Hello everyone. Week 1 always one of best days of year! Had a great first half of season LY ats, then tapered off back half. Made some adjustments, limited plays for now. Unfortunately, got some of these lines little earlier in week.
Week 1 ats:
Indy +4.5
Chi -1.5
Cle +2.5
PHI -3.5
NYJ +2.5
Season 10-5-1. Week1 3-2, Week2 7-3-1
Week 3 Plays. All plays are are based on historical trends from 2008 - 2022 over 62% Win%. Sample size is generally larger than 50, although I'll make exceptions if the win % is high enough
SF -10.5
TEN +3.5
DET -3
NO +2
DEN +6.5
LAC +1
NE -2.5 **Will buy out if spread goes to >-3
WAS +6.5
HOU +9
BAL -8
ARI +12.5
PIT +2.5
TB +4.5
LAR +3
I've done very well on 1H ats home plays LY & so far this year. Will post and track separately from full game sides starting this week.
SF -7.5
CLE -2.5
DET -1.5
MIA -3.5
BAL -4.5
LV -0.5
Week 4: 6-2 ats, 4-2 1Hats
Season: 23-13-2 ats, 8-4 1H ats, 31-17-2, 64.6% to the good
Week 5 Picks:
ATL -2.5
PIT +4
LAR +4
SF -3.5
CIN -3
GB -2.5
NO +1.5
TEN +1
ATL -0.5 1H
SF -2.5 1H
LV +0.5 1H
CIN -0.5 1H, Posting a rare road team 1H. Hope I don't regret it
Have potentially a few more plays, BUF fits a few trends ats as home team, but game is in London. Still undecided. Good luck all.
Week 5: Screwed myself out of a posted W with ATL by not changing to -1.5, but oh well. ATS 4-4, 1H 3-2
Season: 38-23-2, 62.3%
Week 6:
TB +3
CAR +14
NYG +15
ARI +7
NE +3
MIN -3
DAL -2.5
CLE +10
1H:
Jax 1H -2.5
MIA 1H -8.5
ATL 1H -0.5
CLE 1H +5.5
MIN 1H -1.5
NYJ 1H +3.5
2Half:
DAL 2H -1.5
Week 6 Results: 6-4 ats. 1H/2H 3-4. All Picks 9-8
Another meh week. It's taking awhile, but I'm understanding my pick process a little better though and expect some improvement.
Season: All picks 47-31. 60%. ATS only 33-21. 61%
Onto Week 7:
NO -2
IND +3
BAL, SEA & MIN are plays, waiting to see if I can get better numbers
LAC +5.5
LV -2.5
WAS -2.5
IND 1H +0.5
KC 1H -3.5
MIN 1H +3.5
Will probably add a few more by Sunday morning. Good luck all!
Happy Friday all! Getting the best numbers are crucial. Screwed myself out of two posted wins that turned into pushes with SEA & PHI in week 8.
Week 8: 7-4-2
Season: 62-42-3. 59.6%. Could be a few games better, but what ya gonna do.
Week 9:
BAL -5.5 -120
BAL 1H -3 -120
ATL -4
ATL 1H -2.5
CLE -8
NO -8.5
CAR +2.5
LV -1.5
PHI -3
PHI 1H -2.5
CIN -2
CIN 1H ML -125
NYJ +3.5
Well, week 9 was very frustrating. Finished 7-6, but was very disappointed in NO, ATL & NYJ results. Could have been a big week, but wasn't. Poor offensive play this year seems to be distorting historical trends a bit. Anyway, hoping for a better week 10.
Week 9: 7-6.
Season: 69-48-3..... 59%
Week 10 picks:
MIN +3
MIN 1H +0.5
CIN -6
CIN 1H -3.5
DAL -16.5
SEA -6
SEA 1H -3.5
BUF -7
PIT 1H -2.5
TB 1H -0.5
BAL 1H -3.5
SF -3
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