Anchor Baby, A yknot betting concept.

Early NFL week, good evening Fans,

I was going to take time to discuss my mirror concept in sports betting.  Unfortunately it is to confusing and open minded concept (y it works) for some of the Covers Community, so I decided to take one of my most simple betting concepts imaginable.
I have actual seen it posted by a pick service uniquely advertising on this site. They will get in trouble sooner or later.  But the point is, I saw it and understood it quickly as a system I call Anchor Baby.

I learned this method of strong arming a bookmaker back in the Late 80s while working for the book, Answering phones,  I came across this wisenheimer (Wise guy )  Who started passing off a unique bet at the time where he would utilize one team, and tease it to multiple, Teams and Totals.  I know of another who had a book back early 90s who started allowing 3 teamer 7 point open Teasers.  Here again was another time I observed the Use of an Anchor.  It was incredibly deadly in Open teasers and Open Parlays, and needless to say this particular guy did some real financial damage, to then a pretty reliable Santa Anita Bookmaker.  The term Mr. O used with me was Anchor.  He took the guy on as a challenge and they traded blows for some weeks, ultimately he cut him off.  His Anchor games were solid enough to withstand any single play within the rest of the Teasers, Round Robin in a way, that he was winning.

I termed Anchor Baby as it has evolved as one of my bullets in the gun to apply at times in betting strategies.  I would say, my observation of the success seems to me to key on very reliable QBS, HC, and home team spots.  I have used this example with folks on several weeks throughout the nfl season when the spots are right.  We had a Dandy last week, that turns up again this week, as well as one other.

Last week a phenomenal Anchor baby was "The Weasel" (Arron Rodgers)  This was the perfect spot for an A++ trusted NFL QB, at home in his office at less then -4.  -3.5 and at teams -3, we got the GB packers (The Weasel) at +3 and 3.5 on a 7ptr.  This style of bet or situation is what I call, F U! I dont lose, or better yet, Arron Rodgers does not lose.

Now obviously, there takes a lot more handicapping and odds evaluation, ETC to qualify an Anchor baby, but I am trying to keep this simple.  So, we find ourselves in the same situation this week.  Where we have an A++ QB, on a well improving, odds qualifying, home team in december, with meaningful purpose.  To win Bets!!  So we have a Money line Anchor, as well as a Teaser Anchor.  

Simply put, Tie down (Yknot) Anchor anything you like to Green Bay Packers and the Weasel because he will absolutely win the football game. And he will never lose by more then 3 points in this spot.  This is why you saw this bet several times from a pick service used in TEASER form, and not Parlay form.  He wont lose, but if he does, it will be by 1 pt or 2, based on probable outcomes.

So Top Recommendation is  Greenbay in Teaser form anchored to whoever you like. (expert Opinion)
2nd recommendation is Money Line greenbay to anything you like. (yknot's opinion)

TBC

Ok I hope that was simple enough. If you have any questions and they are polite, I will answer any and all.
Now for some unfortunate news.  We actually had two insanely wonderful Anchor Babies this week.  But because of the tragic circumstances from last nights game.  I feel it is in poor taste to qualify or utilize JOe Burrow as an Anchor.  It is just not Appropriate.  There will certainly be opinions about how these teams will respond, but at the end of the day, my Opinion is that Joe will lead the way, it is just the responsibility you have in the NFL as a QB named JOE.  Big JOE is going to do Some Big time things in his HOF career and we will have years of Opportunities to Anchor "Big Joe" down to hundreds of bets!  But as a side note "Big Joe" qualifies big time for an Anchor baby this week.

Good Luck Big Joe and the Weasel, as many will be Anchored to your leadership this week.

Anchors away, 
Yknot 

heard my name…what’s up?

Unfortunately the only issue with this strategy is if you are wrong. And then you lose all of your bets ( and probably a few good ones) because you put all your eggs in one basket. I say this with all due respect to you. I am only commenting because I have learned the hard way not to tie all of your bets to one game because when you are wrong, you lose it all.

@brn2loslive2win

 Totally understand my man, and completely respect your opinion and experiences.  This is why I highly recommend expert guidance when selecting you Anchors.  When I Anchor A Baby sir they turn out as winners.  A good consultant would never allow you to put all your eggs in one basket.  In this case we will only be putting eggs in the Weasels Basket, and Balancing it amongst our other unit plays and stratagies.  I have many different levels and methods of bets.  It just so happens , fortunately this week we have an insane card.

