Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by Degenbeter: Yeah I agree big time on KC covering. Not as confident on the 49rs however I’ve noticed over the years that when a team almost blows it as the Rams did last game they seem to bounce back the next game. I took KC -6.5 as soon as I saw it kneejerk kind of bet. And I’m thinking of teasing KC -1 and 49rs +10.5 kind of LARGE on that teaser. Glad you like both teams. BOL Teams that play 3 times in the same season, who are 2-0 going in to the 3rd game, are 14-7 I believe. I could be wrong there because I calculated myself - so please correct me if I am wrong. I heard the same exact numbers today. 14-7. The "it's hard to beat a GOOD team three times in a row" is a myth lately.
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by Degenbeter: Yeah I agree big time on KC covering. Not as confident on the 49rs however I’ve noticed over the years that when a team almost blows it as the Rams did last game they seem to bounce back the next game. I took KC -6.5 as soon as I saw it kneejerk kind of bet. And I’m thinking of teasing KC -1 and 49rs +10.5 kind of LARGE on that teaser. Glad you like both teams. BOL Teams that play 3 times in the same season, who are 2-0 going in to the 3rd game, are 14-7 I believe. I could be wrong there because I calculated myself - so please correct me if I am wrong. I heard the same exact numbers today. 14-7. The "it's hard to beat a GOOD team three times in a row" is a myth lately.
@vanzack Great write up man, you give a lot of beneficial information, for me at least. I have to agree with you on KC, they got the experience, coach, and qb which more times than not prevail in the playoffs. Throw in a bit of revenge factor and you got yourself pretty solid reasons for a KC win and cover. The second the Rams line came out at 3.5- I said Rams LINE DICTATES THE GAME. Man, that's an enticing line for a 9ers bettor, right? Not only did Vegas give ya 3 points after you've beat them 6 times in a row, they gave ya the hook as well AND you'll have more fans than the Rams at SOFI!!!! Cannot disagree with the points you made, very solid, especially about McVey self destructing in big games. BUT, Rams turn now. Donald, Floyd, Miller on the D line is where they're gonna win. Stafford, Kupp, ODB, Higbee, Akers will be too much. Jimmy G will get his interception or 2 because of the high pressure he will experience all game. I'm not getting into the conspiracy chit, but you really gotta think about the NFL and what Kronke did bringing that team to LA??? Just some food for thought and my take on the game. GL to you rest of the way and I enjoy reading your stuff!!!!!!!!!!!
Thanks.
Hope you are wrong about the Rams.
GL
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
@vanzack Great write up man, you give a lot of beneficial information, for me at least. I have to agree with you on KC, they got the experience, coach, and qb which more times than not prevail in the playoffs. Throw in a bit of revenge factor and you got yourself pretty solid reasons for a KC win and cover. The second the Rams line came out at 3.5- I said Rams LINE DICTATES THE GAME. Man, that's an enticing line for a 9ers bettor, right? Not only did Vegas give ya 3 points after you've beat them 6 times in a row, they gave ya the hook as well AND you'll have more fans than the Rams at SOFI!!!! Cannot disagree with the points you made, very solid, especially about McVey self destructing in big games. BUT, Rams turn now. Donald, Floyd, Miller on the D line is where they're gonna win. Stafford, Kupp, ODB, Higbee, Akers will be too much. Jimmy G will get his interception or 2 because of the high pressure he will experience all game. I'm not getting into the conspiracy chit, but you really gotta think about the NFL and what Kronke did bringing that team to LA??? Just some food for thought and my take on the game. GL to you rest of the way and I enjoy reading your stuff!!!!!!!!!!!
Love the Chiefs this week. Think Cincy walks into a buzzsaw and gets routed. Will be on Andy and Pat large. Haven't figured out the NFC yet. Weird game. Best of luck this week.
I think the chances of a "not close" game are very good.
I will be on alternative spread numbers also (laying more than 7 at +odds)
GL
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
Love the Chiefs this week. Think Cincy walks into a buzzsaw and gets routed. Will be on Andy and Pat large. Haven't figured out the NFC yet. Weird game. Best of luck this week.
I think the chances of a "not close" game are very good.
I will be on alternative spread numbers also (laying more than 7 at +odds)
The #49ers Defense plays Zone on 72% of snaps; 7th highest rate in the NFL. Matthew Stafford has been a different quarterback when facing Man versus Zone.
Vs Man +0.21 EPA 9.9 YPA 19 TDs / 2 INTs 134 Rating
Vs Zone +0.03 EPA 8.2 YPA 15 TDs / 14 INTs 92 Rating
The #49ers Defense plays Zone on 72% of snaps; 7th highest rate in the NFL. Matthew Stafford has been a different quarterback when facing Man versus Zone.
Vs Man +0.21 EPA 9.9 YPA 19 TDs / 2 INTs 134 Rating
Vs Zone +0.03 EPA 8.2 YPA 15 TDs / 14 INTs 92 Rating
Ran across this stat today The #49ers Defense plays Zone on 72% of snaps; 7th highest rate in the NFL. Matthew Stafford has been a different quarterback when facing Man versus Zone. Vs Man+0.21 EPA9.9 YPA19 TDs / 2 INTs134 Rating Vs Zone +0.03 EPA8.2 YPA15 TDs / 14 INTs92 Rating
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
Ran across this stat today The #49ers Defense plays Zone on 72% of snaps; 7th highest rate in the NFL. Matthew Stafford has been a different quarterback when facing Man versus Zone. Vs Man+0.21 EPA9.9 YPA19 TDs / 2 INTs134 Rating Vs Zone +0.03 EPA8.2 YPA15 TDs / 14 INTs92 Rating
Heartbreaking, indeed... for soooo many of us (just 13 seconds away) from hitting the biggest ML Dog Parlay... ever! Glad I hedged in the 3rd for a nickel... helped ease some of the pain a bit!
Heartbreaking, indeed... for soooo many of us (just 13 seconds away) from hitting the biggest ML Dog Parlay... ever! Glad I hedged in the 3rd for a nickel... helped ease some of the pain a bit!
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @undermysac I think Burrow is going to look like Brady did last week.I dont think KCs defense is anywhere near the Rams, especially on the D Line.... Van
I dont either.
But I certainly dont think the Bucs OLine is anywhere near the Bengals OLine either. In a bad way.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @undermysac I think Burrow is going to look like Brady did last week.I dont think KCs defense is anywhere near the Rams, especially on the D Line.... Van
I dont either.
But I certainly dont think the Bucs OLine is anywhere near the Bengals OLine either. In a bad way.
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