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NBA WED 031109 early thoughts - value hunting

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by Forty7:

Two points for me. 
 
 
None of these intial plays are slams, but half the lines are due out in an hour.
 
NBA League pass  (MLB too)  if you have to watch what you bet...rest of the season every game  $99 on cable

you got something in mond forty???  something you're waiting for???  don't hold out on us now. 
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by highside107:


Ax - what do you and/or Chump bet in baseball? Totals only... or sides as well?

I do a lot of dogging and some totals in situations.  I'm not sure what Chump's angle is...can't wait to find out!  You any good?  Wouldn't mind picking up a thing or two. 
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by morefun:

bro ax, accept me pare add na kita,

thanks,

by the im confused, ano ba yung POD mo?

thanks

sure thing bro and I don't have anything solid yet...I have to rehit the board to find somethng with a little cushion.

btw, homie, we don't want to alienate our non-tagalog speaking borthers.  thanks man...salamat...
 
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Posted: #104
gl on all your plays tonight, ax
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


I do a lot of dogging and some totals in situations.  I'm not sure what Chump's angle is...can't wait to find out!  You any good?  Wouldn't mind picking up a thing or two. 

Nah, not especially good so looking to learn a thing or two as well.  I typically play only totals though -- mainly focused on Unders.

And nope, I'm not a Clippers fan but watch their games every now and then since it's always on TV.  I'm a Warriors fan which is pretty much just as bad though
 
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Posted: #106
AX- what are your feelings on Turcs 76ers under tonight? its at 201.5 now
 
thanks
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by FlippaCoin:

Right on the money, yet again!!!
Thank you, Ax.




we try flippa, it's like pulling teeth but we try.  it's hard when the books refuse to cooperate.  yeah, I know we didn't get the number we were hoping for and NOH dropped like a brick overnight...everything happens for a reason...the economy of the board will dictate

the positive side to a big drop anywhere on the board is that it does affect the economy of the board.  big money is needed to move big numbers, yes we know that.  this creates a great poaching opportunity for us if we can find where that money created the value number.  There's only so much money that is spent on the board at any given night.  We know this because 'real' players have set limits on their bankroll.  If that money is heavily invested on one game (to move big numbers), there isn't enough money to move lines elswhere...and the books are guessing just like we are (except for the NBA of course since I've read in so many threads that it's fixed).  The great news is that it's easier to know what is the 'wrong' number and what is 'right'.  once we spot this out of whack number, the books are in trouble.  oh yeah, the public ain't really got enough money to seriously affect numbers unless all of the public is on it.  the public's facination with certain teams are already built into the number so not much help there.

oh crap...ranting again.  oh well..please skip if not interested..
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by chasing2day:

gl on all your plays tonight, ax

thanks chase...you too pal
 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by highside107:


Nah, not especially good so looking to learn a thing or two as well.  I typically play only totals though -- mainly focused on Unders.

And nope, I'm not a Clippers fan but watch their games every now and then since it's always on TV.  I'm a Warriors fan which is pretty much just as bad though

ouch...you know you can always jump on the LakeShow bandwagon.  
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by ILOVE2BETCASH:

AX- what are your feelings on Turcs 76ers under tonight? its at 201.5 now
 
thanks

one of the games I'm going to put some time into today...I'll let ya know in a few...hey, he's hot right?  the guy can cap unders...hats off.
 
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Posted: #111
Ax - good day,
 
Are your lines out - mine are?
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by burnetto57:

Ax - good day,
 
Are your lines out - mine are?

oh yeah...and I have my shppong cart going down each aisle...
 
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Posted: #113
Hey AX let me throw one at you
 
Denv/Ok City under, I'm starting to look at this will track public % during the day
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


Thank you..

 no, no, no...Ax only posts in the NBA forum.  I cannot, and will not post a system to the public and have it linked to me.  I will share with anyone that wants it but the money management part of this is complicated because of the money lines.  I don't want people blaming me for not using it correctly.  Hope you understand where I'm coming from.  

Damn..I did it again...no more hockey talk. 


Sorry bro, I completely understand where you're coming from. I was just hoping to save you a little time/work, as I know your expertise is high in demand!
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by grindstone:

Hey AX let me throw one at you
 
Denv/Ok City under, I'm starting to look at this will track public % during the day

Sure thing...caveat...don't put too much weight on their recent play.  btw...thanks for keeping us up to date with the public %...it does help.

still shopping..
 
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Posted: #116
Didn't get any of the numbers I wanted
 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


Sure thing...caveat...don't put too much weight on their recent play.  btw...thanks for keeping us up to date with the public %...it does help.

still shopping..

Let me know if ever you need up to date public% bets. Love to help out

 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


you got something in mond forty???  something you're waiting for???  don't hold out on us now. 

 

Too soon and i am still looking into the NCAA,  but UJ and AH looks the best.  UJ is playing great ball, but coming to Atlanta is a challenge.  BTB makes it worse  Atlanta shut down NOH. 

 

But too soon

 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by canuckfan77:



Sorry bro, I completely understand where you're coming from. I was just hoping to save you a little time/work, as I know your expertise is high in demand!

Yeah man, it's all good, I know your intent was in the right place...thanks bro...enjoy that system bro...it was good to me.  

ALERT : I think March 15th is a big day for that system...I remember having that circled for soe reason.  Hmmm if you guys had a chance to work out the sched, I really think that's a good day...



 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:

Didn't get any of the numbers I wanted

I am with you...I just looked at my ENTIRE notes for today's board and guess what

11 games and NO PLAY 

frustrating...
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by grindstone:

Let me know if ever you need up to date public% bets. Love to help out


count on it pal...throw it out there when we start discussing certain games...I'd be curious where the Public is on NY/DET & BOS/MIA (I know, I said I wasn't even going to look at this but the board is slim pickins).

Thanks brother
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by grindstone:

Let me know if ever you need up to date public% bets. Love to help out



Same here, if grindstone isn't available, I'll be glad to post numbers too.

JCWhy....
you called that utah under at 194 to 196. 
and it comes out to 195.5  
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


Yeah man, it's all good, I know your intent was in the right place...thanks bro...enjoy that system bro...it was good to me.  

ALERT : I think March 15th is a big day for that system...I remember having that circled for soe reason.  Hmmm if you guys had a chance to work out the sched, I really think that's a good day...



i actually worked it out last night. Circle these on you calenders

March 14

TB 3/4 in flor

Car 3/4 in Wash

March 15

NYI 3/4 in chic

Mar 19

Wash 3/4 in TB

 

 

 
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Posted: #124
yo ax is there somewhre u post final plays? cause this thread always has 90 pages by gametime,,,maybe can u put them on your covers space? thanks bro...
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by Forty7:

 

Too soon and i am still looking into the NCAA,  but UJ and AH looks the best.  UJ is playing great ball, but coming to Atlanta is a challenge.  BTB makes it worse  Atlanta shut down NOH. 

 

But too soon


yeah, getting mixed signals on this one...going to dig deep for a compelling argument
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