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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Cowboys / Bucs - Wildcard Monday....

    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
    jpot34
    dayknight
    GreasyFat
    soup-can
    Joe_Cool
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 11018
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    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:27 AM ET #26

    @soup-can

     thumbs_down

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    @soup-can

     thumbs_down

     
    dayknight
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:27 AM ET #27

    can you elaborate?

    It's never over until the money is in your hand.
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    can you elaborate?

     
    dayknight
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:28 AM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic69:

    Tomorrow is MLK day. That’s all I am gonna say. If you know, you know

    I don't know but would like to

    It's never over until the money is in your hand.
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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic69:

    Tomorrow is MLK day. That’s all I am gonna say. If you know, you know

    I don't know but would like to

     
    GreasyFat
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:29 AM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @soup-can   I guess the joke was lost on you.   all good man

    I thought that was brilliant.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @soup-can   I guess the joke was lost on you.   all good man

    I thought that was brilliant.

     
    soup-can
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:30 AM ET #30

    you said Rpeace_5eagan, and 40th president.  You tried to connect and normally it is a non-issue.  I grew up in 80s and have no problem with Ronny or Nancy

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    you said Rpeace_5eagan, and 40th president.  You tried to connect and normally it is a non-issue.  I grew up in 80s and have no problem with Ronny or Nancy

     
    GreasyFat
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:30 AM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by dayknight:

    can you elaborate?

    He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies.

    The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dayknight:

    can you elaborate?

    He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies.

    The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach.

     
    Joe_Cool
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:38 AM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat:

    Quote Originally Posted by dayknight: can you elaborate? He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies. The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach.

    Dallas wins by 1. The black QB wins and the black coach covers. There...

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    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat:

    Quote Originally Posted by dayknight: can you elaborate? He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies. The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach.

    Dallas wins by 1. The black QB wins and the black coach covers. There...

     
    soup-can
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 1:40 AM ET #33

    @jpot34

    also to every other political clown in an NFL forum:

    see this got political before I even chimed in.  the original comment went towards Reagan and the best team "will win"  Something tells me this potential DRAMA  is political.

    Figure it out and stay out if you want to stir it up

    Sorry to call you out JPOT34 but you THumb me down

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    @jpot34

    also to every other political clown in an NFL forum:

    see this got political before I even chimed in.  the original comment went towards Reagan and the best team "will win"  Something tells me this potential DRAMA  is political.

    Figure it out and stay out if you want to stir it up

    Sorry to call you out JPOT34 but you THumb me down

     
    soup-can
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 2:17 AM ET #34

    Van, sorry if in the past that a called you vansmack or whatever synonym it was.  But I kept it non political. 

    there is:

    hang back

    backpack

    callback

    drawback

    fanny pack

    fastback

    flipjack

    Hangs back 

    hardback

    jam-pack

    knapsack

    its more the kid side of things. peace

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    Van, sorry if in the past that a called you vansmack or whatever synonym it was.  But I kept it non political. 

    there is:

    hang back

    backpack

    callback

    drawback

    fanny pack

    fastback

    flipjack

    Hangs back 

    hardback

    jam-pack

    knapsack

    its more the kid side of things. peace

     
    wiggins
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 3:42 AM ET #35

    a lot of people put the offensive struggles on brady but when you look at the coaching it really has put them at a disadvantage. they are way to predictable and run too much on first down and dallas is one of the best d's at stopping the run on first down which then leaves brady in 2nd and 3rd and long which is a big advantage for dallas. so if the bucs make an adjustment like they did the year they won the superbowl and start throwing and using play action more one early downs....bucs will move the ball. if not, they will struggle and like you say go down early. which might not be the worst thing since the bucs are much more efficient running no huddle and why half their wins this year are come from behind 4th quarter wins. 

    a case can be made that dallas defense is also trending downwards and it becomes even more alarming once you realize the qb's they have faced the last 6 weeks are sam howell, josh dobbs, minshew, lawrence, davis mills and matt ryan. it was a 2 point game vs indy in the 4th quarter, they needed a last second td to beat houston, gave up 30+ to minshew and allowed sam howell to outgain them.

    on the flip side , looking at those last 6 games....neither of those teams aside for philly have defenses that are better than the bucs (who are getting healthier). washington was without 5 starters, titans rested starters, jags have been trending downwards on defense for weeks, houston is bottom third. bucs also play a bunch of man coverage which dak is worse against as compared to zone. and this is the first time in a while that the bucs secondary will be healthy. with that said CD Lamb should have a solid game and dallas will get their center back to which is a huge boost while the bucs might be down to their 3rd center if hainsey is limited.

    i was aligned with you on every pick this week (got lucky with early payout on chargers ml) except for this and since you are putting 4 units on the boys i might just wait for a live betting opportunity. good luck

     

     

     

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    a lot of people put the offensive struggles on brady but when you look at the coaching it really has put them at a disadvantage. they are way to predictable and run too much on first down and dallas is one of the best d's at stopping the run on first down which then leaves brady in 2nd and 3rd and long which is a big advantage for dallas. so if the bucs make an adjustment like they did the year they won the superbowl and start throwing and using play action more one early downs....bucs will move the ball. if not, they will struggle and like you say go down early. which might not be the worst thing since the bucs are much more efficient running no huddle and why half their wins this year are come from behind 4th quarter wins. 

