Read this about the Dolphins in a forum:
Dolphins plus 2 1/2 at Jets
Statistically the Dolphins match up better to the Jets. Trend-wise Miami is the right side and from a situational standpoint the Dolphins are the right play. All of this is evidence enough for me to back the Dolphins.
The Jets played hard against New England last Sunday, but fell in overtime. They are emotionally and physically down missing their best player, cornerback Darrelle Revis, and lone offensive playmaker, Santonio Holmes.
The Dolphins, on the other hand, are rested having had their bye last week. Miami has covered 10 of the last 11 years when playing in Week 8. The Jets have failed to cover the last five years when playing on Week 8.
This is going to be physical, defensive matchup between two ground-oriented conservative teams. The Dolphins rank No. 3 versus the run giving up 78.2 yards per game. The Jets are third-from-the-bottom in rush defense allowing 147.4 yards per game. The Dolphins are 21st in total offense. The Jets rank 29th in total offense.
Miami out-rushed the Jets, 185-93, in the team's Week 3 matchup. The Jets won, 23-20, in overtime. A key play in that game was Jets safety LaRon Landry returning an interception for a touchdown. The Dolphins probably should have won that game. This is a huge divisional revenge game for them.
Mark Sanchez played one of his better games versus the Patriots last week, but he still is a below average quarterback without the upside of Ryan Tannehill. Sanchez has a bad history when playing right after a game against the Patriots. He's completed less than 51 percent of his throws the past three times in these instances with a 1-to-2 touchdown to interception ratio.
The Dolphins have an underrated defense with as many interceptions as touchdown passes allowed and rank in the top 10 in sacks.
Miami has covered seven of the last nine times it has been an underdog and is 24-9-1 ATS in its last 34 road contests. The Dolphins also are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus AFC foes.
The Dolphins haven't been bothered by New York weather either. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five visits against the Jets.