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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    NBA Totals - Wednesday 3-7-12

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    rlawson
    LuckiePussieCat
    Saekopsycho
    WageDiscipline
    philly387
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    rlawson
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 10:58 AM ET #1

    YTD (Overall): 45-27 / 62.5% (+35.6)

    4 Unit Bets: (3-0)

    3 Unit Bets: (2-1)

    2 Unit Bets: (15-5)

    1 Unit Bets: (25-21)

    Yesterday's Thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101289059

    Today's Lines / Mine (Actual):

    Toronto vs. Houston - 189.3 (186.5)

    Philadelphia vs. Boston - 175.2 (177.0)

    Washington vs. LA Lakers - 195.1 (193.0)

    Charlotte vs. Utah - 194.7 (193.5)

    Miami vs. Atlanta - 184.8 (189.0)

    New Jersey vs. LA Clippers - 195.6 (192.5)

    Milwaukee vs. Chicago - 187.7 (195.5)

    Oklahoma City vs. Phoenix - 194.4 (203.0)

    Minnesota vs. Portland - 192.0 (195.5)

    San Antonio vs. New York - 188.5 (198.0)

    Denver vs. Cleveland - 202.3 (207.5)

    Sacramento vs. New Orleans - 193.2 (192.0)

    Golden State vs. Memphis - 191.6 (194.5)

     

    FINAL PLAYS:

    Milwaukee vs. Chicago UNDER 195.5 (2 units)

    Oklahoma City vs. Phoenix UNDER 203.0 (2 units)

    San Antonio vs. New York UNDER 198.0 (3 units)

    Remember - if/when these lines continue to go up, it only INCREASES my confidence. I've had bad luck w/ my early lines, but the units I put on them reflect my confidence at this number. If any of these totals were to continue to go up, the ONLY thing I would consider is making an additional play on them.

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    YTD (Overall): 45-27 / 62.5% (+35.6)

    4 Unit Bets: (3-0)

    3 Unit Bets: (2-1)

    2 Unit Bets: (15-5)

    1 Unit Bets: (25-21)

    Yesterday's Thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101289059

    Today's Lines / Mine (Actual):

    Toronto vs. Houston - 189.3 (186.5)

    Philadelphia vs. Boston - 175.2 (177.0)

    Washington vs. LA Lakers - 195.1 (193.0)

    Charlotte vs. Utah - 194.7 (193.5)

    Miami vs. Atlanta - 184.8 (189.0)

    New Jersey vs. LA Clippers - 195.6 (192.5)

    Milwaukee vs. Chicago - 187.7 (195.5)

    Oklahoma City vs. Phoenix - 194.4 (203.0)

    Minnesota vs. Portland - 192.0 (195.5)

    San Antonio vs. New York - 188.5 (198.0)

    Denver vs. Cleveland - 202.3 (207.5)

    Sacramento vs. New Orleans - 193.2 (192.0)

    Golden State vs. Memphis - 191.6 (194.5)

     

    FINAL PLAYS:

    Milwaukee vs. Chicago UNDER 195.5 (2 units)

    Oklahoma City vs. Phoenix UNDER 203.0 (2 units)

    San Antonio vs. New York UNDER 198.0 (3 units)

    Remember - if/when these lines continue to go up, it only INCREASES my confidence. I've had bad luck w/ my early lines, but the units I put on them reflect my confidence at this number. If any of these totals were to continue to go up, the ONLY thing I would consider is making an additional play on them.

     
    LuckiePussieCat
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:04 AM ET #2

    BOL 
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    BOL 
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:06 AM ET #3

    LPC -
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    LPC -
     
    Saekopsycho
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:06 AM ET #4

    Mil UNDER 
    Sas UNDER
    Phi UNDER


    Nice knowing we have the same picks! 
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    Mil UNDER 
    Sas UNDER
    Phi UNDER


    Nice knowing we have the same picks! 
     
    WageDiscipline
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:11 AM ET #5

    BOL sir, looks good.
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    BOL sir, looks good.
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:15 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Saekopsycho:

    Mil UNDER 
    Sas UNDER
    Phi UNDER


    Nice knowing we have the same picks! 

    I was really hoping to get a higher line on that PHI/BOS game to I could make the under a play, but I wasn't able to. GL today.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Saekopsycho:

    Mil UNDER 
    Sas UNDER
    Phi UNDER


    Nice knowing we have the same picks! 

