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NFL (Pre Season) Week 2 Plays

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
gl weathered
 
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Posted: #27
     GL weathered...
 
     I may do both as well.
 
     Not officially posting any preseason plays.
 
     Waiting 'til the regular season.
 
    
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

I like home dogs in preseasons too. ATS on the HD in preseason is over sixty something. Not too bad, I guess. Bought one pt to +4 on Panthers, since my local gave me -125 so I like to play round unit.
 
Good Luck, buddy!  

 yes indeed...

Preseason Games from 1997 to 2007

Category
Won-Lost (ATS)
Win%
Home Teams
326-341
48.9%
Home Favorites
249-292
46.0%
Home Favorites of -1 to -2.5
54-55
49%
Home Favorites of -3
62-76
45%
Home Favorites of -3.5 to -6.5
119-139
46%
Home Favorites of -7 or more
14-22
39%
Home Underdogs
77-49
61.1%
Home Underdogs of +0 to +2.5
37-28
57%
Home Underdogs of +3
21-8
72%
Home Underdogs of +3.5 or more
19-13
59%

 
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Posted: #29
 
Banned
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Posted: #30
 
All-Star
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Posted: #31
Best of Luck, weathered
 
Prospect
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Posted: #32
GL Weathered. I'm playing the coaches records here.
 
  • Mike Tomlin is 5-1 in preseason games.
  • Dick Jauron is 10-19 in preseason games.
  • Dick Jauron is 2-5 in preseason Week 2 games.

    • I still wasn't overly confident so I threw my bet into a 6pt teaser

    Pitt + 5 & over 27 (.5 unit to win .5)

    Hopefully we both find success.

     
    Prospect
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    Posted: #33
    Just my opinion but Buffalo has no offensive line. I think the Steelers defense will be too much for the Bills to handle. My money is on the Steelers. Good luck  
     
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    Posted: #34
    Thanks everyone....and good luck to all
     
     
    Bills line went all the way back to pick and now it's back up to + 1 at one of my books....so at least i'm happy that I got a good number
     
  • 08/12/2008 12:31PM: +2 -110 / -2 -110 Opener
  • 08/12/2008 4:26PM: +1.5 -110 / -1.5 -110
  • 08/12/2008 4:46PM: +1 -115 / -1 -105
  • 08/13/2008 11:22AM: -1 -110 / +1 -110
  • 08/13/2008 11:58AM: -2 -110 / +2 -110
  • 08/14/2008 11:00AM: -1 -110 / +1 -110
  • 08/14/2008 12:05PM: pk -110 / pk -110
  • 08/14/2008 12:44PM: -1 -110 / +1 -110
    •  
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    Posted: #35
    I bolded the line I got online yesterday above ^
     
     
    and on the flip side I could have gotten Carolina + 3.5 (- 110) today online as well...so I should have waited
     
    but like I said when I saw that + 3.5 with the local it looked really good at the time
     
     
  • 08/12/2008 12:31PM: +3 -105 / -3 -115 Opener
  • 08/12/2008 4:46PM: +3 +105 / -3 -125
  • 08/14/2008 10:50AM: +3.5 -110 / -3.5 -110
    •  
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    Posted: #36
    CAR
    John Fox
    17-8
    4-0
    4-0
    2-2
    4-0
    1-3
    1-0
     
    Veteran
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    Posted: #37
    That's preseason overall, then each year from 2003-2008.
     
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    Posted: #38
    Good stuff Rox, thanks
     
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    Posted: #39
    Adding
     
     
    Baltimore - 1 (- 121)
     
     
    Not sure why the public bet this line down to 1 but I see it going back up at some books....I expect to see it right around were it opened by kickoff.
     
     
  • 08/11/2008 10:09PM: +2.5 -105 / -2.5 -105 Opener
  • 08/11/2008 10:10PM: +2.5 -102 / -2.5 -108
  • 08/12/2008 8:23AM: +2.5 +102 / -2.5 -112
  • 08/12/2008 10:45AM: +2.5 -105 / -2.5 -105
  • 08/13/2008 2:54PM: +1 +110 / -1 -120
  • 08/13/2008 4:39PM: +1 +111 / -1 -121

    •  

    I'll lay the extra juice to get this sweet number, but I would play the Ravens at anything - 2.5 or better 

     

     

    Updated Card

    Buffalo + 2 (- 110)
     
    Carolina + 3.5 (- 115)
     
    Baltimore - 1 (- 121)
     
     
     
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    Posted: #40
    Gl bro
     
    All-Star
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    Posted: #41
    Quote Originally Posted by Weathered:

     
    I agree 100%...no need to push anything now that Ben is all they really have.
     
