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*** Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers *** Best Play of the Season

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Posted: #51

Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

Loving the picks LC!  I 100% concur about the Saints.  They are not the best team in the league.  Overrated asf.  Bears playing right now as the best team in the NFC.  I just pray and hope inexperienced Mitchy won't fall apart on us soon.  Nagy has done an insane job bringing a QB friendly offense to a mobile QB in Mitch.  Love seeing some of the Chiefs offensive philosophy in Chicago.  And being a Niners fan there's nothing but love for Vic Fangio.  That defense is tried tested and true.  Cannot believe people actually think the Vikings D is better.  Could easily see the Bears walking out of the NFC to the Superbowl as long as Mitch doesn't fuck up and Nagy doesn't put a baby leash on Mitch as well.  After all the dude learned from Reid and might do the play it safe and let the defense beat you schtick come playoff time.

Calls Saints overrated and hypes up Bears in the same post. Yikes.

Saints have passed every test with flying colors, even winning games on the road in tough places to play including Baltimore. So what if they only have one big time WR either? Thomas is a stud. Kamara also counts as a WR. 9 is a lot of points, so I wouodnt be surprised if Eagoes cover  but Saints should win.

 
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Posted: #52

Quote Originally Posted by PickemPlayah:

Just remember! Saints play on a short week and face division foe Atlanta Falcons on Thanksgiving Thursday. This plays a big factor in tomorrow’s game. Play hard tomorrow? And get into a slug match with Philadelphia cause you know Philadelphia will bring everything tomorrow. Or play just enough to win the game and avoid risking a loss in both upcoming games. Just another angle to look at this game...

Or blow them out so you can rest your main guys later in the game. 

 
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Posted: #53

LC thanks for all you do. Your insight is greatly appreciated regardless of the outcome.clover

 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by t6rider:

29 games over .500 and over 44 units won through 10 weeks in the NFL. And 90% of the responses in here try to make LC sound like he has no idea what he's doing. Certain guys try and hijack his thread with their homerism. Easy to see why all the best guys leave for Twitter. LeagueCapper I have no idea why you continue to give these minions all your work. You deserve so much more.

I've been saying this all year. LC is destroying his bookies. His handicapping is superb.

Fwiw, I think the more naysayer responses he sees on his thread makes his plays that much stronger. The hardest bets to make usually are the easiest to cash.

Who wants to fade the Chargers, Saints and Vikings? Not many apparently.

Good Luck
 
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Posted: #55
Denver
New Orleans
Minnesota 
 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

Quote Originally Posted by Goat_12:

On the other side of the coin....could the fires be of motivation to the players especially since this game is now at home? Remember, for every angle there is a countering angle. You knew that though......again, it’s great seeing you back in action after last week. The refs handed you that game on a silver platter with back to back BS penalties.  And I see you didn't win on Thursday shocking, oh wait, somehow you changed your bet after the game, claiming to buy half a point, again SHOCKING.
You are too easy man! Haaaaaa!!!! Look at you! Pa......thetic! You call giants backers dumb, you lose by betting against the “dumb” and you still take zero ownership? You blame the refs? You didn’t “hedge”? I counted my bet as a push Thursday Chief. You? You don’t count anything but you sure do provide laughs!  Remember....one of us provides a record and the other (you) flaps away when in reality your record is 3-13-1? I posted your record for you and I don’t even get a thank you? Man oh man. Let me know when you wanna tap out, ok? Good seeing ya; I was a bit worried your shoe got stuck in your mouth after inserting it after the giants COVERED and WON last week. I just flushed the toilet so I’m done now ok? This passed the time well; thanks for coming out.

Listen clown, you don't know what my record is, you cherry picked a few posts, you change your own posted bets after the game started, you don't show your ROI or unit size, record means butkus when you play money lines and buy points in half your games when you are betting $5 a game, didn't your mommy teach you that when she taught you who to bet on with your allowance?

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by t6rider:

29 games over .500 and over 44 units won through 10 weeks in the NFL. And 90% of the responses in here try to make LC sound like he has no idea what he's doing. Certain guys try and hijack his thread with their homerism. Easy to see why all the best guys leave for Twitter. LeagueCapper I have no idea why you continue to give these minions all your work. You deserve so much more.

I do concur immensely well said t6rider 

I may not sometimes necessarily agree with his plays but some of the negativity in his threads are somewhat ridiculous that are on opposite ends of his plays but most times I do agree with LC w/ respectability.

Hey it’s gambling you have to pick a side if we were all on one sided favoured what & why in the h*e*l*l would there be gambling & a forum to comment on?
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #58
Sweet Card LC..............................
 
