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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    A pit boss in Vegas once told me watch out for 5 point spreads

    12 Next Last»
    Zman55
    CalBear
    HutchEmAll
    Capt_CoverPants
    bpickin
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    12 Next Last»
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:45 PM ET #1

    I didn't know what he was talking about but he said when a team is getting 5 to take them has anyone ever heard of this before?
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I didn't know what he was talking about but he said when a team is getting 5 to take them has anyone ever heard of this before?
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:46 PM ET #2

    For football that is
    Reply
    For football that is
     
    CalBear
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:48 PM ET #3

    I've heard -5 is a sucker bet but the numbers I've researched don't validate this. Nonetheless, I m on Dallas tomorrow 
    Reply
    I've heard -5 is a sucker bet but the numbers I've researched don't validate this. Nonetheless, I m on Dallas tomorrow 
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:50 PM ET #4

    BBQ pit > Pit Boss

    I'd take his advice with a grain of salt.  
    Reply
    BBQ pit > Pit Boss

    I'd take his advice with a grain of salt.  
     
    Capt_CoverPants
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:50 PM ET #5

    gb - 6 fool
    Reply
    gb - 6 fool
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:53 PM ET #6

    yup. Obviously not always but a very good tip he gave you there.
    Reply
    yup. Obviously not always but a very good tip he gave you there.
     
    saigonbynight
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:55 PM ET #7

    5.5 now but nba -5 barely covered yesterday
    Reply
    5.5 now but nba -5 barely covered yesterday
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:56 PM ET #8

    Numbers ranging from 3.5 to 5.5
    Reply
    Numbers ranging from 3.5 to 5.5
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:57 PM ET #9

    Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky 
    Reply
    Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky 
     
    Capt_CoverPants
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2015 - 11:59 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Zman55:

    Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky 

    gb has eddie lacy. who is not great but decent. the defense is shaky but but so is romo in the pocket who get attacked by clay
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Zman55:

    Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky 

    gb has eddie lacy. who is not great but decent. the defense is shaky but but so is romo in the pocket who get attacked by clay
     
    mafia13
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:00 AM ET #11

    GB 
    Reply
    GB 
     
    stats1
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:00 AM ET #12

    Lacy = no run game 
    Reply
    Lacy = no run game 
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:01 AM ET #13

    What's the deal with Rodgers? Is he hurt ?
    Reply
    What's the deal with Rodgers? Is he hurt ?
     
    Dolphan
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:03 AM ET #14

    Not sure the point he was trying to make but I can tell you that I keep track of all the dogs each week that win SU and it's staggering how many dogs that cover win SU. And its funny because it seems as if the ones that win outright the most are the ones in the +4 to +6 range.
    It's so hard to Take the ML on a dog as your normal play instead of the points though. Normally you'd play the points for like 4 units and then the ML for 1 unit (as an example) but if we had the balls to lay the 4 units on the ML at +200 or so it would likely pay off much better in the long run because if that dog loses SU it usually doesn't cover ATS either 
    Reply
    Not sure the point he was trying to make but I can tell you that I keep track of all the dogs each week that win SU and it's staggering how many dogs that cover win SU. And its funny because it seems as if the ones that win outright the most are the ones in the +4 to +6 range.
    It's so hard to Take the ML on a dog as your normal play instead of the points though. Normally you'd play the points for like 4 units and then the ML for 1 unit (as an example) but if we had the balls to lay the 4 units on the ML at +200 or so it would likely pay off much better in the long run because if that dog loses SU it usually doesn't cover ATS either 
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:04 AM ET #15

    I also feel like the nfl is all about perception, like Dallas didnt look good vs Det so everyone thinks they suck and how Carolina beat zona so people thought they were good, throw in the fixed factor the nfl would rather have the cowgirls advance the. Gb.  Oh btw I'm an Eagles fan
    Reply
    I also feel like the nfl is all about perception, like Dallas didnt look good vs Det so everyone thinks they suck and how Carolina beat zona so people thought they were good, throw in the fixed factor the nfl would rather have the cowgirls advance the. Gb.  Oh btw I'm an Eagles fan
     
    smarterthanyou
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:04 AM ET #16

    what does a pit boss have to do with sportsbooks?
    Reply
    what does a pit boss have to do with sportsbooks?
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:06 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Dolphan:

    Not sure the point he was trying to make but I can tell you that I keep track of all the dogs each week that win SU and it's staggering how many dogs that cover win SU. And its funny because it seems as if the ones that win outright the most are the ones in the +4 to +6 range.
    It's so hard to Take the ML on a dog as your normal play instead of the points though. Normally you'd play the points for like 4 units and then the ML for 1 unit (as an example) but if we had the balls to lay the 4 units on the ML at +200 or so it would likely pay off much better in the long run because if that dog loses SU it usually doesn't cover ATS either 

    Good to know
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Dolphan:

    Not sure the point he was trying to make but I can tell you that I keep track of all the dogs each week that win SU and it's staggering how many dogs that cover win SU. And its funny because it seems as if the ones that win outright the most are the ones in the +4 to +6 range.
    It's so hard to Take the ML on a dog as your normal play instead of the points though. Normally you'd play the points for like 4 units and then the ML for 1 unit (as an example) but if we had the balls to lay the 4 units on the ML at +200 or so it would likely pay off much better in the long run because if that dog loses SU it usually doesn't cover ATS either 

    Good to know
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:08 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by smarterthanyou:

    what does a pit boss have to do with sportsbooks?

    Turns out he knew a lot about sports and betting on them, I guess that's what happens if you work at a casino for 30 years, 

     since the sports book is run by a 3rd party and employees can't affect the outcome of the results they are allowed to bet at the casinos book, this guy was putting in bets right on his phone while we were talking
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smarterthanyou:

    what does a pit boss have to do with sportsbooks?

    Turns out he knew a lot about sports and betting on them, I guess that's what happens if you work at a casino for 30 years, 

     since the sports book is run by a 3rd party and employees can't affect the outcome of the results they are allowed to bet at the casinos book, this guy was putting in bets right on his phone while we were talking
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:13 AM ET #19

    PERCEPTION my man PERCEPTION. You said it. 
    Reply
    PERCEPTION my man PERCEPTION. You said it. 
     
    JoeD2123
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:17 AM ET #20

    GB -6
    DEN -7 & OVR 54 
    Reply
    GB -6
    DEN -7 & OVR 54 
     
    Skipster
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 12:33 AM ET #21

    the 5.5 OPENING line is very squirrelly, in my experience.
    Reply
    the 5.5 OPENING line is very squirrelly, in my experience.
     
    Capt_CoverPants
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 1:13 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by stats1:

    Lacy = no run game 

    ya big dummy
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by stats1:

    Lacy = no run game 

    ya big dummy
     
    Capt_CoverPants
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 1:13 PM ET #23

    [Quote: Originally Posted by Zman55] Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky  [/Quote>

    turn on ur 22 inch tv
    Reply
    [Quote: Originally Posted by Zman55] Just throwing it out there, I think Dallas wins straight up, GB has no run game and the defense is shaky  [/Quote>

    turn on ur 22 inch tv
     
    BigJohn96
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 1:21 PM ET #24

    You don't know what your talking about....

    Gb no run game.....Rodgers health.....pit boss from where, some cheesy Indian casino out in the boondocks....

    Come man/boy stop writing threads you know nothing about!
    Reply
    You don't know what your talking about....

    Gb no run game.....Rodgers health.....pit boss from where, some cheesy Indian casino out in the boondocks....

    Come man/boy stop writing threads you know nothing about!
     
     
    Zman55
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 4:47 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by BigJohn96:

    You don't know what your talking about....

    Gb no run game.....Rodgers health.....pit boss from where, some cheesy Indian casino out in the boondocks....

    Come man/boy stop writing threads you know nothing about!

    Pit boss from the MGM grand, and oh boy dont you look real stupid right now LOLOL
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigJohn96:

    You don't know what your talking about....

    Gb no run game.....Rodgers health.....pit boss from where, some cheesy Indian casino out in the boondocks....

    Come man/boy stop writing threads you know nothing about!

    Pit boss from the MGM grand, and oh boy dont you look real stupid right now LOLOL
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