    Tons of public money just pouring in on Pitt...most lopsided action so far in the pre-season.
     
    And also the last time I checked J.P. Losman was still a decent QB (he is better than Leftwich, although thats not saying much)...and he should see alot of action tomorrow night as the 2nd string QB.
     
     
    bluesplayer You just better hope big ben does not get hurt for you guys this year....I would love to see you roll into Cleveland Browns Stadium with Byron at the helm   
     
     
     



    yea ....that isnt the plan for sure. byron is a good backup and decent player though...lets not get too disrespectful about the new signing. big ben is healthy...last time i checked so i wouldent count on that taking place......or should i say lets hope!
     
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    Posted: #42
    GL tonight. still not sure what im going to play. you seem to have a good grasp on this pre season stuff...if i tail it may be on your plays!
     
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    Posted: #43
    what kind of risk are you taking Weathered?
     
    Good luck
     
    I hope you go 2 for 3 cause I like Pitts
     
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    Posted: #44
     Weatherd
     
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    Posted: #45
    bluesplayer last year I was on fire in the pre-season....hit a crazy high %   this year i'm off to a slow start but hopfully this week will be better
     
     
    piratesgold the first week was about a 1/5 Unit play....this week will be around a 1/3 Unit play....next week will be a half unit play....and all regular season plays are a full unit
     
    I dont normally play week 4 of the pre-season....
     
     
     
    Prospect
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    Posted: #46
    Quote Originally Posted by Weathered:

    But then the Steelers sign a washed-up, never-was, crap backup QB and thats the only reason this line has moved to Bills + 2 ???

    Please if there is something i'm missing someone please tell me?

     

    Something you're missing???  Common sense maybe?  The Leftwich signing pushes the whole QB rotation back - knocking out the now 4th QB and putting him into the lineup for several possessions. 

    But you're right, Charlie Batch and Dennis Dixon , a low 5th round draft pick rookie are better options than a QB who's produced a high 80's QB rating in the past, a 15-5 TD/INT ratio, and gotten his team to the playoffs.

     
    Prospect
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    Posted: #47
    Quote Originally Posted by Weathered:

    But then the Steelers sign a washed-up, never-was, crap backup QB and thats the only reason this line has moved to Bills + 2 ???

    Please if there is something i'm missing someone please tell me?

     

    Something you're missing???  Common sense maybe?  The Leftwich signing pushes the whole QB rotation back - knocking out the now 4th QB and putting him into the lineup for several possessions. 

    But you're right, Charlie Batch and Dennis Dixon , a low 5th round draft pick rookie are better options than a QB who's produced a high 80's QB rating in the past, a 15-5 TD/INT ratio, and gotten his team to the playoffs.

     
    Prospect
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    Posted: #48
    Quote Originally Posted by Weathered:

    Tons of public money just pouring in on Pitt...most lopsided action so far in the pre-season.
     
    And also the last time I checked J.P. Losman was still a decent QB (he is better than Leftwich, although thats not saying much)...and he should see alot of action tomorrow night as the 2nd string QB.
     
     

     

    These are both just flat wrong.

    1)  Wagerline is showing 55% action on Pitt (NOT EVEN THE HIGHEST TODAY... 59% on the Eagles).  And earlier this preaseason alreayd, we've seen >60% Jax, Tenn, Wash, TB, Minn, Pitt, Cle, and NE. 

    2) On what claim is JP better than Byron?  The fact that Byron has the season between the 2 with the highest QB Rating, or the fact that JP's 2nd best QB rating is behind both Byron's 2nd AND 3rd best seasons?  Or that his TD-INT ratio is much worse?

     

    If you want to bet on the bills, then fine ... just dont go making up false facts to support it.

     
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    Posted: #49
    bills
     
     
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    Posted: #50
    HomePuppies First off when did wagerline picks = amount of money bet at sportsbooks? When you see a line move the way this line moved.....a ton of money is coming in on the game. It is a FACT that a huge % (way more than 55%) of the REAL WORLD ACTION is in Pittsburgh, and has been all week.
     
    2. J.P. Losman is better than Byron Leftwich, thats my opinion. If you disagree thats fine.
     
    3. If you want to talk smack with your 12 posts thats also fine..but I wont respond after this. If you want to discuss the games in a friendly fashion then I'm all ears. Other than that i'm not interested.
     
    Good Luck.
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