    a case can be made that dallas defense is also trending downwards and it becomes even more alarming once you realize the qb's they have faced the last 6 weeks are sam howell, josh dobbs, minshew, lawrence, davis mills and matt ryan. it was a 2 point game vs indy in the 4th quarter, they needed a last second td to beat houston, gave up 30+ to minshew and allowed sam howell to outgain them.

    on the flip side , looking at those last 6 games....neither of those teams aside for philly have defenses that are better than the bucs (who are getting healthier). washington was without 5 starters, titans rested starters, jags have been trending downwards on defense for weeks, houston is bottom third. bucs also play a bunch of man coverage which dak is worse against as compared to zone. and this is the first time in a while that the bucs secondary will be healthy. with that said CD Lamb should have a solid game and dallas will get their center back to which is a huge boost while the bucs might be down to their 3rd center if hainsey is limited.

    i was aligned with you on every pick this week (got lucky with early payout on chargers ml) except for this and since you are putting 4 units on the boys i might just wait for a live betting opportunity. good luck

     

     

     

     
    Jedicaptricks
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 4:07 AM ET #36

    @howan168

     

     Dallas will choke next week against the Niners, not this one smiley_3

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    @howan168

     

     Dallas will choke next week against the Niners, not this one smiley_3

     
    Gochu4u
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 4:44 AM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by Jedicaptricks:

    @howan168    Dallas will choke next week against the Niners, not this one

    dallas will cover against niners an_horse

    No gamble No future
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jedicaptricks:

    @howan168    Dallas will choke next week against the Niners, not this one

    dallas will cover against niners an_horse

     
    SPark1
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 4:53 AM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    This one is pretty simple to me.... The Bucs pass defense vs the Cowboys passing offense... The Bucs pass defense has consistently been in the bottom third of the NFL almost all season.  And the trend is downward.  In the trailing 7 weeks, they are 30th in the NFL (adjusted) against the pass.  Dak makes mistakes when he is pressured, and there is tight coverage (sounds obvious, but more than average).  The Bucs hurry % (defensive QB pressure stat) is 28th in NFL. Put that together, and you should see a Dak that can thrive with time, and open receivers.  Once the Cowboys hit some runs - it compounds the problem for the Bucs - but in this case - I actually think they will come out passing and be successful which will open the run game.  The median number of punts for the Cowboys in my simulation is 1.4.  That is crazy low.   Brady has had recent success hitting long balls, because he has dinked and dunked all year and nobody was prepared for it.  The Panthers game is a prime example.  The Cowboys will be ready here - and I expect the Bucs to be pretty one dimensional.  The Bucs have a non-existent run game, and so the Cowboys will likely be able to drop a lot of coverage and are very likely to be able to get Brady off of his spot with just 4. I think the Cowboys get out early, the Bucs will have to throw to catch up - and the Cowboys will be able to mix the run in in the second half to bury the Bucs. If I were betting a total (I am not) - it would be the over.  Cowboys win something like 38-21.

    Very nice. Sh!t man, this may have converted me to Cowboys. What do/did you sell for a living?

    It's all probabilities
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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    This one is pretty simple to me.... The Bucs pass defense vs the Cowboys passing offense... The Bucs pass defense has consistently been in the bottom third of the NFL almost all season.  And the trend is downward.  In the trailing 7 weeks, they are 30th in the NFL (adjusted) against the pass.  Dak makes mistakes when he is pressured, and there is tight coverage (sounds obvious, but more than average).  The Bucs hurry % (defensive QB pressure stat) is 28th in NFL. Put that together, and you should see a Dak that can thrive with time, and open receivers.  Once the Cowboys hit some runs - it compounds the problem for the Bucs - but in this case - I actually think they will come out passing and be successful which will open the run game.  The median number of punts for the Cowboys in my simulation is 1.4.  That is crazy low.   Brady has had recent success hitting long balls, because he has dinked and dunked all year and nobody was prepared for it.  The Panthers game is a prime example.  The Cowboys will be ready here - and I expect the Bucs to be pretty one dimensional.  The Bucs have a non-existent run game, and so the Cowboys will likely be able to drop a lot of coverage and are very likely to be able to get Brady off of his spot with just 4. I think the Cowboys get out early, the Bucs will have to throw to catch up - and the Cowboys will be able to mix the run in in the second half to bury the Bucs. If I were betting a total (I am not) - it would be the over.  Cowboys win something like 38-21.

    Very nice. Sh!t man, this may have converted me to Cowboys. What do/did you sell for a living?

     
    2goodhahaha
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 5:10 AM ET #39

    @wiggins

     Jensen back at center for the GOAT.

    A broken Rolex is right twice A-day hahaha
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    @wiggins

     Jensen back at center for the GOAT.

