9 ATS as a home dog under coach Raheem Morris.

Tampa is 0-9 ATS at home vs opponent off SU win with coach Morris.

Tampa is 2-10 ATS as dogs off back to back non-division vs division opponent with revenge (Tampa beat the Saints in New Orleans week 17 last season, im assuming this counts as a revenge game)

Saints are 7-1 ATS away with revenge vs opponent off a double digit SU loss.

Saints are 7-1 ATS as a road favorite of 5 points or less off a SU win.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Bills coach Chan Gailey is 0-10 ATS when .500 or better record on the road vs non-division opponent (0-1 ATS this season)

Bills are 0-8 ATS in October on the road vs opponent off a double digit SU loss

Bills are 1-8 ATS in October off a SU & ATS win vs opponent off a Double digit ATS loss

Bills are 1-7 ATS as dogs of 7 or less points vs .600 or better opponent

(Nothing positive or negative found on the Giants)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Be back with more..........................
 
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Posted: #21

I'll have to check these stats.  I have a hard time believing they're true.  But, even so, so if the Ravens were favored by 34 would you take them just because of the trend? 

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Rickerbockers:

I'll have to check these stats.  I have a hard time believing they're true.  But, even so, so if the Ravens were favored by 34 would you take them just because of the trend? 



Im assuming you are being sarcastic, if not, its the most retarded question I have been asked since I been on this site, why would anyone take the Ravens -34?.....................be my guest & correct me if im wrong on any of these trends...................
 
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Posted: #23
Also, trends, angles & systems are to be used as a tool in everyones arsenal...........not to solely bet on games because of them.................not everyone likes or uses trends but these are for the guys that do enjoy them................
 
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Posted: #24

PTB Whats up big guy love the information in this thread what do you think about Ravens - 9 ( currently at PINNACLE )

 
 
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Posted: #25
Ya prolly for right now just gonna go with the favorites off a bye for 3 units and road favorite off a bye for 5 units!!Did it for everyone lasr year and it went 9-5-1 I believe!So Balt and Wash!!
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