    I was really hoping to get a higher line on that PHI/BOS game to I could make the under a play, but I wasn't able to. GL today.

     
    rlawson
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:15 AM ET #7

    Wage -
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    Wage -
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:19 AM ET #8

    PHX/OKC total is down to 202.5 at my book.

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    PHX/OKC total is down to 202.5 at my book.

     
    Saekopsycho
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:22 AM ET #9

    Barnaky (o/u 5-19 and 0-6 when line is 184.5 or less) on boston game is enough to tell me that this is going UNDER plus Boston with their tired legs is also a sign. your totals were almost spot on to my prediction. 83-89
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    Barnaky (o/u 5-19 and 0-6 when line is 184.5 or less) on boston game is enough to tell me that this is going UNDER plus Boston with their tired legs is also a sign. your totals were almost spot on to my prediction. 83-89
     
    WageDiscipline
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:27 AM ET #10

    Same here line dropped from 203.5 to 202.5 I believe at my book.
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    Same here line dropped from 203.5 to 202.5 I believe at my book.
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:40 AM ET #11

    Saek - you've been doing well w/ those ref trends. Ride it til it doesn't work.

    Wage - I wish I could have caught 203.5 at my book!

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    Saek - you've been doing well w/ those ref trends. Ride it til it doesn't work.

    Wage - I wish I could have caught 203.5 at my book!

     
    philly387
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 11:52 AM ET #12

    Thanks rlawson! Only one I worry about is the OKC/PHO game but I'm usually wrong so going to bet it as well as the other 2
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    Thanks rlawson! Only one I worry about is the OKC/PHO game but I'm usually wrong so going to bet it as well as the other 2
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:05 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by philly387:

    Thanks rlawson! Only one I worry about is the OKC/PHO game but I'm usually wrong so going to bet it as well as the other 2

    Ha - well, the variance there warrants a larger play, but I've got my own concerns. I need to stay consistant with the system though, so it's a 2 unit play.

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    Quote Originally Posted by philly387:

    Thanks rlawson! Only one I worry about is the OKC/PHO game but I'm usually wrong so going to bet it as well as the other 2

    Ha - well, the variance there warrants a larger play, but I've got my own concerns. I need to stay consistant with the system though, so it's a 2 unit play.

     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:06 PM ET #14

    SAS/NYK is up to 198.5
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    SAS/NYK is up to 198.5
     
    Mahatma12
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:10 PM ET #15

    SAS now up to 200!
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    SAS now up to 200!
     
    thebestpicks
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:14 PM ET #16

    Sir rlawson, can you post earlier? because our book closes early here in philippines. thanks
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    Sir rlawson, can you post earlier? because our book closes early here in philippines. thanks
     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:18 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Mahatma12:

    SAS now up to 200!

    Man, I see that at my book, too. I will have to consider putting an additional play on this if it continues to rise. Thanks for the update.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mahatma12:

    SAS now up to 200!

    Man, I see that at my book, too. I will have to consider putting an additional play on this if it continues to rise. Thanks for the update.

     
    cashinsports
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:19 PM ET #18

    love the fact that ny/sa is now at 200. i liked this line when it was 198.5. i think it's the best play out of the 3. not to say that the other 2 are weak. not at all as I am with you on all 3 lol.

    had ny/sa u200 before coming in here. saw your other 2 plays and going along for the ride with them.

    like our friend Philly mentioned, the okc/phx game will be like this. ...still like as it's a habbit of mine to play totals under 200.

    happy to see the ny/dal game worked out the way we anticipated.

    I'm looking at a few sides today. char+7 and hou-1.5 for now. nothing concrete yet. will get my plays up 15mins before the first round of tip off tonight. nothing final yet as i'm still pondering.

     

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    love the fact that ny/sa is now at 200. i liked this line when it was 198.5. i think it's the best play out of the 3. not to say that the other 2 are weak. not at all as I am with you on all 3 lol.

    had ny/sa u200 before coming in here. saw your other 2 plays and going along for the ride with them.

    like our friend Philly mentioned, the okc/phx game will be like this. ...still like as it's a habbit of mine to play totals under 200.

    happy to see the ny/dal game worked out the way we anticipated.

    I'm looking at a few sides today. char+7 and hou-1.5 for now. nothing concrete yet. will get my plays up 15mins before the first round of tip off tonight. nothing final yet as i'm still pondering.

     

     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:20 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by thebestpicks:

    Sir rlawson, can you post earlier? because our book closes early here in philippines. thanks

    Unfortunately, the time you saw today (8:00AM PST) will be the earliest you see them. I'm up everyday at 4:00AM PST as it is.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thebestpicks:

    Sir rlawson, can you post earlier? because our book closes early here in philippines. thanks

    Unfortunately, the time you saw today (8:00AM PST) will be the earliest you see them. I'm up everyday at 4:00AM PST as it is.

