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The ABSOLUTE BIGGEST WRITE-UP for an NBA GAME I WILL HAVE ALL YEAR:My local teams! KNICKS @ NETS!!!!

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What have I given you since the start of the NFL season if you read my write-ups?

Jets +3.5 over Bucs W
Pats -13 over Jets L
Jags +27 over Denver W
Bills +2 over Jets W
Dallas +2.5 over Giants W
Dolphins +1 over Jets W

That's 5-1 ATS this year. 

What happened in the NBA this year? I laid out why I thought the Blazers would SMOKE the Suns. I told you how they had the talent to make major noise out West with a fully healthy roster. What happened? They came out flat as a pancake and I picked them in one of the few games they were blindsided on. Since then they have gone 13-5 ATS, among the best in the NBA. My loss.

If you don't think I tried to get you your money back for that one NBA game, you are out of your mind.

I am very selective. I only post when I see and edge and may not be on this site for weeks if I don't like what I see.

What I see on Thursday night is gold. And it can be yours. All you have to do is take it. I already did the digging. 

What do almost all my wins above have in common? They involve my local teams that I've followed all my life: The Knicks, Nets, Jets, and Giants.

Well this game is very special because it involves not one of my locals, but two, and I couldn't ask for anything more.

The game is Knicks @ Brooklyn and I don't care what the line is as long as the Knicks aren't favored.

I have watched the Knicks and Nets my entire life and I can tell you that what is going on in Brooklyn right now is almost unprecedented in terms of ineptitude. I've been to Knicks and Nets games too many times to count. Like the Jets and Giants, I have special reads on these teams beyond what the books 'think they know' and I'll put that knowledge up against any line of any sportsbook manager.

That puts me at an advantage and I am sharing that advantage with the board if I see one.

There is an advantage here and I am convinced the Knicks will end their 9 game losing streak in Brooklyn tomorrow.

Why?

The Knicks are not the worst team in the NBA despite their record and recent struggles. The Nets are.

I would not even bet on them to beat the Bucks or Jazz at this present time (despite beating up on the Jazz once this season, their only impressive victory margin) on the road or at home.

Yes, the Nets have 5 wins and that means almost nothing given how this team has played in their past few games, especially at home. Their lone impressive win this season against a quality opponent came against the Heat with a fully healthy Nets squad at home. Every player on the team contributed in that game from the first starter to the last bench player and that was the only game that resulted in an impressive win. That was also the first game at home in Brooklyn since the ultimate embarrassment: the loss to the Bulls in the first round in game 7 last year. The place was rocking and the Nets gave everything they had and put up their most complete effort of the season. They won by a single point.

Forget the recent win at Memphis (no Gasol, no Zach). The Grizzlies couldn't beat anyone on that night and losing to the Nets proved it. The Nets won against the Suns and Raptors by a basket each, one coming at the buzzer of all buzzers on a JJ layup in Phoenix.

So three of their 5 wins came by a combined 5 points (yes, 3 of the five victories were as thin as a spider web strand) and then they beat a completely depleted Memphis team and maybe the only team worse than them (at that time but no longer), the Jazz by 14.

The losses have come in bunches on the road and at home but let's focus on how they've done at home since the Knicks will be visiting.

How are they doing at home after the Jazz home win?

Lost to the Nuggets by 24! (At HOME!)
Lost to the lousy Lakers by 5
Lost to the Pistons by 12!
Lost to the Blazers by 10
Lost to the Pacers by 5

That's an average losing margin of 11.2 ppg at home, in their last 5. That is unfathomable for a team that was supposed to contend for the Eastern Conference Championship and solidifies the statement they are the worst in the league. Let's not quibble over the Bucks and Jazz being worse. That is not the point of this post.

Now you ask, why are the Nets in such a free fall?

Injuries have something to do with it. No Deron. Brook was out during some of those games. Pierce has a broken hand now. Kirelenko is out indefinitely. ALL of those players mean something to this team. Only Brook is back (and Deron's status is doubtful for Thursday).

