All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Cowboys / Bucs - Wildcard Monday....

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 11018
Posts: 166
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #126

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

And hell of a season you've been having,  congrats to that

 

And all I can think about is the charger game lol

The life of a gambler

 

paint_help

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #127

Quote Originally Posted by psu12015:

Thank you. Just thank you.  That is all.

an_praise

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 10767
Posted: #128

Quote Originally Posted by SPark1:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: This one is pretty simple to me.... The Bucs pass defense vs the Cowboys passing offense... The Bucs pass defense has consistently been in the bottom third of the NFL almost all season.  And the trend is downward.  In the trailing 7 weeks, they are 30th in the NFL (adjusted) against the pass.  Dak makes mistakes when he is pressured, and there is tight coverage (sounds obvious, but more than average).  The Bucs hurry % (defensive QB pressure stat) is 28th in NFL. Put that together, and you should see a Dak that can thrive with time, and open receivers.  Once the Cowboys hit some runs - it compounds the problem for the Bucs - but in this case - I actually think they will come out passing and be successful which will open the run game.  The median number of punts for the Cowboys in my simulation is 1.4.  That is crazy low.   Brady has had recent success hitting long balls, because he has dinked and dunked all year and nobody was prepared for it.  The Panthers game is a prime example.  The Cowboys will be ready here - and I expect the Bucs to be pretty one dimensional.  The Bucs have a non-existent run game, and so the Cowboys will likely be able to drop a lot of coverage and are very likely to be able to get Brady off of his spot with just 4. I think the Cowboys get out early, the Bucs will have to throw to catch up - and the Cowboys will be able to mix the run in in the second half to bury the Bucs. If I were betting a total (I am not) - it would be the over.  Cowboys win something like 38-21. Very nice. Sh!t man, this may have converted me to Cowboys. What do/did you sell for a living?

Thank you vanzack peace_5

It's all probabilities
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 646
Posted: #129

an_worshipan_worship

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #130

@SPark1

@Sno_Opy

 an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2019
Posts: 3497
Posted: #131

Good call. peace_5

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2005
Posts: 30086
Posted: #132

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8: And hell of a season you've been having,  congrats to that   And all I can think about is the charger game lol The life of a gambler

Man i feel you.....  lost sleep over the Ravens goal line fumble + scoop n score reversal, had a nice chunk on the ML. angry

Bagel Sandwiches Suck
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 12677
Posted: #133

Fire up the yacht!

 

an_cheers

 

 

peace_5

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2021
Posts: 8
Posted: #134

Nice Hit Van! On to next week! Just a question.

Who are you seeing on the superbowl right now? Eagles vs bills?

 

thanks!! Gl next week!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2015
Posts: 499
Posted: #135

Vanzack, great job man…im hoping ur on dallas ml next week…

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2014
Posts: 5305
Posted: #136

TY Van moneybagan_cheers

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 6283
Posted: #137

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8: And hell of a season you've been having,  congrats to that   And all I can think about is the charger game lol The life of a gambler

After a 4-1 weekend…the life as a perfectionist! smiley_3
I wish you could smoke this Gorilla Glue celebration cigar with me VanZ.  Mahalos Brotha…GL next weekend.  Fantastic season! 

The impossible only takes longer….
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 16181
Posted: #138

Great work as always Van peace_5moneybag

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2003
Posts: 9450
Posted: #139

the next popular phrase 

Dak is 8-3 vs PHI and 10-2 vs NYG.

that is if they make it outta SF alivean_popcorn

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2003
Posts: 9450
Posted: #140

Interestingly, Dallas this season is 4-0 SU on short rest so ya'll can put this unfair scheduling talk to sleep.  Other than Dak throwing INTs in these short rest game, Dallas played very well vs 3 playoff teams.  I think the ATS on final line was 2-1-1.  We all know the 14 on the Titans game may have very well not been a push/ and no D henry.   When they played the NYG on turkey day, Dallas allowed a last second BS touchdown drive to end it and not cover.  I believe there was some zebras help on a call or two during that drive.  Point is Dallas on short rest is good if you like BIG D this week, don't discount it.  Line of 3.5/4 doesn't really shock me, I actually was thinking -6 if dallas/tampa was close but a look back had Purdy@ home vs Brady -3.5, vs Tua -4.5, vs Heinicke -6.5

Seahags had a good game thru 3.5Q till Geno fumbled and had the lead at the Half after a quick couple scores out the gate by SF.  It's funny when you have a daily interaction with a HUGE 9ers fan who is always running at the mouth on Mondays and after this last showing, mouse silence today.  All worried about a potential Brady rematch.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2016
Posts: 2161
Posted: #141

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

And all I can think about is the charger game lol The life of a gambler

Humans are hard-wired to recall negative events more readily than positive ones, which many psychologists believe has adaptive value. (As an animal in the wild, it’s better to remember what a mountain lion can do to you more so than what a daffodil can do for you.)

Anyway, thanks for the first push toward the Cowboys (Mr Bator provided the second).

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2003
Posts: 9450
Posted: #142

The 9ers had 4 games vs teams on short rest this season and were 4-0 SU and ATS.  3 of 4 games were in SF but all 4 were never in question.  I will be watching this sytem closely.cool

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2002
Posts: 176478
Posted: #143

Great weekend and carried it onto Monday.  Well done Van.........an_clap

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #144

Quote Originally Posted by tsw:

Fire up the yacht!

Indeed!

Smooth sailing this week.

an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2014
Posts: 12378
Posted: #145

I see 4-0 next weekend  Van.....peace_5

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 6768
Posted: #146

Vanzack, with all the live-betting options, do you ever consider hitting the "kill switch" on your bets, if you do not like your bet any more?

For example, when San Diego blew a big lead and was only up 30-20 after 3 quarters, why not bet on Jax, and even have a decent middle as well?

However, I am NO FAN of hedging or leveraging, if I LIKE the way my bet is going.

 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2018
Posts: 4860
Posted: #147

an_cheers

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 6768
Posted: #148

moneybagVanzack, excellent weekend of betting by you.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 16734
Posted: #149

Quote Originally Posted by soup-can:

The 9ers had 4 games vs teams on short rest this season and were 4-0 SU and ATS.  3 of 4 games were in SF but all 4 were never in question.  I will be watching this sytem closely.

that is interesting ! clover

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2021
Posts: 206
Posted: #150

@lmb4321

 Good luck to you clover

All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.