Posted:
#26
Eagles won't see a SB in the next 5 years or longer
0
I'm going with the best defense and that is the Eagles
Posted:
#27
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
@DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.
@DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.
Thanks for the congratulations which I deserved.
I lost three regular bets - PHL SU, PHL ATS and Under. That fumble made KC a SU and ATS winner. PHL outgained KC from scrimmage by a wide margin.
I won all three of my prop bets fading Mahomes because I accurately figured PHL's #1 passing DEF would control Mahomes to a degree. I had Mahomes Under 292.5 yards for 1.5 units (my only non-1-unit wager). He only gained 182 yards.
On Saturday I took Hurts +51 yards vs. Mahomes. Hurts gained 304 yards so I squeaked by with a tiny edge of 173 yards. On game day it had risen to Hurts +52.5 yards so I added another unit and finished with a small profit despite the costly turnover.
By the way, if you can accurately predict the turnover differential you are a better handicapper than I am and you'd have a license to print money. The Sports Database has playoff data all the way back to the 2001 season. Playoff teams with more turnovers in a PO game are 42-147-6 ATS, covering only 22.2% of the time.
1
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: @DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: @DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.
Thanks for the congratulations which I deserved.
I lost three regular bets - PHL SU, PHL ATS and Under. That fumble made KC a SU and ATS winner. PHL outgained KC from scrimmage by a wide margin.
I won all three of my prop bets fading Mahomes because I accurately figured PHL's #1 passing DEF would control Mahomes to a degree. I had Mahomes Under 292.5 yards for 1.5 units (my only non-1-unit wager). He only gained 182 yards.
On Saturday I took Hurts +51 yards vs. Mahomes. Hurts gained 304 yards so I squeaked by with a tiny edge of 173 yards. On game day it had risen to Hurts +52.5 yards so I added another unit and finished with a small profit despite the costly turnover.
By the way, if you can accurately predict the turnover differential you are a better handicapper than I am and you'd have a license to print money. The Sports Database has playoff data all the way back to the 2001 season. Playoff teams with more turnovers in a PO game are 42-147-6 ATS, covering only 22.2% of the time.
1
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