Its important to understand sir.  I have been doing this for nearly 50 years, and I dont lose very many games.  I actually can tell you the 7 out of 70 games I have lost over the last month approximately,  4 weeks it is actually, 9 losses and 72 wins.  70 loses and 7 wins over 3,5 weeks and sets up for my 7 team card this week.  Did you know, 6 out of 7 is an unheard of 85.71 win %.  And a mear 5 out of 7 is a very darn respectable 71.4 win %?
I dropped in and gave covers a 7 card post last Sunday and was 6 of 7 and gave Pitt out as a Curtain call to go 7-1 on the day.  But thats what an Expert is expected to do, every damn week.  Thats how you achieve 70-7   really 72-9  but whatever.
The Key my friend is dont Anchor a loser, even if you dont put all the eggs in the wrong basket, you still are going to get hurt.

But really can you do any worse damage continuing to hit less then 48%,? or worse.  Thats why there are pros and Joes, and all sorts of stuff in-between.  Very , very few, can achieve the win %s that I do on a consistent basis, really for even more then a week, but thats the rewards I suppose from years of unfortunate beats.  There will always be another game, and will always be expected to pick it correctly.

Thanks for dropping in!
Peace and love and god bless ya.

That's a phenomenal record. Good luck to you this weekend, and please feel free to share your picks for this week. I could use some easy money

I would like to give a shout out to the NFL!  They finally decided to listen, and partner up with some real sharp folks.  The Casinos have done so Much for the NFL and its horrible ability to schedule consistent meaningful betting games, and advantages trapping opportunities for the house.   The Networks, the NFL and the Casinos have built a beast of a machine, and very, very, very few understands how it all operates.  Those that do are paid so incredibly well, there is no need for the to wager, or discuss operating tactics.

All of the dirty deeds will be on the Senate floor in the not to distant future. But that wont happen until a whistle blower had tangible data to prove what serval of us experts in the betting fields consider as, probable outcome models matched by behavioral Algorhythms.  What we have found is that the hard to predict has become very much predictable!  To the tune of 70-7 = 90.91%  or if you look at a full 4 weeks, stupid 72-9 = 88.89%  It starts to become pretty easy to believe in said theory,.

I feel very strong on a 100% card this week  7 games, but I will take 6 of 7 again.   
Just as a side note,   I dont have Anchor Babies in my 7 game flat bet card.  Those are ATS.  This week I will have 3 dog Money Line winners, and I believe I have a Mirror game scenario, but need more time to confirm completely.  
I am also very confident in Inside infor recieved in National Title game, but expecting to hear similar from another source, so all and all this is lining up to be a very good January.  Playoffs I always kill it.   Used to do a lot of detailed writeups and predictions, but I generally save that stuff for really big games where I have big time confidence.  Like predicting the actual final score type shit.   Always a good time  thank god for sports

@brn2loslive2win

 Take GB on ML.  The Weasel wont lose.    I dont do many spread guarantees, so sorry about the Juice on that Money Line.

Personally I think GB has the best Flyer odds in the group to make superbowl.  Only the weasel can weasel that away from SF.  It is putting Hurts on the outside looking in.   GB or SF in Superbowl for NFC, and odds on the Weasel are way better then the odds on Purdy....  UH not sure the Kid from Basha has earned that yet, how about BOSA.  There, Only the Weasel can beat Bosa!

Book it, a fair but accurate prediction.   Damn it there I go making another prediction.  Thats enough from me.

Good luck all talk soon

and Hang Loose

A couple of aspects that truely Qualify an Anchor Baby.  

1.  Home Team
2.  A+ QB
3.  Must win game
4.  Line coverage on a Variable point. +3, +4, +7   -   +3.5, +4.5,  +7.5
5.  Key Schedule time slot.  Sunday night being the most Ideal
6.  Ideal Line, $$ Flow
7.  Weather and motivational factors
8. Trends and Statistics

Greenbay and the Weasel check every single box!
Come Sunday night I am going to find myself in Epic position to cash Major cash, as I am going to be Utilizing this Beautiful Baby strategically through by perfected 7 Team Card.  This becomes the 8th game of my predicted outcomes for the NFL week 18, which now has its foundation laid separately from the rest of the House/bankroll.  
7 game Card ATS, Tied to an Anchor Baby.   ( I am really using 4 Anchor Babies in 4 different time slots all separate Anchors from my fantastic 7 ATS card.)
But For these purposes we will Stick to one Key King Anchor child-   The Weasel and GB at 5:20 pacific time Sunday

Excellent stuff.

