Posted:
#51
Yknot shut the fk up. You sound like an idiot.
0
Anchor Baby, A yknot betting concept.
Posted:
#55
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@vanzack "But anyone who suggests betting full point lines rather than half point lines has an inherent advantage" Not an inherent advantage but an extra out. Although depending on which way the line moved that could be the difference between win and a push as well...would be hard to calculate how many bets on average push ....would be a small amount unless you are betting baseball totals or nfl spreads or something with a smaller number range that pushes more regularly....as opposed to basketball which has a huge total range..... He brings up 1 interesting topic thru the gibberish.... this might be more specific to nfl and nfl spreads at 2.5 3.5 and 6.5 as he mentions as those are just before common numbers In the case of +2.5 you would rather +3 as a safer alternative if you could predict the line was moving there...of course if it moved all the way to +3.5 you ended up being impatient and will now push instead of having a winner if the result lands on 3... I'm guessing he means line movement as opposed to buying/selling points. Interesting topic.
@vanzack "But anyone who suggests betting full point lines rather than half point lines has an inherent advantage" Not an inherent advantage but an extra out. Although depending on which way the line moved that could be the difference between win and a push as well...would be hard to calculate how many bets on average push ....would be a small amount unless you are betting baseball totals or nfl spreads or something with a smaller number range that pushes more regularly....as opposed to basketball which has a huge total range..... He brings up 1 interesting topic thru the gibberish.... this might be more specific to nfl and nfl spreads at 2.5 3.5 and 6.5 as he mentions as those are just before common numbers In the case of +2.5 you would rather +3 as a safer alternative if you could predict the line was moving there...of course if it moved all the way to +3.5 you ended up being impatient and will now push instead of having a winner if the result lands on 3... I'm guessing he means line movement as opposed to buying/selling points. Interesting topic.
I am definitely dumber for reading this.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#57
A line is a line.
Whether it's -1, -1.5, -2, -2.5 and so on...
If you have a good power ranking system, or good idea of what the real line should be, then it doesn't matter if there is a hook or not.
The only thing that's important is how many points of cushion you are finding between the real line and perceived line.
0
Posted:
#58
@dubz4dummyz
yknot ask the expert with the 70-7 record... lol haha Love you guys and this stuff. I understand y one would call BS on a covers post. Totally get it. But boys, like China town said, you dont know who you are arguing with, I damn near created half this shit. So to be capitulating on a flat line is stupid. Do all the math you want. I learned from the Masters,. Its the golden rules book. Thats why its so easy to spot low hanging fruit.
If you guys start to play nice, I can reveal all sorts of things for you.
My Mirror Concept, CUBAN trifecta formula, as well as my 7card concept, are unique, highly profitable, and unknown to anyone but me.
An anchor is merely a technique used to position ones self into a highly critical spot with large risk to reward ratio.
Often time if you follow my direction, you find yourself winning on Sunday night no matter who wins.
I want to start sharing my Mirror concept or methodology to highly probable outcomes, which we are starting to call guarantee wagers,
One of these guarantee wagers lost on Monday, in the form of UTAH, as we will use the excuse of senior QB goes down for an entire half, that changes highly probable outcomes, or breaks the Mirror and we lose. Thats why achieving above 90% or even 87%, is unachievable, because there is no variable in predicted outcomes, when you lose a qb, or even if god forbid we experience what we did Monday Night, that was not in the numbers, . their was no probable outcome of any event resembling that Incident. Most certainly, because it had never happened. Which confirms it is impossible to take data into account that has never happened.
Now moving forward, predicted outcome algo's now have potential death experience and cancled game backed in the data. at a .00000000000000000000000000000000000001. Prediction rate. Through 1 billion outcomes. Now, If this would ever to happen again, more then likely one of the Kids from Yale, will find it and let them know.
Told ya the field has changed.
0
Posted:
#59
@vanzack
Whats your issues? Im not a keyboard toughguy so i wont go to covers level and throw insults because of my insecurities. All im going to say is this guy helped me win a shit ton of money the last couple weeks so i think he knows what he is doing. Are you mad because your at 50% if that every week? Its not bad buddy. Keep doing your thing. It works well for you. You still have your minions that will follow you. Lets hear your reasoning for your plays this weekend. I would love to read them. Good luck going forward. Tool.
2
Posted:
#62
2022 NFL Key Numbers by Result Frequency:
M.O.V.: # of Times: % of all results
3 42 16.5%
6 20 7.8%
7 19 7.5%
10 15 5.9%
8 15 5.9%
4 15 5.9%
1 15 5.9%
14 12 4.7%
5 10 3.9%
2 10 3.9%
17 7 2.7%
13 7 2.7%
9 7 2.7%
16 6 2.4%
28 5 2.0%
21 5 2.0%
15 5 2.0%
12 5 2.0%
23 4 1.6%
22 4 1.6%
18 4 1.6%
11 4 1.6%
24 3 1.2%
37 2 0.8%
35 2 0.8%
26 2 0.8%
20 2 0.8%
19 2 0.8%
0 2 0.8%
34 1 0.4%
31 1 0.4%
29 1 0.4%
25 1 0.4%
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#64
@undermysac
This completely untrue and an outdated very bad way to look at and approach betting. This is exactly how they want you to bet. You are the ones that they are most interested in. There is no such thing as what you are trying to seek. Your numbers are never going to beat them, nor are they close to what the predicted outcomes are.
