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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Ive created a football program that ive tested and want to share

    «First Previous 345 ... 262728 Next Last»
    DAWGPRINT
    WISCOKID
    NiceDaze_In_LV
    HIGH ROLLER
    AFNfootballnerd
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    «First Previous 345 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    DAWGPRINT
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:01 AM ET #51



    good luck!


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    good luck!


     
    WISCOKID
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:01 AM ET #52

    how in the hell is detroit the 2nd most consistent team in the nfl with a losing record every game i have watched they play like shit for 3 qrts then play good in the 4th
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    how in the hell is detroit the 2nd most consistent team in the nfl with a losing record every game i have watched they play like shit for 3 qrts then play good in the 4th
     
    NiceDaze_In_LV
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:14 AM ET #53

    Where do you pull the data in from?  There's way too much there to key it in by hand.  I'm tailing your program on TB today.
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    Where do you pull the data in from?  There's way too much there to key it in by hand.  I'm tailing your program on TB today.
     
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:21 AM ET #54

    the only thing I think you're missing is the LOGIC factor...


    Why is a superior team like TB only giving up 1 point??



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    the only thing I think you're missing is the LOGIC factor...


    Why is a superior team like TB only giving up 1 point??



     
    HIGH ROLLER
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:32 AM ET #55

    GOOD STUFF!!!! GL! WOULD LIKE TO SEE MORE...
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    GOOD STUFF!!!! GL! WOULD LIKE TO SEE MORE...
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 4:47 PM ET #56

    Well not exactly how I wanted the Detroit game to end but congrats to the Tampa backers
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    Well not exactly how I wanted the Detroit game to end but congrats to the Tampa backers
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 5:49 PM ET #57

    Ran the numbers on Baltimore @ Pitt
    what's interesting is these teams are close on offense and defense

    Offense...

    Baltimore 8% Pitt 4.5%

    Defense...

    Baltimore 4% Pitt 2.5%

    These numbers are way to close on both sides of the ball... Glad this line is not at a pickem...

    The major stat that stands out is Baltimore ranked 28 at 19.5% for consistency....

    So we have similar numbers on both sides of the ball and an inconsistent Baltimore team on the road...taking Pitt+3 tonight
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    Ran the numbers on Baltimore @ Pitt
    what's interesting is these teams are close on offense and defense

    Offense...

    Baltimore 8% Pitt 4.5%

    Defense...

    Baltimore 4% Pitt 2.5%

    These numbers are way to close on both sides of the ball... Glad this line is not at a pickem...

    The major stat that stands out is Baltimore ranked 28 at 19.5% for consistency....

    So we have similar numbers on both sides of the ball and an inconsistent Baltimore team on the road...taking Pitt+3 tonight
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:57 PM ET #58

    similar stats = push lol oh well been interesting day...gonna run numbers for MNF
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    similar stats = push lol oh well been interesting day...gonna run numbers for MNF
     
    JDubs800
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 1:17 AM ET #59

    Like these numbers and %'s system, pretty good stuff. Look fwd to hearing more.
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    Like these numbers and %'s system, pretty good stuff. Look fwd to hearing more.
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 2:47 AM ET #60

    Ran the numbers and this is insane!

    Against the avg baseline

    Chicago 34% @ SF 31% both ranked next to each other as far as performance overall...

    The offensive percentage matched up against each other....

    Chicago -16%! San Fran 19.5

    Ill take these numbers in a blowout with the calculations basically saying Chicago won't move the ball on SF...

    SF-7 in a route
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    Ran the numbers and this is insane!

    Against the avg baseline

    Chicago 34% @ SF 31% both ranked next to each other as far as performance overall...

    The offensive percentage matched up against each other....

    Chicago -16%! San Fran 19.5

    Ill take these numbers in a blowout with the calculations basically saying Chicago won't move the ball on SF...

