Here's interesting parameter could possibly be added into Ravens regression of a Bator method fade. Bator fade is score 30 pts or more while giving up 10 or less back to back. Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. Also they score 37 or more and gave up 6 or less back to back. Wow dominance. Then we can also add in Ravens out,-gained opp by over 300 yards, all indicating of extreme performance, not sustainable level of play. Can either Dog or Jowchoo run those querries ? 35 or more giving up 7 or less. 37 or more giving up 6 or less Then add in out-gained opp by over 300 yards and see if that increases the %
I ran these conditions over only LAST game since two games back was only a 7 point win.
This produced a (90-99) underdog record, non actionable.
I have a very nice trend favoring BALT in my WEEK 10 thread, they are on my SIDES plays.
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Here's interesting parameter could possibly be added into Ravens regression of a Bator method fade. Bator fade is score 30 pts or more while giving up 10 or less back to back. Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. Also they score 37 or more and gave up 6 or less back to back. Wow dominance. Then we can also add in Ravens out,-gained opp by over 300 yards, all indicating of extreme performance, not sustainable level of play. Can either Dog or Jowchoo run those querries ? 35 or more giving up 7 or less. 37 or more giving up 6 or less Then add in out-gained opp by over 300 yards and see if that increases the %
I ran these conditions over only LAST game since two games back was only a 7 point win.
I figured Ravens regress last week to Seahawks forgot Lamar has insane record vs NFC. Browns are the right play, even this season the Ravens show regression after a completely dominating game. week 1: 25-9 week 2: 3 point win week 4: 28-3 week 5: lost by 7 week 7: 38-6 week 8: 7 point win as a -10 Fav
Good point .…......
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Quote Originally Posted by soup-can:
I figured Ravens regress last week to Seahawks forgot Lamar has insane record vs NFC. Browns are the right play, even this season the Ravens show regression after a completely dominating game. week 1: 25-9 week 2: 3 point win week 4: 28-3 week 5: lost by 7 week 7: 38-6 week 8: 7 point win as a -10 Fav
claw: Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. NOT TRUE, two weeks ago they won 31-24
Yes I did realize my mistake, was going off memory and didn't look it up.
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
claw: Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. NOT TRUE, two weeks ago they won 31-24
Yes I did realize my mistake, was going off memory and didn't look it up.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Here's interesting parameter could possibly be added into Ravens regression of a Bator method fade. Bator fade is score 30 pts or more while giving up 10 or less back to back. Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. Also they score 37 or more and gave up 6 or less back to back. Wow dominance. Then we can also add in Ravens out,-gained opp by over 300 yards, all indicating of extreme performance, not sustainable level of play. Can either Dog or Jowchoo run those querries ? 35 or more giving up 7 or less. 37 or more giving up 6 or less Then add in out-gained opp by over 300 yards and see if that increases the % I ran these conditions over only LAST game since two games back was only a 7 point win. p:total yards > op:total yards > 300 and p:margin > 28 This produced a (90-99) underdog record, non actionable. I have a very nice trend favoring BALT in my WEEK 10 thread, they are on my SIDES plays.
Can you run the numbers for that spot ? 35 or more and 7 or less back to back with one game outgain opp by over 300 yds.
Out-gaining opp by 300 yards by itself won't work
It needs to come in a regression situation and the 300 yards adds to the regression
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Here's interesting parameter could possibly be added into Ravens regression of a Bator method fade. Bator fade is score 30 pts or more while giving up 10 or less back to back. Ravens scored 35 or more while giving up 7 or less back to back, that is more extreme dominance. The more extreme generally the higher the probability. Also they score 37 or more and gave up 6 or less back to back. Wow dominance. Then we can also add in Ravens out,-gained opp by over 300 yards, all indicating of extreme performance, not sustainable level of play. Can either Dog or Jowchoo run those querries ? 35 or more giving up 7 or less. 37 or more giving up 6 or less Then add in out-gained opp by over 300 yards and see if that increases the % I ran these conditions over only LAST game since two games back was only a 7 point win. p:total yards > op:total yards > 300 and p:margin > 28 This produced a (90-99) underdog record, non actionable. I have a very nice trend favoring BALT in my WEEK 10 thread, they are on my SIDES plays.
Can you run the numbers for that spot ? 35 or more and 7 or less back to back with one game outgain opp by over 300 yds.
Out-gaining opp by 300 yards by itself won't work
It needs to come in a regression situation and the 300 yards adds to the regression
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