Now keep this in Mind before you get angry. More then Likely, much of what you do, and how you approach seeking your value, started to become, lets say more well known. Meaning lots of people started becoming very good at what you are talking about. Now this is the main target. I wont ask you your win % as I do respect you, and have interacted with you for many years on MLB forum, but I would be polite if I suggested yo were at 60%. I think we would both agree it is a bit lower, sometimes up, sometimes down, but never anything consistant you could hang your hat on. And you guys spend so much time and energy trying to find your "VALUE" I have done a seminar on this. Nothing is on Sale Sir. You only think its.
0
Posted:
#65
@undermysac
Yes but also the result of 3 points is more common than the result of 2 points. So you have bet -2 or +2 but mathematically the game is more likely to land on 3 no matter how you capped it...of course this is pinpointing between 2 and 3 and the game could be decided by multiple other numbers
0
Posted:
#66
Quote Originally Posted by yknot:
@undermysac This completely untrue and an outdated very bad way to look at and approach betting. This is exactly how they want you to bet. You are the ones that they are most interested in. There is no such thing as what you are trying to seek. Your numbers are never going to beat them, nor are they close to what the predicted outcomes are. Now keep this in Mind before you get angry. More then Likely, much of what you do, and how you approach seeking your value, started to become, lets say more well known. Meaning lots of people started becoming very good at what you are talking about. Now this is the main target. I wont ask you your win % as I do respect you, and have interacted with you for many years on MLB forum, but I would be polite if I suggested yo were at 60%. I think we would both agree it is a bit lower, sometimes up, sometimes down, but never anything consistant you could hang your hat on. And you guys spend so much time and energy trying to find your "VALUE" I have done a seminar on this. Nothing is on Sale Sir. You only think its.
@undermysac This completely untrue and an outdated very bad way to look at and approach betting. This is exactly how they want you to bet. You are the ones that they are most interested in. There is no such thing as what you are trying to seek. Your numbers are never going to beat them, nor are they close to what the predicted outcomes are. Now keep this in Mind before you get angry. More then Likely, much of what you do, and how you approach seeking your value, started to become, lets say more well known. Meaning lots of people started becoming very good at what you are talking about. Now this is the main target. I wont ask you your win % as I do respect you, and have interacted with you for many years on MLB forum, but I would be polite if I suggested yo were at 60%. I think we would both agree it is a bit lower, sometimes up, sometimes down, but never anything consistant you could hang your hat on. And you guys spend so much time and energy trying to find your "VALUE" I have done a seminar on this. Nothing is on Sale Sir. You only think its.
This dummy thinks you cant get rich - and I mean MEGA rich - by going 60%. "Nothing to hang your hat on". OK.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#67
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@undermysac Yes but also the result of 3 points is more common than the result of 2 points. So you have bet -2 or +2 but mathematically the game is more likely to land on 3 no matter how you capped it...of course this is pinpointing between 2 and 3 and the game could be decided by multiple other numbers
@undermysac Yes but also the result of 3 points is more common than the result of 2 points. So you have bet -2 or +2 but mathematically the game is more likely to land on 3 no matter how you capped it...of course this is pinpointing between 2 and 3 and the game could be decided by multiple other numbers
I cant believe you outdid yourself.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#69
@vanzack
waste of time. All this work is all done for you, so much faster and more reliable.
I am getting tired. Keep throwing darts, but the game has changed. You guys are the quintessential argument in baseball 20 years ago, to what we now call the shift.
You two are still the guys who say the shift wont work. Game has changed guys. People are running a different Offense and you still are trying to run the wingT.
Until you look at things completely opposite of the way you do. Your Book can tell you who you are going to bet, and at what price before you have even bet it. You were also the ones influenced by FB during our last two votes.
A closed mind is their greatest asset!!
Best you will ever do is get lucky and have a good weekend. The Data tells you so.
Truth
0
Posted:
#70
Quote Originally Posted by yknot:
@vanzack waste of time. All this work is all done for you, so much faster and more reliable.I am getting tired. Keep throwing darts, but the game has changed. You guys are the quintessential argument in baseball 20 years ago, to what we now call the shift.You two are still the guys who say the shift wont work. Game has changed guys. People are running a different Offense and you still are trying to run the wingT.Until you look at things completely opposite of the way you do. Your Book can tell you who you are going to bet, and at what price before you have even bet it. You were also the ones influenced by FB during our last two votes. A closed mind is their greatest asset!! Best you will ever do is get lucky and have a good weekend. The Data tells you so.Truth
@vanzack waste of time. All this work is all done for you, so much faster and more reliable.I am getting tired. Keep throwing darts, but the game has changed. You guys are the quintessential argument in baseball 20 years ago, to what we now call the shift.You two are still the guys who say the shift wont work. Game has changed guys. People are running a different Offense and you still are trying to run the wingT.Until you look at things completely opposite of the way you do. Your Book can tell you who you are going to bet, and at what price before you have even bet it. You were also the ones influenced by FB during our last two votes. A closed mind is their greatest asset!! Best you will ever do is get lucky and have a good weekend. The Data tells you so.Truth
Nonsensical strawman argument.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#73
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@vanzack You are arguing the numbers you just posted?
@vanzack You are arguing the numbers you just posted?
No. I am asking WTF this means
"@undermysac Yes but also the result of 3 points is more common than the result of 2 points. So you have bet -2 or +2 but mathematically the game is more likely to land on 3 no matter how you capped it...of course this is pinpointing between 2 and 3 and the game could be decided by multiple other numbers"
Just read that, and explain it to us please. Like I am a 5 year old. I would like to understand.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
Posted:
#75
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@vanzack You just posted the numbers....you can't be serious....
@vanzack You just posted the numbers....you can't be serious....
Do you walk around in your normal life wondering why nobody understands you? How everyone you know misunderstands everything you say?
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
0
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