     
    2goodhahaha
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 5:17 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic69:

    Tomorrow is MLK day. That’s all I am gonna say. If you know, you know
    Quote Originally Posted by Thetruth8:

    @FadeThePublic69  Can you elaborate bro I’m curious

    He's doing the typical and often used race card. I think he's implying about Jerry Jones. SMH GTFOH an_shake

     

     

    A broken Rolex is right twice A-day hahaha
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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic69:

    Tomorrow is MLK day. That’s all I am gonna say. If you know, you know
    Quote Originally Posted by Thetruth8:

    @FadeThePublic69  Can you elaborate bro I’m curious

    He's doing the typical and often used race card. I think he's implying about Jerry Jones. SMH GTFOH an_shake

     

     

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 5:22 AM ET #41

    @2goodhahaha

     Go back and hide in your woke safe space!  new_poop

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    @2goodhahaha

     Go back and hide in your woke safe space!  new_poop

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 6:41 AM ET #42

    Nice job this weekend Van.  Good luck tonight.  an_cheers

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    Nice job this weekend Van.  Good luck tonight.  an_cheers

     
    garbagetime
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 7:25 AM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by Joe_Cool:

    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat: Quote Originally Posted by dayknight: can you elaborate? He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies. The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach. Dallas wins by 1. The black QB wins and the black coach covers. There...

    And this also takes the McCarthy angle into account.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe_Cool:

    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat: Quote Originally Posted by dayknight: can you elaborate? He is saying the league will engineer an outcome to engender social justice warm and fuzzies. The only thing Im not sure of is if he feels they are going to let the black QB get the win or the black coach. Dallas wins by 1. The black QB wins and the black coach covers. There...

    And this also takes the McCarthy angle into account.

     
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 8:53 AM ET #44

    Cowboys are 0-8 SU in away playoff game since 1992 when they won @ SF and since 1980 3-13 AU away in the playoffs.

    That doesnt mean they dont win tonight.

     

    Any playoff home dog that has won less than 9 games is 5-0 depending on the lines. it would be 4-0-1 ATS

     

    I dont like this game but lean to fade the cowboys

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    Cowboys are 0-8 SU in away playoff game since 1992 when they won @ SF and since 1980 3-13 AU away in the playoffs.

    That doesnt mean they dont win tonight.

     

    Any playoff home dog that has won less than 9 games is 5-0 depending on the lines. it would be 4-0-1 ATS

     

    I dont like this game but lean to fade the cowboys

     
    ABLP0609
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 9:10 AM ET #45

    @vanzack

     Good luck van 

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    @vanzack

     Good luck van 

     
    dduukkee
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 9:25 AM ET #46

    I would like to take this time to admit something... i have absolutely no idea what this game is gonna be like, dallas by 38, bucs by 7, im just not sure. So, ill just root for you and hit a td parlay or something...... unless you can guarantee 100% your play wins than I'll just tail you. So can i put the savings/investments on it? Let me know soon please, i dont want your procrastination affecting what line i get..... 

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    I would like to take this time to admit something... i have absolutely no idea what this game is gonna be like, dallas by 38, bucs by 7, im just not sure. So, ill just root for you and hit a td parlay or something...... unless you can guarantee 100% your play wins than I'll just tail you. So can i put the savings/investments on it? Let me know soon please, i dont want your procrastination affecting what line i get..... 

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 9:30 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by dduukkee:

    I would like to take this time to admit something... i have absolutely no idea what this game is gonna be like, dallas by 38, bucs by 7, im just not sure. So, ill just root for you and hit a td parlay or something...... unless you can guarantee 100% your play wins than I'll just tail you. So can i put the savings/investments on it? Let me know soon please, i dont want your procrastination affecting what line i get.....

     

    is this satire?

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    Quote Originally Posted by dduukkee:

    I would like to take this time to admit something... i have absolutely no idea what this game is gonna be like, dallas by 38, bucs by 7, im just not sure. So, ill just root for you and hit a td parlay or something...... unless you can guarantee 100% your play wins than I'll just tail you. So can i put the savings/investments on it? Let me know soon please, i dont want your procrastination affecting what line i get.....

     

    is this satire?

     
    dduukkee
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 9:40 AM ET #48

    @BIGDTITLE

     The fact that you really had to ask is kinda sad, it shows a post of that nature is 100% possible on here. Kinda sad if you think about it haha

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    @BIGDTITLE

     The fact that you really had to ask is kinda sad, it shows a post of that nature is 100% possible on here. Kinda sad if you think about it haha

     
    Lifebythedrop
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 11:22 AM ET #49

    @soup-can

     2 time pro bowl CB Trevon Diggs has entered the chat

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    @soup-can

     2 time pro bowl CB Trevon Diggs has entered the chat

     
     
    smellychews
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2023 - 12:18 PM ET #50

    Storyline wise, it makes sense for Brady to win this game lose a very exciting game against the 49ers, or even pull off a huge upset... Purdy beat Brady in his first NFL game he played.. That's the storyline they will go with.. NFL must want this matchup way more than the Cowboys 49ers

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    Storyline wise, it makes sense for Brady to win this game lose a very exciting game against the 49ers, or even pull off a huge upset... Purdy beat Brady in his first NFL game he played.. That's the storyline they will go with.. NFL must want this matchup way more than the Cowboys 49ers

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