"Fade the Hilton" WEEK 10

point spreads from Hilton contest. number of times selected in ( ). current (Saturday) point spread in [ ]. "contra" = a 5 LEAST selected team vs a 5 MOST selected team straight up. *** Thursday Night Game. for some reason BOTH teams in Thusday games tend to be "least selected" SO go to next least on list.

there is NO "Secret Squirrel" or "inside information" here. it is all available @ TheSpread.com

WEEK 10

5 most selected
@ Saints -6 1/2 [-6] (380) vs Cowboys
@ 49ers -6 [-6] (307) vs Panthers
@ Cardinals -2 1/2 [-3] (284) vs Texans
@ Bears +2 1/2 [pick] (266) vs Lions
@ Ravens +1 1/2 [-1] (253) vs Bengals

5 least selected
Redskins -2 1/2 (79) @ Vikings *** lose 27-34
@ Vikings +2 1/2 (88) vs Redskins *** WIN 34-27
@ Colts - 9 1/2 [-9 1/2] (89) vs Rams
Dolphins -2 1/2 [-2] (98) @ Buccaneers
Raiders +7 [+7] (109) @ Giants
Cowboys +6 1/2 [+6] (112) vs Saints
Texans +2 1/2 [+3] (119) @ Cardinals

"Contra"
Cowboys +6 @ Saints
Texans +3 @ Cardinals

records for 5 most selected FADE teams and the "Contra" thru Week 9 >>>

Fading 5 Most Selected weekly record

Week 1 = 4-0-1
Week 2 = 3-2-0
Week 3 = 5-0-0
Week 4 = 3-2-0
Week 5 = 3-2-0
Week 6 = 4-1-0
Week 7 = 4-1-0
Week 8 = 3-2-0
Week 9 = 4-1-0 = 33-11-1 (73.3%)

"Contra" weekly record

Week 1 = 1-0-1
Week 2 = 0-1-0
Week 3 = 3-0-0
Week 4 = 1-2-0
Week 5 = 1-0-0
Week 6 = 1-0-0
Week 7 = no play
Week 8 = 1-1-0
Week 9 = 2-0-0 = 10-4-1 (66.6%)

to quote the character of "Mr Meeks" in the movie "Cloud Atlas", "I Know. I KNOW !!!"

damndest run for "Fade the Hilton" that I have seen in over 2 decades of tracking. I keep seeing weeks where I think the 5 Most Selected ARE "The Nuts" only to have them FAIL. SOME week they will blow the fades out of the water, but WHEN?

really HAS been "Du kannst nicht entkommen den FLUCH!!!" (you can NOT escape the CURSE) for the 5 Most Selected players

sorry, thought I made that clear. did you READ the header in the #1 post   >>> https://www.thespread.com/nfl-super-contest-picks-from-the-las-vegas-hilton#.Un7HERTTmDg

is there anywhere to get the stats on this in the past?

I have it back 5 years. lost the rest when my old computer crashed. IF you WANT to TheSpread.com has it "history back" BUT you gotta do some digging.

IF you THINK I am going to POST ALL that BS, your OUT of your MIND. just suffice to say that this has been the DAMNDEST run for BOTH the Fades and the Contra that I have EVER seen

Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

Looks like cowherd both on ravens and saints 

Colin Cowflop "Flaming Five"
@ Ravens +1 1/2 vs Bengals
@ Buccaneers +2.5 vs Dolphins 
Eagles +1 @ Packers 
@ Falcons +5.5 vs Seahawks 
@ Saints -6.5 vs Cowboys 

WOW!!! Cowboys = a "Contra" pick AND Cowflop on the Saints SHOULD make Dallas +6 some kind of "triple dog dare ya" bet  

Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

Hey rink can you please post a spreadsheet of the Hilton past picks from 1982? I would like to compare the numbers 

 GOOD one, AFNfootballnerd

they just report the weekly picks. NOT affiliated with the LVS Superbook (former Hilton) that runs the contest. their report comes out every Saturday shortly after 12 noon when the picks close for the week  

THE NEW "Triple Dog Dare Ya" Bet

FADE the #1 Hilton selection for the week = Saints
BET the "Contra" (a 5 least selected vs 5 most selected) = Cowboys
FADE a Colin Cowflop "Flaming Five" pick = Saints

Cowboys + 6 1/2 (@ Cantor Gaming)

(FIRST time for this situation this season. will SEE what Happens)

check out post #2 this weeks thread