     
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:23 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by cashinsports:

    love the fact that ny/sa is now at 200. i liked this line when it was 198.5. i think it's the best play out of the 3. not to say that the other 2 are weak. not at all as I am with you on all 3 lol.

    had ny/sa u200 before coming in here. saw your other 2 plays and going along for the ride with them.

    like our friend Philly mentioned, the okc/phx game will be like this. ...still like as it's a habbit of mine to play totals under 200.

    happy to see the ny/dal game worked out the way we anticipated.

    I'm looking at a few sides today. char+7 and hou-1.5 for now. nothing concrete yet. will get my plays up 15mins before the first round of tip off tonight. nothing final yet as i'm still pondering.

     

    I've had pretty good luck with these unders I bet on and then we see the line shoot up, so I'm not too worried. As I said above, my only concern is how much more (if any) I'll put on the higher line.

    IMO, I expected the PHX/OKC line to be higher than 202-203; I expected more along the lines of 206-208, especially in OKC. Because it's not, I believe it's telling me (and us) that I'm (we're) on the right side.

    Today is a great spot for Houston, that's for sure. I'll look forward to your post later. GL to us.

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    Quote Originally Posted by cashinsports:

    love the fact that ny/sa is now at 200. i liked this line when it was 198.5. i think it's the best play out of the 3. not to say that the other 2 are weak. not at all as I am with you on all 3 lol.

    had ny/sa u200 before coming in here. saw your other 2 plays and going along for the ride with them.

    like our friend Philly mentioned, the okc/phx game will be like this. ...still like as it's a habbit of mine to play totals under 200.

    happy to see the ny/dal game worked out the way we anticipated.

    I'm looking at a few sides today. char+7 and hou-1.5 for now. nothing concrete yet. will get my plays up 15mins before the first round of tip off tonight. nothing final yet as i'm still pondering.

     

    I've had pretty good luck with these unders I bet on and then we see the line shoot up, so I'm not too worried. As I said above, my only concern is how much more (if any) I'll put on the higher line.

    IMO, I expected the PHX/OKC line to be higher than 202-203; I expected more along the lines of 206-208, especially in OKC. Because it's not, I believe it's telling me (and us) that I'm (we're) on the right side.

    Today is a great spot for Houston, that's for sure. I'll look forward to your post later. GL to us.

     
    Mahatma12
    Mahatma12
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:23 PM ET #21

    On the under 200 SAS and Under 195.5 CHI with you. Going to wait and see if the public bets up the OKC game. Best of luck to us bro!
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    On the under 200 SAS and Under 195.5 CHI with you. Going to wait and see if the public bets up the OKC game. Best of luck to us bro!
     
    evilsilence
    evilsilence
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:25 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Saekopsycho:

    Barnaky (o/u 5-19 and 0-6 when line is 184.5 or less) on boston game is enough to tell me that this is going UNDER plus Boston with their tired legs is also a sign. your totals were almost spot on to my prediction. 83-89

    Hey, Saek, Where do you find such ref  stats?

    Also, SAS moved up to 200.5!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Saekopsycho:

    Barnaky (o/u 5-19 and 0-6 when line is 184.5 or less) on boston game is enough to tell me that this is going UNDER plus Boston with their tired legs is also a sign. your totals were almost spot on to my prediction. 83-89

    Hey, Saek, Where do you find such ref  stats?

    Also, SAS moved up to 200.5!

     
    Ron_Burgundy
    Ron_Burgundy
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:47 PM ET #23

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    rlawson
    rlawson
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:58 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by Mahatma12:

    On the under 200 SAS and Under 195.5 CHI with you. Going to wait and see if the public bets up the OKC game. Best of luck to us bro!

    The OKC line has gone down to 202.5 from the 203.0 that I took it at; BOL if it goes back up. I'm seeing Chicago has moved down to 195, so it looks like we hopped on that train at the right time.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mahatma12:

    On the under 200 SAS and Under 195.5 CHI with you. Going to wait and see if the public bets up the OKC game. Best of luck to us bro!

    The OKC line has gone down to 202.5 from the 203.0 that I took it at; BOL if it goes back up. I'm seeing Chicago has moved down to 195, so it looks like we hopped on that train at the right time.

     
     
    ekrres
    ekrres
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2012 - 12:58 PM ET #25

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