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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #3751

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party

Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #3752

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...   Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020] the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS     This year, Ravens  and 49ers  fall into that category. Despite that, the 49ers line has a slight move up from -9.5 to -10 in many books The Ravens beat it but the stats are the stats..... Packers lead by 7.   It's hedging time!! They are going to screw up this drive too!!!Typically there is just enough time left in the 4th Q for each team to have 2 possessions each OR the team with the ball to have 2 to 1.....Any TD by GB wins the game for sure, barring some fluke.  Any turnover by Niners would likely be the same result. LIVE BET:  team to make next score (8th), Packers -300  *BB  10u
OMG he misses a 41 yarder and this is a

BIG FAT LOSER   - 30 units! an_speechless

 
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Posted: #3753

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Well it comes down to this....2 min warning, Niners driving deep....they MUST score a TD and run down the clock in the process....

LIVE BET: NINERS -210  10 u

Well, it wasn't PURDY but they got the job done as I had initially hoped with my 3 pregame bets on SF.

Whew ...

 
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Posted: #3754

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

  

Three teasers with SF pk and one of them with SF Under 60.5, hopefully... Thanks.

@Europa peace_5

So how did you make out ma man? an_2drinks

 

 
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Posted: #3755

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:    Three teasers with SF pk and one of them with SF Under 60.5, hopefully... Thanks. @Europa So how did you make out ma man?

Small loss due to Texans' large defeat, just glad Niners PK and Under 60.5 saved my behind for the day.  

 
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Posted: #3756

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...     Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020] the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS   This year, Ravens and 49ers fall into that category.   Conversely, the visiting +8 or better dogs  [this year it's Texans and Packers] getting an avg ML of +350,  have staged 8 upsets!!

 

HOME favs of more than 4.0 but less than a full TD (LIONS!)  since 2002 (not counting covid year of course) are just 8 - 7 ATS

 
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Posted: #3757

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

and Packers]HOME favs of more than 4.0 but less than a full TD (LIONS!)  since 2002 (not counting covid year of course) are just 8 - 7 ATS

We don't see a significant ATS trend for Lions or Bucs either way, Fubah.

 
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Posted: #3758

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: and Packers]HOME favs of more than 4.0 but less than a full TD (LIONS!)  since 2002 (not counting covid year of course) are just 8 - 7 ATS We don't see a significant ATS trend for Lions or Bucs either way, Fubah.

@Europa

 Nope, not this go round, specifically at very similar spreads, no.

 

 
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Posted: #3759

GL cloveron your plays @fubah2 peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #3760

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi!

We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us.

GAME 1, Sunday
    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy....

LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u

LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u

LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u

LIONS -2 -255 *BB

 

 
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Posted: #3761

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB

we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml  an_bounce

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #3762

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB
LIVE BET: first team to score  Detroit -450 *BB 2u

 
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Posted: #3763

Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL on your plays @fubah2

 

@Macwestie1

 THANKS, Mac! peace_5  BoL with your bets too!  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #3764

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml
Mid 1stQ LIVE BET:  race to 9+ pts in 1stQ? Neither -275 2u

 
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Posted: #3765

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml Mid 1stQ LIVE BET:  race to 9+ pts in 1stQ? Neither -275 2u
early 2nd Q  LIVE BET: Detroit -250 *BB 3u

 
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Posted: #3766

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB   LIVE BET: first team to score  Detroit -450 *BB 2u
 

WINNER!  an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #3767

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml Mid 1stQ LIVE BET:  race to 9+ pts in 1stQ? Neither -275 2uearly 2nd Q  LIVE BET: Detroit -250 *BB 3u
Early 2nd Q, score still tied at 3...LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 10+ pts?  YES, -500 *BB 2u

 
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Posted: #3768

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml
First LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts)

and

Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it!an_getaway

2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TB

 
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Posted: #3769

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the mlFirst LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts) and Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it! 2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TB
Late 2Q, LIONS lead 10 - 3... LIVE BET: alt-lines UNDER 48.5 -280  3u

 
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Posted: #3770

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml Mid 1stQ LIVE BET:  race to 9+ pts in 1stQ? Neither -275 2u
WINNER!  moneybag First Q ended 3 - 3

 
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Posted: #3771

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the mlFirst LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts) and Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it! 2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TB

 

LIONS get a lucky break on a TB missed FGA hitting the upright!

 
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Posted: #3772

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the mlFirst LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts) and Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it! 2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TBLate 2Q, LIONS lead 10 - 3... LIVE BET: alt-lines UNDER 48.5 -280  3u
3Q, score tied 10 - 10 Lions ball, team to score next (5th score) BUCS -120 2u

 
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Posted: #3773

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the ml Mid 1stQ LIVE BET:  race to 9+ pts in 1stQ? Neither -275 2uearly 2nd Q  LIVE BET: Detroit -250 *BB 3uEarly 2nd Q, score still tied at 3...LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 10+ pts?  YES, -500 *BB 2u

WINNER! moneybag  with a late TD just before HT to tie the score.

 
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Posted: #3774

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the mlFirst LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts) and Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it! 2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TB

As we move into the second half I have the LIONS with a big edge in gaining lucky breaks, 3 - 0.

Also in that 1H, the Bucs outplayed  Detroit by +100 more yards and a 7.8 ypp compared with just 3.8 for the Lions an_nailbiter

 
 
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Posted: #3775

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: mgm  is  a farily nice sportsbook but  we  r thinking of rotating over to caesars for sunday games if anyone cares to join our party Yep, if you're in the area, stop by, say hi! We are settled in for another long day in front of like 30+ screens.  Eight of us today as the two wives that came with our Guard buddies who spent all day shopping yesterday have joined us. GAME 1, Sunday    I tend very strongly to favor the home teams this year and this has worked out well for me, so game 1 today is no different.  However,while I like their chances of winning  SU  I am ambivalent about trusting the LIONS to cover nearly a TD here. This may come down to fieldgoals so I am taking the alt-lines at a lower number inspite of the juice......and may God have mercy.... LIONS -270 pinnacle *BB 4u LIONS -1 - 265  *BB 3u LIONS -1.5 -260 *BB 2u LIONS -2 -255 *BB we r all on  detroit and i have my ticket on the mlFirst LUCKY BREAK today went to LIONS, with an INT at midfield (leading to 3 pts) and Second lucky break also goes to the fortunate Lions, as GOFF made a bad toss into the EZ right into the hands of a defender, who dropped it! 2 lucky breaks for Detroit. Zip for TB As we move into the second half I have the LIONS with a big edge in gaining lucky breaks, 3 - 0. Also in that 1H, the Bucs outplayed  Detroit by +100 more yards and a 7.8 ypp compared with just 3.8 for the Lions
Late 3Q, Lions lead 17 - 10 LIVE BET: team to score next (6th score)BUCS -220 5u

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