I'll be watching closely.

g/l

I love how people here have these outrageous records away from covers.

So in the last 4 weeks, you bet 81 NFL bets - which averages 20 a week?  And of these 20, you are winning 17?

I tell you what.  I will give you 25-1 on anything you want to bet - with a kicker for charity - if you can pick 85% on 20 picks this week.

Good luck.  I will be watching this Anchor system sink closely.

@vanzack

 Ahh Vanzack! Excellent, I was just talking about you the other day.  First off sir let me say I respect your work.  Its old fashioned and outdated and will never win above 60%, but people play with points and units and records all the time.

I really think records are quite stupid, but I grew up in a dugout, and tend to use ben Hogan Yardage.   It is much easier for me to discuss my losers as they are easy to remember.  You have to remember, we had a lot of college games the last 4 weeks, so no I didnt have that many bets on the NFL.  Also, realize, 1/3 of those approximately are live wagers.  I am an expert with spreads and odds so live wagers are approached slightly different and hurts overall win %.
Example two of my loses were  Denver and Raiders on ML Live at +650.  Both Lost, but one went to OT and the other had a shot late 4th qtr.   I also lost a live bet the week before with NE when they fumbled on the 1 end of 4th qtr.

You see its easier for me to document the losers, as they are easier to remember.

Florida st got me, Indy, Indy, Indy.   Houston on Sunday, Missed the rose bowl (Lost QB all 2nd half

Damn huge part of response cut off   to long winded.  Good luck to you this week Vanzak, appreciate the post

You are a clown.

I don't like betting on anyone because it's a "must win"

Personal opinion 

Notice the vague statements he uses?  "Must win", "key schedule time slot", "ideal line", "weather and motivational factors" - this is all useless mumbo jumbo.  Nobody can actually use that.

He knows this.  He is a carnival barker.  Nothing more.  85% winning rate on plays he cant post.  Generic and vague "factors" to determine wagers.  And the system he is calling for..... wait for it.... Is to wheel a "key" game with other non-correlated games in some kind of parlay or teaser.  Tell us something new, that actually has meaning and can be used.

He is more industrious than the average covers clown poster - but he is still a covers clown poster.

I already posted your beating on your week 15 thread.  Amature hour.  Notice my posts, clown,    you are only coming in my thread because I am posting stone cold winners!  Jealousy  so stupid.  I have already helped you out today to a huge tune.  1/2 points  and betting in even #s!   Sonny come on man.  Y did you choose today to lose your credibility on Covers.   Feel free to pull my posts. Pretty much all winners.  Sunday 7-1   bowl games I lost 1 posted  rose bowl    

Do you want me to pull your Sunday and critique that miserable performance? Or would you prefer to sit down and start listening errrr learning.  here let me go find some of my winners for you.  
Sorry you dont like my posts on all my winners.  I am here to have fun and enjoy writing story posts.  My real Job picking winners and interpreting odds/lines is boring, and I hate going to the theater.

again best of luck to ya. you need it. 

Here is your week 15 screw ups.  C- at best, after losing the night game I should give you a D. But we like to graduate our students,  graduation rate is key to our success  UBS University.   LOL someday.  Cheaper tution

 My advice to you in week 15,  do you notice your picks since have been odd numbers.  LOL bless his heart.  Good student grass hopper. berry good.  Now the half point business      


so trendy, but I love your tights.  Need to do something with the hair. Like Balt. Dude, you should know better then that.  Sometimes I just dont know what to do with you.  That was just silly.  Cute, but silly.
Night Toots , And try working in Odd #s on your picks.  Even # picks are asking for 50/50, which means you lose.

1.3.5 and when the stars align 7. But those days should be rare unless including college bets.
Thus, you shall either be a winner or a loser on the day, but sister kissing and paying the man juice, aint part of the gig.  It least not for those who know how to bet.

Class dismissed.  Carry on and please try to hit the dart board.

LOL   hahah  this place is funny.

OK new thread amature hour       clouds the picks  when you BS stuff Vanzack, now get in your bed.

I haven't tailed Van since week 15, that was a disaster. 

His picks put me into a chapter 13 bankruptcy. 

I will be putting the Packers into all 27 of my teaser plays this weeks, I feel a bounce back.

Best of Luck everyone 

@undermysac

 LOL  I have ALWAYS LIKED YOU.     save a couple eggs. GL this week sac

@vanzack @undermysac

Just having fun.

I hope your plays work out for you