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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Need HELP about eagles game 🎆🎆🎆🤮🤮

    Hstei0001
    usikbasterd
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    smellybunty
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    Views: 596
    Posts: 10
     
    Hstei0001
    Hstei0001
    Prospect
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    Posts: 24
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 9:36 AM ET #1

    So I got my butt handed to me Friday and Saturday so I have quite a large amount of bets for Sunday . A lot of parlays lost Sunday as well but I have 4 active 4-6 team parlays and they are ending with eagles ML if I win I win 8200 and will be up about 600 for week. If they lose then I’m down 7500 . I could hedge bears + maybe buy points up but honestly , should I? I mean bears looked bad last week granted it was against number 1 D and bad weather . No Caleb Williams , is this a hedge spot or eagles just going to win this too frequently ??? HELP

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    So I got my butt handed to me Friday and Saturday so I have quite a large amount of bets for Sunday . A lot of parlays lost Sunday as well but I have 4 active 4-6 team parlays and they are ending with eagles ML if I win I win 8200 and will be up about 600 for week. If they lose then I’m down 7500 . I could hedge bears + maybe buy points up but honestly , should I? I mean bears looked bad last week granted it was against number 1 D and bad weather . No Caleb Williams , is this a hedge spot or eagles just going to win this too frequently ??? HELP

     
    usikbasterd
    usikbasterd
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    Posts: 3271
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 9:43 AM ET #2

    The spread is fishy. Bears might be rolling out with a 3rd string qb and spread keeps dropping 

    Reply

    The spread is fishy. Bears might be rolling out with a 3rd string qb and spread keeps dropping 

     
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    IAMTEDDYKGB
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    Posts: 530
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 9:52 AM ET #3

    Eagles fan and have had a profitable NFL season so far. Here's my take on tonight's game. Weather will be perfect for tonight's game.

    - Eagles will win this game, but it will be close. Eagles are away and that's what they do on the road.

    - Eagles will come out slow. I see a low scoring first half.
    - Bears will deploy a heavy run game - Eagles weakness and a must with Keenum getting back into game mode. Lots of screens, check downs mixed in with a slant pass beyond the LB zone. I do NOT underestimate Keenum's ability to have a very solid game tonight. He is not to be underestimated. If he gets into a groove, he will move this offense with the scheme that's provided.

    - Eagles pass rush will be improved tonight. Greenard will play, not all game. And the d line has heard the criticism about the sack performance to date. 

    - Zach Ertz is a full go tonight. 

    - Eagles 1 and 2 receivers full go tonight.

    - You're ML should be good. Laying more than 3 points, heavy risk. This will be a biter to the end. My rule for parlays, worse case scenario for a parlay is to have the last game on a "solo" game night (SNF, MNF, TNF), especially if you are on the opposite side of vegas. Your ML somewhat mitigates that. Somewhat.

    - My take on what you should do...You have multiple parlays in play. You need to ensure profit. If you are good at this, you will be able to produce the same results moving forward by learning and apply. And yes, some luck. Cash out if you can the number of parlays to get even or in profit. Let the remaining in play. Sounds like you have all your eggs in one basket. If that's the case, I would definitely think hard about covering your losses first. My two cents. GL.

    Reply

    Eagles fan and have had a profitable NFL season so far. Here's my take on tonight's game. Weather will be perfect for tonight's game.

    - Eagles will win this game, but it will be close. Eagles are away and that's what they do on the road.

    - Eagles will come out slow. I see a low scoring first half.
    - Bears will deploy a heavy run game - Eagles weakness and a must with Keenum getting back into game mode. Lots of screens, check downs mixed in with a slant pass beyond the LB zone. I do NOT underestimate Keenum's ability to have a very solid game tonight. He is not to be underestimated. If he gets into a groove, he will move this offense with the scheme that's provided.

    - Eagles pass rush will be improved tonight. Greenard will play, not all game. And the d line has heard the criticism about the sack performance to date. 

    - Zach Ertz is a full go tonight. 

    - Eagles 1 and 2 receivers full go tonight.

    - You're ML should be good. Laying more than 3 points, heavy risk. This will be a biter to the end. My rule for parlays, worse case scenario for a parlay is to have the last game on a "solo" game night (SNF, MNF, TNF), especially if you are on the opposite side of vegas. Your ML somewhat mitigates that. Somewhat.

    - My take on what you should do...You have multiple parlays in play. You need to ensure profit. If you are good at this, you will be able to produce the same results moving forward by learning and apply. And yes, some luck. Cash out if you can the number of parlays to get even or in profit. Let the remaining in play. Sounds like you have all your eggs in one basket. If that's the case, I would definitely think hard about covering your losses first. My two cents. GL.

     
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    Rookie
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    Joined: Oct, 2020
    Posts: 530
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 9:59 AM ET #4

    Last thoughts...

    - Did you actually think the broncos would win last night's game at the half?
    - Did you like that pass interference instead of a would-be interception? Even the NBC "ref" broadcaster thought the penalty was full-on shady. 
    There are no gimme's here.

    Reply

    Last thoughts...

    - Did you actually think the broncos would win last night's game at the half?
    - Did you like that pass interference instead of a would-be interception? Even the NBC "ref" broadcaster thought the penalty was full-on shady. 
    There are no gimme's here.

     
    smellybunty
    smellybunty
    Captain
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    Joined: Sep, 2018
    Posts: 9988
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 10:03 AM ET #5

    Eagles probably win. Cover? I think more likely than not but hard to say.

    Big game with rams next week and hard to see Rams losing and starting 1-3. That loss will make them angry but it might have taken lots out of them

     

    Reply

    Eagles probably win. Cover? I think more likely than not but hard to say.

    Big game with rams next week and hard to see Rams losing and starting 1-3. That loss will make them angry but it might have taken lots out of them

     

     
    smellybunty
    smellybunty
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    Posts: 9988
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 10:08 AM ET #6

    If winning only profits you 600 I dont see the point in hedging. You really have no choice but hope Eagles win SU

    Reply

    If winning only profits you 600 I dont see the point in hedging. You really have no choice but hope Eagles win SU

     
    Hstei0001
    Hstei0001
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2024
    Posts: 24
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 10:26 AM ET #7

    @IAMTEDDYKGB

     I know I know I shouldn’t have put all my eggs in one basket but bears looked so bad and so did eagles and that’s why I expect them to look better today given how bad they looked. That stupid line looks so trappy though like how is this line now 6.5 

    Reply

    @IAMTEDDYKGB

     I know I know I shouldn’t have put all my eggs in one basket but bears looked so bad and so did eagles and that’s why I expect them to look better today given how bad they looked. That stupid line looks so trappy though like how is this line now 6.5 

     
    Hstei0001
    Hstei0001
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2024
    Posts: 24
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 10:27 AM ET #8

    @smellybunty

     I agree but 7500 lose isn’t great but I’m willing to yolo it honestly 

    Reply

    @smellybunty

     I agree but 7500 lose isn’t great but I’m willing to yolo it honestly 

     
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    IAMTEDDYKGB
    Rookie
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    Joined: Oct, 2020
    Posts: 530
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 11:08 AM ET #9

    Additional note:

    Keenum is 3-0 historically against a "Vic Fangio" defense.

    Reply

    Additional note:

    Keenum is 3-0 historically against a "Vic Fangio" defense.

     
     
    Hstei0001
    Hstei0001
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2024
    Posts: 24
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2026 - 12:02 PM ET #10

    Update put 1k on bears -1.5 at +210 as a small hedge 

    Reply

    Update put 1k on bears -1.5 at +210 as a small hedge 

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