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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #1651

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET.... Jaguars driving on 2nd poss....no score......   JAGS +8.5 -400 alt-line   LIVE BET #2.....JAGS score.... 8 - 0.....JAGS +5.5 -275 alt-line Bills D suffering 2 onfield injuries early....already missing both starting corners! LIVE BET:  Jags lead 8 -0 ...after forcing Bills 3 and out again....Jags ball own end 1st half JAGS -400

 

JAGS driving again over mid-field....BILLS D hurting!

LIVE BET for game:   JAGS +3.5 -334

 
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Posted: #1652

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET.... Jaguars driving on 2nd poss....no score......   JAGS +8.5 -400 alt-line   LIVE BET #2.....JAGS score.... 8 - 0.....JAGS +5.5 -275 alt-line Bills D suffering 2 onfield injuries early....already missing both starting corners! LIVE BET:  Jags lead 8 -0 ...after forcing Bills 3 and out again....Jags ball own end 1st half JAGS -400   JAGS driving again over mid-field....BILLS D hurting! LIVE BET for game:   JAGS +3.5 -334

 

JAGS up 11 - 0

BILLS finally get their first 1st down as the 1Q expires.... an_getaway

 
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Posted: #1653

After Bills TD drive, as we approach HT break....

JAGS lead shrinks to 11 - 7

- # of poss are EVEN at 5 each (discount empty kneeldown drives ending a half)
- no turnovers yet
- no "lucky breaks" yet
- pens are near even

- First downs: Jags 10 - Bills 7
- Net yds: Jags 180 - Bills 140
- Lengthy drives: Jags 2 - Bills 1
- YPP stat: Jags 5.8 - Bills 5.2

BUFFY gets ball to start 2nd half

 
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Posted: #1654

Jags add to those stats above with one last poss to end the half, so they have one extra poss on the game....(I ignore kneeldown possessions)

Bills benefit BIGLY from first "LUCKY BREAK" of the game with a fumble recovery at their own 12, saving at least 3 points

JAGS up 11 - 7.....but Bills off. feeling energized now.....

Perfect for me would be if the BILLS win by 3, 2, or 1  an_popcorn

 

1 - 0 so far today with 1st half winner on JAGS

 
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Posted: #1655

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Jags add to those stats above with one last poss to end the half, so they have one extra poss on the game....(I ignore kneeldown possessions) Bills benefit BIGLY from first "LUCKY BREAK" of the game with a fumble recovery at their own 12, saving at least 3 points JAGS up 11 - 7.....but Bills off. feeling energized now..... Perfect for me would be if the BILLS win by 3, 2, or 1    1 - 0 so far today with 1st half winner on JAGS

Another "LUCKY BREAK" for Bills....with UNforced error, when snap was high to Lawrence causing a 19 yard loss and out of FG range.....

But Bills pushed way back to their own 10.....another Bills punt is coming soon.....

 
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Posted: #1656

Bengals star DE, Hendrickson, appears healthy and good to go, for the Rumble in the Desert.....though I still feel good about Cards chances here.....NO guarantees of course, but they are very competitive, and have a great shot to at least keep this close...

 
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Posted: #1657

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Another "LUCKY BREAK" for Bills....with UNforced error, when snap was high to Lawrence causing a 19 yard loss and out of FG range..... But Bills pushed way back to their own 10.....another Bills punt is coming soon.....

Yet ANOTHER really fortunate break for the BILLS on a strip sack in the RZ....

3 lucky breaks for Bills vs 0 for JAGS.....albeit we should remember the JAGS should benefit from BILLS losing 2 key defenders to game ending injury, and those can be "lucky breaks" too

BTW,  Bills only have to face the Giants next week...

 
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Posted: #1658

JAGS INT at their own 8 is  NOT  a "lucky break"

They would have been better off just knocking the pass down on 3rd down!

 
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Posted: #1659

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

JAGS INT at their own 8 is  NOT  a "lucky break" They would have been better off just knocking the pass down on 3rd down!

BILLS D  really hurting for injuries!!!   BAD news......OY! an_speechless paint_help

Easy TD for JAGS against a patchwork D......

Bills won't comeback and win this.....

Onto the early pm games....

 
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Posted: #1660

Loss  Commandos -295
W    Bears -130           *BEST BET


Loss  Buffalo -245
W    1st half JAGS -400 LIVE
W    JAGS +8.5 -400 alt-line LIVE
W    JAGS +5.5 -275 alt-line LIVE
W    JAGS +3.5 -334 LIVE

 
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Posted: #1661

GL today peace_5peaceclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #1662

Great job Fubah you are one of the best!moneybag

 
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Posted: #1663

Still pending Sunday from Oct.02 post....