Because of these injuries, guys like Tyshawn Taylor and Alan Anderson are STARTING and getting significant minutes. Do you know who they are? Doesn't matter. I do. They are nice pieces as 10th 11th and 12th men, NOT starters. Never in my wildest dreams did I think these guys would be starting at any time after we traded with Boston. Well here it is right before me. They were starting against the Nuggets and got crushed.


 
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Posted: #2
So the Nets have the injury bug, but you knew that.

But now comes the second layer of explanation for this woeful futility the Nets are showing night in, night out.


The Lawrence Frank fallout

By now you've probably heard that Lawrence has been 'reassigned within the organization' to other duties. In a nutshell, that means doing desk work and staying far away from the players and other coaches. He recently hired a lawyer and is on his way to a buyout.

Do you know why he wasn't fired, something every other team in the NBA would do in this situation with an assistant coach?

Because he is the highest paid assistant in the HISTORY of the NBA making $1 million per year for six years with an extra million due to compensation owed form the Pistons. Yes, a six year contract for an assistant.  

Now let me give you a little history of who Lawrence Frank is. He is NOT your typical assistant. 

I was behind the bench for many Net games when he was an assistant to Byron Scott and a head coach for the Nets. He is THE X's and O's guy on the team. He is so good at what he does, Byron NEVER drew up plays. The team would have crucial time-outs in the playoffs vs. the NBA's best and Lawrence would be the guy making the call as to what the Nets should run. I watched it too many times with my own eyes. He knows offense and defense. He is extremely well-prepared, knowledgeable, and earned his way to a head-coaching job with the Nets and Pistons and found some success. He was an assistant on Celtics and would have had the job if Doc retired. Doc Rivers wanted him to come to the Clippers and he chose the Nets job instead (but mainly because he has an ill spouse in NJ).

Why does this all matter?

It matters because, during the Nets two finals runs, Lawrence was the de facto coach for Kidd when he was a PG. 

Kidd loved him so much, Lawrence was the first name that was mentioned when Kidd was hired to coach the team. 

Kidd quotes Lawrence as saying, "The staff and me have to feed you every day. And then you have to digest it."

Why would he say that to the media before the start of training camp? 

Because everything was rosy, Frank was Kidd's trusted confidant and Kidd knew he would learn on the job from a dependable proven assistant mastermind, and if worse came to worse, Frank could just call the plays.

Well continuous losing results in mutiny and recently they had a falling out.
 
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Posted: #3
Kidd is known as a coach killer (it is well known among Nets fans he had Byron removed), and now he is an assistant coach killer.

Whatever wasn't working was put on the shoulders of Frank and now he is effectively gone.

So they scapegoated him and now everything will turn around, right?

Wrong. Getting rid of Frank was the WORST thing the Nets could have done and it will ONLY get worse from here. Was Kidd being undermined? Doesn't matter for this game. The Nets will lose because of it. Essentially the Nets were coached by much of his O and D philosophy and now there will be a new learning curve, which results in even more losses than they already have.

Proof? A 24 point a** whipping from Denver last night at home in Frank's first game off the job.

This is Kidd's team now. He is quoted as saying they will run things 'my way.' Ok, well you can pull that Frank Sinatra line out of your back pocket all you want but it may accompany a pink slip if the Nets don't turn it around fast.

I can tell you I've watched the darkest days of the Nets and this team is completely out of sync on both sides of the ball. They may be able to put up a nice half, but there is no way they can manage 4 quarters of quality basketball. It's almost "Bobcat-esque" (the Bobcats of yesteryear that is, teams that were beyond bad after Larry Brown left) where guys are just standing around on offense waiting for Joe Johnson to ISO and shoot and on D opposing players are flying past broken down defenses for monster jams that look like an AND1 game nevermind a pro basketball game.

You counter with: "Oh, but the Nets will GET UP for the Knicks if anyone! Kidd wants to win that game badly!" 

Save it. He doesn't have the players, he doesn't have the coaches and he doesn't even have a solid system in place to do anything right now.

The Nets have FLAMED OUT in Brooklyn in big spots before. Just look at last year's game 7. Now they have essentially a new coach with the de facto coach out.

So that's the story for why you CANNOT bet the Nets on Thursday.

What about the Knicks? What is the case for why you should bet the Knicks.