    SF-7 in a route
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 2:49 AM ET #61

    correction my line is at -6.5 now...even better
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    correction my line is at -6.5 now...even better
     
    Waddupson1990
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 3:08 AM ET #62

    Your calculations have been accurate as the dolphins had no offense against the bills, lions did hang with Packers but got moosed and I watched and tailed your Tampa pick in which Tampa got robbed at the goaline but ended up winning anyway. Jason Campbell vs SF at home I wonder if Chicago will even move the ball down the field? tailing u with this pick too let's get this SON!
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    Your calculations have been accurate as the dolphins had no offense against the bills, lions did hang with Packers but got moosed and I watched and tailed your Tampa pick in which Tampa got robbed at the goaline but ended up winning anyway. Jason Campbell vs SF at home I wonder if Chicago will even move the ball down the field? tailing u with this pick too let's get this SON!
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 5:26 AM ET #63

    Yea was a crazy day watching both Detroit and Tampa...noticing the program is fairly accurate with these small spreads..curious to see how MNF plays out
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    Yea was a crazy day watching both Detroit and Tampa...noticing the program is fairly accurate with these small spreads..curious to see how MNF plays out
     
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 8:24 AM ET #64

      well my friend - you may indeed be on to something...


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      well my friend - you may indeed be on to something...


     
    chy
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 12:52 PM ET #65

    49ers line -3.5 now!!

    BOLE 
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    49ers line -3.5 now!!

    BOLE 
     
    pcz
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 2:34 PM ET #66

    Hopping on SF -3.5 and Over 34.
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    Hopping on SF -3.5 and Over 34.
     
    NFL_Sharp
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 2:47 PM ET #67

    My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

    As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.
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    My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

    As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.
     
    daveniner
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 3:19 PM ET #68

    Does your program account for home field advantage?
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    Does your program account for home field advantage?
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 9:18 PM ET #69

    No purely statiscal of the teams THIS season...no trends and history stats since 1992 stuff...
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    No purely statiscal of the teams THIS season...no trends and history stats since 1992 stuff...
     
    pcz
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 10:27 PM ET #70

    Sent you an add AFN.

    Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)
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    Sent you an add AFN.

    Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 10:55 PM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by NFL_Sharp:

    My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

    As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.


    Nice....would be even better if we could compare our numbers like tonight on future games of interest

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    Quote Originally Posted by NFL_Sharp:

    My numbers pointed to SF all the way up to a touchdown too.  I have Chicago's projected yards per pass at a lowly 4.98, and that's with Cutler.  But with Smith out, I'm staying away - Chicago has the advantage in the trenches, and I don't trust a rookie QB under those conditions.

    As a man who makes plays based on a statistical program, I always watch other programs closely.  Best of luck with yours and best of luck tonight.


    Nice....would be even better if we could compare our numbers like tonight on future games of interest

     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 10:58 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by pcz:

    Sent you an add AFN.

    Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)


    I should wait for better lines in the future lol cheers bud
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    Quote Originally Posted by pcz:

    Sent you an add AFN.

    Looks like SF -3.5 and over 34 is looking good so far :)


    I should wait for better lines in the future lol cheers bud
     
    bobelle34
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 10:59 PM ET #73

    Asking a favor!  Can the Covers crew please not bash this guy when he loses a game. Don't want to run off another guy who is trying to contribute!

    This is very good info! He's not touting anything yet.  Let's roll with this as long as it's hitting.

    Younger (Entitlement Generation is killing this site!)

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    Asking a favor!  Can the Covers crew please not bash this guy when he loses a game. Don't want to run off another guy who is trying to contribute!

    This is very good info! He's not touting anything yet.  Let's roll with this as long as it's hitting.

    Younger (Entitlement Generation is killing this site!)

     
    Fenway4
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 11:06 PM ET #74

    Well you hit the nail on the head for tonight's game.  Good work.  Friend request sent.
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    Well you hit the nail on the head for tonight's game.  Good work.  Friend request sent.
     
     
    chy
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2012 - 11:11 PM ET #75

    AFN 

    Cheers to you mate 
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    AFN 

    Cheers to you mate 
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