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Posted: #59

Exactly Mcwestie...and there's intangibles that do play roles in most NFL games so you stat freaks tend to get lost at times by it like in the Eagles game including the guy from Philly...

Eagles-all the stats were against Dallas last week but no one knew they'd finally use Elliott so much, as a WR, and take Dak out of the game and that one move worked against a weak Pass D..plus their embarrassment on National TV, Troy Aikman said the whole organization needs change..I hate Garrett but he realized he was on death row...so Philly will play it's best game all year and with Wentz, they should be able to score enough on this Defense to stay close...if they get ahead early like Dallas, Saints betters will be chasing the whole game like Eagles betters did last week when they knew no way would they cover 7 after the first drive....beware a desperate animal...

 

 

 
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Posted: #60

Tail at your own risk   haha  I like that, I also like your picks, going large for me 1k each.  We should be in both games till the end with a shot to win these games and we have points in our pockets. Thanks for your work and GL LC

 
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Posted: #61

And for you stats Saints freaks, Eagles DVOA is 17th, Saints is 27th, Eagles 5th on 3rd Down Defense, Saints 19th, both as important as any you'll find..except the one I'm using, motivation and desperation..I mean you stats guys had Brady as the worst QB at the combine in 2000 and that worked out just peachy...they didn't have a machine for heart

 
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Posted: #62

 

 

would be interested to hear some of that reasoning on Denver. i know you said it would take days to write out but maybe just a taste?

SD off back to back road games which is a profitable spot in the NFL in recent years.

Denver missing 3 starters on the O-line now, including the center. as well as LB Brandon Marshall, tho they get their safety and Freeman back.

2 teams headed in opposite directions. one can maybe catch KC, the other can't beat anybody, other than 1 road win vs lowly Arizona they haven't beat anyone since a 1 point win vs even more lowly Oakland.

SD offense on fire right now, especially in the first half of games. Denver doesn't do well when playing from behind, their O isn't built for it.

Last trip here the Broncos were shut out 21-0.

I don't see what Denver has going for them other than the bye. Heck even their money kicker missed 2 FGs at at mile high last week including the game winner, and the 2 points they lost by? Houston got those points after Joseph made McManus try a 62 yarder before halftime, e.missed and the Texans got a FG 2 plays later.

SD hasn't beaten many (any?) bona fide good teams, but what is Denver? Another bad team they can beat on the quest to catching up catching KC IMO.

Last time I bet on Denver was that KC game they were at home, winning, needed a final drive to finish out the game, they went three and out, Keenum couldnt find anyone, KC got the ball and drove down to score and win no problem. since then they've been useless on offense, beset by injuries, and sold off a starting WR. This team has great young players coming up from the last 2 drafts, but the Chargers drafted their great young guys 3-4 years ago and are further along. They finally got it rolling after having expectations crumble last 2 years. Bosa back is a bonus.

but I'll be rooting for you! hope we all beat the bookie!

 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by arrgy:

I am a die hard Eagles fan, and I even turned down good tickets for tomorrow's game because I knew it would be so bad.

The two major problems the Eagles have...no stud running back, and they can't tackle. Not that they don't have defense, they can't tackle. You get a receiver out in the middle of the field, it will take three Eagles to take him down because the receiver will bounce off of the first guy.

The Eagles are in the bottom third in all categories for pass defense, New Orleans only has Brees in the FREAKIN DOME.

The Eagles are last in first quarter scoring and average 9 points in the first half...you know who scores the most in the second half???  New Orleans...SO when the Eagles go down by at least a touchdown in the first half they only have to outscore the #1 second half scoring team.

Jesus Christ no wonder why people lose money, don't gamble it...just come over to my house and dump it on my lawn for my kids to play with.

 

 


Can’t tackle.

I remember those words. It applied to Purdue under Darryl Hazell. 

Then Jeff Brohm and his staff came in and taught them how to tackle. I’m serious. Boom. Bowl game and 6 wins after Hazell got a little 6 wins in 4 YEARS. There’s a lot more to it than that but without the tackling everything else is worthless.

Can’t tackle can’t win. Period. Although there is a sizeable spread here to backdoor. 
 
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Posted: #64
 
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Posted: #65

Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

And for you stats Saints freaks, Eagles DVOA is 17th, Saints is 27th, Eagles 5th on 3rd Down Defense, Saints 19th, both as important as any you'll find..except the one I'm using, motivation and desperation..I mean you stats guys had Brady as the worst QB at the combine in 2000 and that worked out just peachy...they didn't have a machine for heart


Eagles have had 4th easiest record in the NFL and still have a losing record.

 
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Posted: #66
Any thoughts on Wash +3 today?
 