They are in a freefall right now. They have lost 9 in a row and have only won 3 games on the season.

But let's look at their last 3 games:

80-93 loss @ the Clippers - Competitive the entire game until a 12 point 4th quarter flameout.

97-95 loss @ the Nuggets - came back from a 9 point deficit with 1:43 left and had missed a shot to tie it.

103-99 loss to the Pelicans - Lead late in the 4th until a flameout. 

The first two losses were on the tail end of a very rough west coast trip that started with the red hot Blazers and they still mustered enough to come within a basket of tying it in Denver.

The Pelicans, although deemed average, went out the next night and won a triple overtime game in Chicago. They can ball. Anthony Davis went down in the Knicks game and it appeared, as we all know too well, to motivate them after their star went down.

The Knicks should have ended this losing streak against the Pelicans and I believe they would have if Davis had not gone down sparking the other players.

That leaves us with the game tonight to take advantage of.

This is now Kidd's team. Remember he'd love to beat his former team. The problem is that he's no longer on the court. The Knicks players are. Who then is in control of burning the other? It's not JKidd.

The lines have actually moved against the Knicks in the past 3 games from their opening number with the public looking for the losing streak to end and I expect the same thing to happen here so jump on this game early.
 
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Posted: #4
The main problem with the Knicks is that they have no center after Chandler went down. This means Brook will get his points but I see enough on the Knicks, including ex-Net, Kenyon Martin stepping up on both sides of the ball to burn his former team and end this misery.

Felton is getting healthier every game. 

While there was a falling out between Iman and Carmelo last game, the Knicks have had a FULL FOUR DAYS to let this loss stew and patch up that disagreement. Beating the Nets is one thing everyone on the Knicks can agree on. 

Woodson, who is on the hot seat, has said practices are crisper than he has seen during the other 9 games. That is to be expected and is not breaking news.

They are playing Brooklyn in Brooklyn and will always carry a chip on their shoulder knowing the billionaire across the way tried to outspend a capped Dolan and is failing miserably. A loss to the Knicks will deepen that wound.

A footnote: Will Deron Williams be on the court for this game? Doesn't matter. He's not good in these return spots. It takes him several games to get back into a flow so if he does it will only help the spread. Right now he is listed as doubtful.

So what are the footnotes to all the above:

1. Nets just got rid of their de facto head coach and Kidd, at the moment, is a terrible coach.

2. Nets just lost Pierce and are down to 11th and 12th men as starters.

3. Knicks, although mired in a 9 game losing streak are on the upswing in terms of their past few games in tough spots and want nothing more than to end this before it gets to double digits. Brooklyn is the one and only place to do that (Knicks just had a close loss in Denver and Nets just got waxed by Denver at home).

4. Nets just gave their head coach a green light to do as he pleases by eating a 6-year multimillion dollar deal of an assistant while the Knicks coach has never had a glare hotter than the one he has now. Who would be more motivated at the moment?

5. Knicks have a MAJOR losing streak that might become record breaking if it doesn't end ASAP and the Nets just won IN Memphis. Who will be working harder every possession?


I don't write these threads for my own satisfaction. 

I write them for the board.

The Knicks are going to win this game.

If someone hands you gold, do you take it?

That's up to you. 

But these spots to not come about often, especially for my write-ups where BOTH of my locals are going head to head in a unique spot.

The choice is yours.

The line is Nets -1 at the moment and hit the ML fast because all the public remembers is that Denver game and that was a game that was the Nets of old crystalized into the Nets of new. It could end up Knicks -1 when all is said and done. Don't wait for a bad spot and take a good one when you see it.

THE PICK:

KNICKS ML over Nets
 
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Posted: #5
Damn, I didn't think I typed THAT much...


 
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Posted: #6
Was with you on Miami last weekend, you're the man. Definetly agree with you. It opened at Knicks +1, this is crazy value. Gonna be a big bet for me, GL
 
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Posted: #7
Well this is officially the biggest write-up I have EVER done and I don't think I'll top it in the near future, if ever. 

Enjoy.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by theKINGdanny:

Was with you on Miami last weekend, you're the man. Definetly agree with you. It opened at Knicks +1, this is crazy value. Gonna be a big bet for me, GL

You can't read that fast 

But you are on the right side!
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


You can't read that fast 

But you are on the right side!


