🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

Also, fellas, let us keep in mind going forward in future playoff years, that we now have 17 game schedules. Meaning the stats of HALF the teams will benefit from playing one extra home game, while the other HALF must be measured against being forced to play an extra ROAD game. This is a critical consideration in my handicapping of every sport. Fictional example: two teams have identical 7 - 7 records and nearly the same pt. differential.....but the ROAD team achieved that playing 2 extra road games and the HOME team benefited from 2 extra home games - and this fortunate home team is favored -3.5. No brainer for me. The road team is likely the better team!

This year, 12 - 4 Bengals (in reg. season) only benefited from playing 7 home games against 9 on the road and despite that they still managed a very respectable +96 pts differential! Yes, the 13 - 3 Bills have a significantly higher pts differential but those stats were aided by getting to play 1 more home game than Bengals and 1 less on the road.

These two teams are very close when this is considered.

Starting defensive tackle for BILLS, DaQuan Jones, is OUT

UPDATED after Saturday, Jan 21:

I am 49 - 18 on all the bets where I am buying pts, but laying heavy chalk! 

While it might be tempting to assume heavy chalk bets are always a bad idea, this is not the case in my handicapping style (including baseball)

Meanwhile, for my bets where my chalk is -270 and higher (ML and/or Alt lines)

            ... my results so far are  40 - 3   

  Of those, a nice 32 - 3  on  designated  *BestBets 

Maybe these stats can be of some use to some cappers.

Regardless, I wish you BoL with your bets, fellas! 

What prop bets did you end up taking!

Hey Mandy!

Ahhh I got cold feet........feel like I might be pushing my luck, know the feeling?!

How about you? 

Cool!

We get Nantz and Romo!

Great team!! 

I toke Chase any way TD and Kittle over on yards and catches.

I like Joe B and the Bengals. But hard to go against Allen and the Bills.  

Damn. Those look GOOD!  

Especially now that CHASE just scored!!! LOL

Wow.  Bengal OL didn't miss a beat. 

And they will win this. 

My first loss of the post season against 14 wins.

Hats off to the Bengals though! They are going back to the AFC Championship against CHIEFS.  And they earned it!  They played 2 extra games on the road and their stats could've been much better and less deceiving.

Normally I would expect to lean to the CHIEFS ......but badly twisted ankle for Mahomes?  Nope

Tony Romo! 

Niners -195                       *Best Bet

@fubah2

Nicely done on the Bengals! Congrats.  

Good luck with this.  I think it will be a FG type game.  

Yeah....sorry for the confusion I created ...... I Copy & Pasted the WINNING bets by Raiders22 onto my page.....they weren't mine. LOL   Sorry, man.  My bad.

I bet BILLS -245 earlier and it tanked.

@fubah2

please check your PM.

You had Bengals +6 in the 1st game today, am I right?

Nah....so sorry for the confusion I created ---> I Copy & Pasted the WINNING bets by Raiders22 onto my page.....those weren't my bets. LOL   Ooooooppss  Sorry, man.  My bad.

I only posted BILLS -245 earlier      .... and it tanked.

No I have a BEST BET on niners

GL

Yeah!  a Niners win by no more than 3 pts works for us both, and my pals Europa and KellyM!

That would be ideal!
Way it looks early could be 3-0 final. Haha!

Ok, sorry my bad.

I have no problem with that.  Would be thrilling for fans.

First break goes to Niners, but not a lucky break.  Pure skill on that elevator INT.  

Purdy looks sharp early.    In LIVE BETTING, "Both teams score 10" and also score 15 prop is very tempting!  You have the over and it looks that way!  ........or not!  LOL

I was wrong on first game over and look wrong on this one. 
But those could be good props.