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** NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME **

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Legend
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Posted: #76
Great read WizerGuy & your a Class Act in which i have much Respect for;)
GL this weekend mah man (handshake)
It's a numbers game wink! wink!
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
Legend
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by dgnowsf:


you want to talk about pure points yet you dismissed the pick 6 to start the game. pure points? 49ers are up 21, packers score garbage td. technically, packers only had 17 pure points on offense. you added the pick 6 to start the game and added the late garbage td with less than a minute remaining with the 49ers up 21. good job. might want to relook every game to get the TRUE numbers

 Dude you're rambling on about nothing, did you forget to take your meds this morning. Yes, I do want to talk about pure points,for the games SF played on the road,  and dont worry I am fully aware of what the true numbers are for every game. However thats not going to you one bit of good in this game. SF was home vs the Pack in that game so you're point is irrelevant. You don't calculate overall stats for a SF road game numbnuts.  We can tell who the homers are when they put 49er and sf in there avatar name. 

 I can tell You and az49erdog still got milk on your breaths. 
- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
Veteran
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Posted: #78
wizer,

why do you bother to care for the homers.  Let nancy pelosi and the crazy gang eat kap sack.

 
Legend
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by az49erdog:



az49erdog :

Contact covers and document my stats from 2005 to present, if you know how, and then tell me a story about the big picture. Then go show dgnowsf what a true point is.

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
Legend
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

Great read WizerGuy & your a Class Act in which i have much Respect for;)
GL this weekend mah man (handshake)
It's a numbers game wink! wink!

 GL to you also Mac


 You know... toilet paper. 


- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
Captain
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Posts: 5187
Posted: #81
Too Much math for me,GL Pal
 
Captain
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Posted: #82
I resent that screen name comment Wizerguy! :)
 
Captain
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Posts: 5172
Posted: #83

i like how ATL;s 3 losses came against sub .500 teams

and SF has 1 such loss

I like that SF has a 1,000 yd rusher...and reciever...as well as a dual threat QB  who has only thrown 3 picks all year

ATL is lacking 2 of those stats...and their ICE COLD QB, has thrown 14 picks...they do howver, have a dominant pair of WRs easily

 

go 49ers   ( -3 )

    

 
Prospect
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Posts: 340
Posted: #84
great write-up, good to see a person handicap a game instead of being a homer and throwing $$$ away..believe in your method-its your money..on a side note, you know they do all the stats you could ever think of before setting the point spread- just click on matchup button-
im only pointing this out because your making a strong issue about the numbers you came up with..did you factor grass over turf over dome over stadium or weather or injuries or schedule, travel...???
pure numbers based on final score...

im also a NYC homie and you know as I do GMEN should never had done what they did last year based on #`s..stats cant factor in the human aspect of the game...49ers are winners- the organization knows how to win, New England knows how to win- here are the SB teams this year..

I learned to use the stats to make money inside the game...i could care less about braggin rights of who picked the right side...its all about the  

1st qt over/under -105 
1st qt team -1/2 either side...most away teams try to start fast, score quick to take the crowd out of it.


thats better then betting the game itself....take your stats inside  the game, your get better results....


bol 

 
Captain
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Posted: #85
Just a side note.  Colin K.  Was 13-1 his senior year at NV.  His only loss came here in the islands.  He was very inaccurate back then, truly a runner not a passer.  Hopefully he reverts back to some bad reads or poor throws.  His legs will kill you, so gotta take something away.  I would challenge his arm, since the pass rush is so poor any way.  Tom Brady you better pressure, Colin I think you need different approach.
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by Parlaid:

i like how ATL;s 3 losses came against sub .500 teams

and SF has 1 such loss

I like that SF has a 1,000 yd rusher...and reciever...as well as a dual threat QB  who has only thrown 3 picks all year

ATL is lacking 2 of those stats...and their ICE COLD QB, has thrown 14 picks...they do howver, have a dominant pair of WRs easily

 

go 49ers   ( -3 )

    

Don't forget..... ATL's three losses were only in their division.... they are undefeated at home and on the road vs. teams outside of the NFC South....

The last game of the year is a throw away.... so that's just 2 games they lost all year, and both vs. opponents they play twice/year...

What was SF's division record???

GL

 
Legend
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

Don't forget..... ATL's three losses were only in their division.... they are undefeated at home and on the road vs. teams outside of the NFC South....

The last game of the year is a throw away.... so that's just 2 games they lost all year, and both vs. opponents they play twice/year...

What was SF's division record???

GL


They will only get it when the clock reads 00:00

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
Captain
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Posted: #88
Could people come up with more meaningless reasons why Atlanta will win this game? What was Atlantas schedule strength breakabookie? Get back to me on that captain.

You're right winning in New England, Green Bay, and New Orleans means nothing. More stock should be placed on the niners beating Arizona and the rams.