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Posted: #67
LC Keep grinding brother, I've tailed your NBA and some of your NFL picks and now have enough cash to give my kids a Christmas to compensate for the several missed (Probably to much info but its the truth).  Yeah I probably shouldn't be betting, but I gotta find ways to supplement income and the adrenaline rush.  Again Much appreciated.  

Unfortunately haters have a "what have you done for me lately complex" .  They should realize that you do this for free, free, say it again FREEEEEEEEEEEE...  If they don't like your side THAN DON'T BET IT!!!!!  It's comical.  It's as if someone is making them bet your plays.  

Have you ever considered posting college sports?  Would love to have your input on college football!  



 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

For the Saints blowers, can you explain why the line has dropped?  After all Brees in a dome against that depleted secondary is a match made in heaven.  Yet money is dropping the line. 

 

And yes, in my opinion, the Bears are slightly better than the Saints.  Their defense would neutralize that Saints offense especially if they played in windy Chicago and Mitch/Nagy would have a field day against that 27th ranked DVOA team.

 

Bears have the best defense according to DVOA and they've held that title virtually all season long (no fluke).  And now finally they've risen their offense to top 10 material.  With a healthy ratio of pass/ru



You liking the Bears so much is concerning. Tough to see. 
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by Goat_12:

You are too easy man! Haaaaaa!!!! Look at you! Pa......thetic! You call giants backers dumb, you lose by betting against the “dumb” and you still take zero ownership? You blame the refs? You didn’t “hedge”? I counted my bet as a push Thursday Chief. You? You don’t count anything but you sure do provide laughs!  Remember....one of us provides a record and the other (you) flaps away when in reality your record is 3-13-1? I posted your record for you and I don’t even get a thank you? Man oh man. Let me know when you wanna tap out, ok? Good seeing ya; I was a bit worried your shoe got stuck in your mouth after inserting it after the giants COVERED and WON last week. I just flushed the toilet so I’m done now ok? This passed the time well; thanks for coming out.

Listen clown, you don't know what my record is, you cherry picked a few posts, you change your own posted bets after the game started, you don't show your ROI or unit size, record means butkus when you play money lines and buy points in half your games when you are betting $5 a game, didn't your mommy teach you that when she taught you who to bet on with your allowance?


ALL my NFL bets are visible to the forum chief. You can tell whatever story you want but one of the few nice things about here is that all plays are in the history tab. HOW CONVENIENT THAT WHEN I EXPOSED YOU LAST WEEK AND PUT EVERYTHING UP FIR EVERYONE TO SEE, THAT THREAD WAS REMOVED. I can repost it if you’d like?  If people actually took time the way I did to expose the frauds like you in here, it would be a better place. My record means “butkus” huh? Hmmmmm......So with your record being 3-13-1, and that including you betting ML parlays on the best teams in the league, and you still losing those,  what does that say about you chief? Think about it. In 17 plays, you have 3 wins and of the 13 losses, multiples have come from chalk ML parlays that lost. You question my plays yet when you lose we get the be excuse of you saying you “hedged”? Of all the years exposing frauds, you are the easiest. You and that guy who had the bunny as his avatar. All you had to do was just be respectful last week rather than try swinging you ole’ size 7 shoe around calling everybody dumb; you looked like an absolute ignoramus eating your words and you STILL keep going.....I just flushed the toilet again. Good day and I’ll be on the lookout as the day goes on for you talking about the distractions teams are facing this week. Ground breaking.
 
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Posted: #70
LC would you still take Philadelphia with the same confidence at 7.5? 
 
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Posted: #71

Any bet against the saints right now  is a risky one . 

 
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Posted: #72

Love the broncos play tho LC 

 
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Posted: #73
Going to parlay Den with Chi. Bol to us today LC 
 
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Posted: #74

 ‘No doubt the Eagles need this one more than the Saints. I thought Cincy would be the let down game for my guys but once Carolina shit the bed against the Steelers, the Saints turned it on. With a two game lead and Our divisional arch rival on Thanksgiving you have to take the Eagles here. Saints are on a bit of a cover streak? Golden Tate always kills against us and he should be fully integrated into the Eagles game plan. Can’t see this being anything but Eagles and over and in fact the Eagles team total over 23.5 is my biggest play of the season. If I lose and this is a Saints blowout I’ll gladly donate the cash.

btw.. the saints are hardly overrated. Their offense can hang a fifty burger on anyone in that dome despite a weak WR Corp (Except Michael Thomas). It all comes down to the defense and especially the secondary! 

 

 
 
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Posted: #75

Achilles...Goat...take your Grammer school yard fight elsewhere...no one cares...one of you man up and shut up.

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