*EdgeHunter Week 10 — AI Can Fix My Grammar, Not My Picks!*

Overall Record Posted (37-25) — 59.68% — +34.10U

NFL (7-8) — 46.67%

NCAAF (30-17) — 63.83%

Huge Target 5U (15-6) — 71.43% — +32.50U (Huge Target units are already included in the overall unit profit, not additional earnings.)

Hey Covers Friends,

We went 3-1 on Huge Targets yesterday. Overall going 8-6. Profitable day, but I'm not quite satisfied, with what I'm giving you guys.  I want to stay above 60% overall no matter if it's a small target or huge target. At the end, I'm glad I'm meeting new people in my life. Even if its online chat. I can be proud that I am helping people accomplish wins. That what truly matters to me. & I just want to give a SHOUT OUT to BAAAGS! He is the main guy I follow before I ever started posting any of my plays. If I was opposite his plays, I would not bet at all. That's how much I respected his actions. My goal is to become a professional handicapper, and I believe I have the thought and mindset to get to that dream. With that being said, I am going to try to take it easy using AI to polish my blog. lol going to try to keep it more genuine moving forward. but my research into games will never be taken away from me. I put in a lot of work on my system and thought on why a team has an advantage.

Now let cut to the chase!!

Detroit Lions -2.5 (Huge Target)

Why??

Detroit should blow this team out. They've won four straight games, and I think their balanced offense is going to give New England a lot of problems.

The Lions are averaging 27.8 points per game, 5th best in the NFL, and rank 8th in both passing and rushing yards. Jared Goff has been playing some good football, throwing for 2,134 yards with 15 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. Then you've got Jahmyr Gibbs, who's already rushed for 847 yards and 9 touchdowns. Add Amon-Ra St. Brown into the mix, and that's a lot of offensive weapons for New England to worry about.

Now look at the Patriots' secondary. They're allowing the 8th most passing yards per game, and Green Bay just put up 45 points on them at home. Not exactly the defense you want to face when Detroit is coming to town!

Defensively, Detroit has held its last four opponents to 21 points or fewer. They've been much better against the run than the pass, and I think that's important here. Drake Maye has already thrown 11 interceptions in 9 games, with at least one pick in 6 of those games. If Detroit can limit New England's rushing attack and force Maye to beat them through the air, I like their chances.

Detroit has the more reliable offense, better offensive balance, and a quarterback who's been taking care of the football. That's where I see the edge in this matchup.

GIMME THE LIONS BABY & more beer!!! 

Buffalo Bills -7.5 (small target)

BILLS SHOULD DOMINATE! I think there's a pretty big difference between these two teams right now, especially offensively.

The Bills are averaging 32 points per game, the most in the NFL, while ranking 3rd in offensive DVOA. Josh Allen has this offense playing some good football, and I just don't see the Jets defense having much success slowing them down.

Buffalo has also been playing better defensively over the last month. They just held Minnesota to 6 points, while the Jets are averaging only 20 points per game. That's another matchup I like in Buffalo's favor.

Now look at their history. Buffalo has won 8 of the last 10 meetings against the Jets, with all but one of those wins coming by at least a touchdown. The Bills are also 4-0 on the road this season, while the Jets are just 1-3 at home.

I know divisional games can get interesting, regardless of records, but Buffalo has been the better football team on both sides of the ball. With the way their offense is producing and their defense improving, I like the Bills to take care of business here.

LETS GOO JOSH ALLEN! 

Jags -10.5 (small target)

WHY??

These two teams are heading in completely different directions, and I think the Jaguars are just the better overall football team on both sides of the ball.

Jacksonville is averaging 29.2 points per game, 5th best in the NFL. Trevor Lawrence has been playing some excellent football, throwing 18 touchdowns with only 4 interceptions. Now look at Tennessee's defense, giving up over 380 yards and 25 points per game. That's a tough matchup when you're facing an offense that's been putting up points consistently.

Defensively, Jacksonville has been just as impressive, allowing a league-best 79.2 rushing yards per game. I think Cam Ward is going to have a tough time against this aggressive defense, especially with Jacksonville adding more defensive help at the trade deadline while Tennessee traded away its best defensive player.

And look at their recent history. Jacksonville has won 7 of the last 8 meetings against Tennessee, including four straight. The Jaguars have also been excellent as favorites, going 15-2 straight up and 13-3-1 against the spread over their last 17 games in that situation.

I just don't see Tennessee having enough on either side of the ball to keep up with Jacksonville. The Jaguars have the better quarterback play, stronger defense, and far more offensive firepower.

GOOO JAGS!!  