Apparently getting shredded by cam newton twice means nothing because it was in the division.
 
Legend
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by az49erdog:

Mack, took the words right out of my mouth! There's a hoax allright, Atlanta -backers thinking the 4 will be enough. SF to the SB it's just that simple!

  Yep.....just like you and the N.Dame backers thought the 9 was to many .points.... or inflated in the BCS Championship gm . Loved your final score on that game 20-17

Go check your "Between the Tackles" thread out in the CFB forum and then we can talk about....."simple".
- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #90
great stuff wizerguy, bol   
 
Prospect
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Posted: #91
Atlanta has finally made it past the Divisional Round but I think their luck has finally ran out. Niners have many more positives going into this game than Atlanta does. 

They want back in the super-bowl, they are playing a team thats QB is cold, they have played this caliber of a game before, and Atlanta wont be able to get lucky against this Niners D. Lets face it, Matt Ryan is no Aaron Rodgers. 

In my opinion this is a Niners play all the way, I just can't see Atlanta stopping their momentum at all. BOL to all 

 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:


 Dude you're rambling on about nothing, did you forget to take your meds this morning. Yes, I do want to talk about pure points,for the games SF played on the road,  and dont worry I am fully aware of what the true numbers are for every game. However thats not going to you one bit of good in this game. SF was home vs the Pack in that game so you're point is irrelevant. You don't calculate overall stats for a SF road game numbnuts.  We can tell who the homers are when they put 49er and sf in there avatar name. 

 I can tell You and az49erdog still got milk on your breaths. 

not sure why you went on the attack but i guess you were wrong and got called and and got your panties in a bunch

yes i know the packers game is irrelevant to what you were explaining but you're the one who brought it up

as far as screenname goes. maybe you should change yours to dumberguy? obviously you can't cap and i'm not basing this on what your take is on this game.  

talking to a guy who says they are using 50 units on one game. typical joe. bankroll has 100 units, and you bet 50? lol. yes i know your bankroll is not divided properly like you're suppose. that's what makes it obvious that you have no idea what you're doing. let me guess, you're bankroll consists of 1000 units? 

i don't care if you've been here since 05, it is clear as day (not judging by this game only) that you don't know how to cap. flip a coin, you'll have a better chance 

later rook


 
Rookie
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Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 793
Posted: #93
Wizer, you make a compelling mathematical case for Falcons, but recent Covers article [NFL cheat sheet] provides a sobering caveat regarding option QB's and the Falcon defense.
 
Legend
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Posted: #94
Quote Originally Posted by dgnowsf:


not sure why you went on the attack but i guess you were wrong and got called and and got your panties in a bunch

yes i know the packers game is irrelevant to what you were explaining but you're the one who brought it up

as far as screenname goes. maybe you should change yours to dumberguy? obviously you can't cap and i'm not basing this on what your take is on this game.  

talking to a guy who says they are using 50 units on one game. typical joe. bankroll has 100 units, and you bet 50? lol. yes i know your bankroll is not divided properly like you're suppose. that's what makes it obvious that you have no idea what you're doing. let me guess, you're bankroll consists of 1000 units? 

i don't care if you've been here since 05, it is clear as day (not judging by this game only) that you don't know how to cap. flip a coin, you'll have a better chance 

later rook




Hey you know the rules, cant take the heat stay out of the kitchen...and out of my thread a*# hole.

I bet what I want to bet on games. I work and take care of my family first , anything after that is my money..."Remember that rule" The guys that have been around here know what my record is and don't judge me by one season. What you never had a bad year? I post my plays win or lose. take it or leave it. Now go back to the Bohemian Grove in Cali with your politician buddies and make sure they get your name right when they teach you about true points and raw data,..its dgnowsd...dognowsucksd$ck.

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
Veteran
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Posted: #95
Hate to be on the other side of ya.. GL the rest of the post season
 
Prospect
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Posted: #96
JUST TAKE THE OVER for 25% of your pot!
The games are too close to call and both teams are going to score.
YOU CAN THANK ME BY celebrating your victory with your favorite meal at your favorite restaurant. GLTA 
 
Captain
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Posted: #97
Wizerguy, awesome analysis.  May be one of the best I've seen in quite some time.  Really appreciate your thoughts. 

Anything going on for you in the latter game?

 
Prospect
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Posted: #98
Looks like u pointed alot of people to Atlanta. Did u take them to the promise land or the pay man? Just remember you cant fool everyone.
 
Captain
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Posted: #99
Quote Originally Posted by the_underdog:

Looks like u pointed alot of people to Atlanta. Did u take them to the promise land or the pay man? Just remember you cant fool everyone.

Maybe he's the only ATL backer that actually has rationale reasoning.
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by the_underdog:

Looks like u pointed alot of people to Atlanta. Did u take them to the promise land or the pay man? Just remember you cant fool everyone.

Why are you in Rehab?
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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