Lions -425
Dolphins -450        *BEST BET
Ravens -213


Cardinals +4 -150 alt-line *BEST BET
RAMS +7.5 -190 alt-line   *BEST BET
Vikings +8 -190 alt-line

Added RAMS +4.5 -110 alt-line
Added Cardinals +3.5 -138 alt-line

 
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Posted: #1664

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #1665

moneybag

 
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Posted: #1666

 Loss  Commandos -295
W    Bears -130             *BEST BET

 Loss  Buffalo -245
W    1st half JAGS -400 LIVE
W    JAGS +8.5 -400 alt-line LIVE
W    JAGS +5.5 -275 alt-line LIVE
W    JAGS +3.5 -334 LIVE

W    Lions -425
W    Dolphins -450           *BEST BET
Loss  Ravens -213

 

   Still pending Sunday from Oct.02 post....

   Cardinals +4 -150 alt-line *BEST BET
   RAMS +7.5 -190 alt-line   *BEST BET
   Vikings +8 -190 alt-line

   RAMS +4.5 -110 alt-line
   Cardinals +3.5 -138 alt-line

 

paint_help  KELCE appears to be seriously injured and OUT for KC! Break for Vikes.

 
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Posted: #1667

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

KELCE appears to be seriously injured and OUT for KC! Break for Vikes.

Well what doyaknow, Kelce was a false alarm (I guess) because he now seems to be fine

 
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Posted: #1668

Wow!  What stadium are the RAMS playing in??

It sounds like there are waaaaaaay more cheering for the  EAGLES  confused

 

Well, a loss is a loss.....EAGLES showed up today playing at their peak best from what I saw.

 
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Posted: #1669

Its not kelce didnt play week 1.  Previous injuries was already there.  Probably hurt just pushing through it for this game.

 
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Posted: #1670

Meanwhile,

Joe Burrow, unexpectedly, is having a near CAREER DAY!

....while his counterpart, Joshua Dobbs, who has surprised most this season, is having "one of those days" - with a big dropoff in his performance....51% completion percentaage,  only 1 yard with his legs,  throws 2 INTs......bad day......unexpected.....

 

I will be absorbing 4 losing bets this afternoon from the current games in progress

 
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Posted: #1671

Quote Originally Posted by Ppkay:

Its not kelce didnt play week 1.  Previous injuries was already there.  Probably hurt just pushing through it for this game.

Yeah.  Got to hand it to the man for toughing it out and still playing at such a high level

 
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Posted: #1672

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Meanwhile, Joe Burrow, unexpectedly, is having a near CAREER DAY! ....while his counterpart, Joshua Dobbs, who has surprised most this season, is having "one of those days" - with a big dropoff in his performance....51% completion percentaage,  only 1 yard with his legs,  throws 2 INTs......bad day......unexpected.....  

I will be absorbing 4 losing bets this afternoon from the current games in progress

Fortunate that I wisely bet MINNESOTA with an alt-line crossing a a key number

LIVE BET, late 1stQ:   NINERS -525   *BEST BET

 
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Posted: #1673

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Meanwhile, Joe Burrow, unexpectedly, is having a near CAREER DAY! ....while his counterpart, Joshua Dobbs, who has surprised most this season, is having "one of those days" - with a big dropoff in his performance....51% completion percentaage,  only 1 yard with his legs,  throws 2 INTs......bad day......unexpected.....   I will be absorbing 4 losing bets this afternoon from the current games in progress Fortunate that I wisely bet MINNESOTA with an alt-line crossing a a key number LIVE BET, late 1stQ:   NINERS -525   *BEST BET

Adding LIVE BET, early 2ndQ shortly after Dallas "LUCKYASS" fumble recovery at goalline....

NINERS - 375   *BEST BET

 
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Posted: #1674

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Meanwhile, Joe Burrow, unexpectedly, is having a near CAREER DAY! ....while his counterpart, Joshua Dobbs, who has surprised most this season, is having "one of those days" - with a big dropoff in his performance....51% completion percentaage,  only 1 yard with his legs,  throws 2 INTs......bad day......unexpected.....   I will be absorbing 4 losing bets this afternoon from the current games in progress Fortunate that I wisely bet MINNESOTA with an alt-line crossing a a key number LIVE BET, late 1stQ:   NINERS -525   *BEST BET Adding LIVE BET, early 2ndQ shortly after Dallas "LUCKYASS" fumble recovery at goalline.... NINERS - 375   *BEST BET

 

And NINERS -1.5 -360  *BEST BET

 
 
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Posted: #1675

Early 2Q........NINERS just scored to go up 14 - 0....

LIVE BET:  NINERS -625    *BEST BET

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