I wrote my reply after only your first post, didn't think you had anything more to write but I already agreed after the first part.
 
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Posted: #10
Love the Ink......




 
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Posted: #11
Mate what is your NBA record this year? I love your threads because you offer in depth analysis. You were spot on with Miami on Sunday. And most of your opponents attack you personally or throw insults rather than challenge the analysis that leads to your pick. If anyone can do that I might lay off. But I bet they don't!

BOL
 
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Quote Originally Posted by theKINGdanny:



I wrote my reply after only your first post, didn't think you had anything more to write but I already agreed after the first part.

Apologies. I did take a little while to post after that.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

Love the Ink......





My ink is to tattoo message boards. And I can ink with the best of em...
 
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Posted: #14
I love the play. Nets are starting to be the garbage of the NBA with Kidd the coach.


 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

Mate what is your NBA record this year? I love your threads because you offer in depth analysis. You were spot on with Miami on Sunday. And most of your opponents attack you personally or throw insults rather than challenge the analysis that leads to your pick. If anyone can do that I might lay off. But I bet they don't!

BOL

Not good especially the Blazers foul up. 

But I concentrated on the NFL to make up for that and any reader has benefited greatly if they trusted me after that. 

This is a new day and a new post.

The Knicks will win this game. 
 
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Posted: #16
I have been eyeing on this game for sure. Way way overdue for a win. And the opponent is the team from the same town? Great recipe. We will be on the same side, scala. Bol to us and thanks for the labour.
 
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Posted: #17
I agree with you scal. Fantastic write up. I know many people fade I and come in and talk garbage but ur analysis wrong or write is always great conversation.  I saw Knicks open at -1 and now are a plus one dog. ML it is. Miami only -4.5 vs the bulls... In die hard chi fan but I don't think they can compete tomorrow. It will be physical like always but I will prolly be on the 4. Or ML there as well
 
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Posted: #18
Great write up...definately the Knicks is the play. I just saw the last games and I can tell you at the moment, the Nets are just as bad, as their record is. The Knicks are a better team, than the record wants to tell us for sure. In this is their chance, to beat their strek, to beat JKidd and to beat their loacal rival. If they win, nobody will talk about their losing skid, but just about the Knicks being the presidents of New York Basketball!

Knicks with netter Team right now and the better attitude by far!
 
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Posted: #19
I'm sold. Great work. Thanks. 
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by mikeru3:

I love the play. Nets are starting to be the garbage of the NBA with Kidd the coach.



They are the worst team in the NBA at the moment imo. Won't end up that way but all we need to worry about is right now.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by SeoulCapper:

I have been eyeing on this game for sure. Way way overdue for a win. And the opponent is the team from the same town? Great recipe. We will be on the same side, scala. Bol to us and thanks for the labour.

Not a problem. Always willing to provide it to defend a pick if necessary.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by swanman87:

I agree with you scal. Fantastic write up. I know many people fade I and come in and talk garbage but ur analysis wrong or write is always great conversation.  I saw Knicks open at -1 and now are a plus one dog. ML it is. Miami only -4.5 vs the bulls... In die hard chi fan but I don't think they can compete tomorrow. It will be physical like always but I will prolly be on the 4. Or ML there as well

Thanks! 

Wow. 4.5 huh?

Honestly I won't have any other plays tomorrow outside of this one large play but that is an interesting line, however tempting.
 
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Posted: #23
I gotta say, this is what people pay for.  

Win or lose, excellent write-up and good luck!


 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by kh00:

Great write up...definately the Knicks is the play. I just saw the last games and I can tell you at the moment, the Nets are just as bad, as their record is. The Knicks are a better team, than the record wants to tell us for sure. In this is their chance, to beat their strek, to beat JKidd and to beat their loacal rival. If they win, nobody will talk about their losing skid, but just about the Knicks being the presidents of New York Basketball!

Knicks with netter Team right now and the better attitude by far!

Well said. And when will you have 4 days rest for your cross city rivals again? Never...except now.
 
 
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 GL. 
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