Last play, simple analysis,

Minny +2.5 OR Moneyline (HUGE TARGET) (whatever you feel comfortable taking)

Simple reason Kirk Cousin + A solid DEFENSE. THEY SHOULD WIN OURIGHT!

GIVE ME MINNY BABY! & that's it for the day until SNF! GOODNIGHT YALL!

GL bro I’ll be tailing the Lions and Vikings pic!! Sweep em today  Can’t bet against my Titans and that’s like giving money away lol.. 

Nice analysis! I’m about to hit the hay. Just finished getting my gumbo pot out for later this Sunday morning!

@EdgeHunterGuru - congrats on your NCAAF huge plays!  Always a good read.  Hammer 'em today!  

 @Havelin - woke up to this mouth watering read!  Care to share your recipe?   

@EdgeHunterGuru

 I look at that pats/det game, and say to myself, Detroit should be able to do to the pats what GB did to them last week.  Then, I look at the opening line, and like yesterday's Wake line, it doesn't make sense.  Wake worked out very nicely, and i do also believe Detroit will.  Thanks for posting EH. 

@EdgeHunterGuru

Great job in college yesterday  i managed to tail on rice in my parlay with other plays what a crap show from them in the 2nd half.

So in the nfl you dont have the same short lines you take? Love lions and vikings today. Pats

missing 2 top rbs and pass d has been horrid.   

Cousins just being there will juice the team. Defense would have beat buffalo on monday if offense gave thek anything.

BOL to us today!  

Haha, that’s fair! Hey, don’t worry, the Saints and Cowboys aren’t doing too hot either, so don’t feel too bad, bro! Haha! Happy Sunday!! Let’s make some money today!

@Brooklyncapper

Appreciate you too man. You a great capper yourself. Yeah, Rice cost me a 4-teamer too! Should’ve sold that sucka when they were up by 4. Lol. I was too wrapped up watching my damn LSU team lose at the very end!

And yeah, when it comes to the NFL, I have a different approach. I go by my own rating system. College is different for me. I like picking games where the teams are fairly matched, then figuring out which one actually has the edge. At least in college, I feel like I can trust the better team a little more.

The nfl?? Man, throw all that out the window! You can handicap a game perfectly and still watch some BS happen in the final two minutes. Any Given Sunday, brother! This league will have you questioning your own sanity! Haha!

Yeah, hopefully KOC does his wonder today with Cousins. Minny should take care of business. 

@Igglez

I hear you, brother! That’s exactly why I try not to let the opening line make me second guess what I’m seeing on the field. Detroit has the offensive weapons to give that Patriots defense a lot of problems, just like Green Bay did last week. Of course, the NFL has a funny way of making us look stupid sometimes. Haha! Hopefully Detroit takes care of business like Wake did yesterday. GL to us!

Well done Guru!

Solid Saturday picks—thank you. Your candor and game breakdowns are so refreshing. Keep it going;

I'm tailing everything for Sunday. 

You are a handicapper! 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 Nice card GL today and be looking forward to your Sunday night write up 

@Brooklyncapper

Stevenson and Brown are both active for NE today. 

The Pats are a very hard team to predict.  Yes Det can blow them out. Yes the Pats D looked bad at times.  But also, the D looked pretty damn tough in other games. With Brown, and Mandre playing the Pats could steal this one.  These overseas games are fickle.  I wouldn’t make any large wager for an early game.   Just my opinion 

good luck bud 

@EdgeHunterGuru. Bol today my friend. Raining day in the dfw area. Go cowboys.

@Miami-Rick76

Hey that’s means a lot! Especially coming from someone who takes the time to read my breakdowns. I’m still learning and have plenty to prove, but comments like yours make me want to keep doing this. Haha! Hopefully we can carry that Saturday momentum into Sunday.Remember tail cautiously.  Appreciate you, brother! Have a bless day!! 

@ghostfaceripper

I hear you, brother! Those overseas games can definitely get weird and very high scoring!! I agree New England isn’t the easiest team to figure out. Having Brown and Stevenson back certainly helps them. But I still think Detroit has the better overall offense, and with the way Goff has been taking care of the football, I like their chances against that Pats secondary. I’m not overlooking New England, just think Detroit has more ways to win this one. Appreciate your perspective, brother! 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 NB(the other capper i was speaking about yesterday), I found him on X. "Sounds like a winning capper" he said. 

its morning game bet, I guess they don’t always make sense cause there’s not as many betters as during the afternoon 

@Igglez

Send me his SN, I wanna take a look brother! 

@EdgeHunterGuru

Interesting to know St. Brown, is from Germany. That makes me love my Lions pick even more. lol! Cheers everyone!